Stuttgart vs Freiburg: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer German DFB Pokal
Result
2:1 ET
23/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : DFB Pokal - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Welz T. (Ger)
Stuttgart - Freiburg - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
4.242.34
Ball possession
66%34%
Total shots
2917
Shots on target
95
Big chances
64
Corner kicks
94
Passes
82% (573/697)69% (253/365)
Yellow cards
45
Expected goals (xG)
4.242.34
xG on target (xGOT)
3.491.49
Total shots
2917
Shots on target
95
Shots off target
154
Blocked shots
58
Shots inside the box
2113
Shots outside the box
84
Hit the woodwork
11
Big chances
64
Corner kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
5337
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free kicks
1720
Passes
82% (573/697)69% (253/365)
Long passes
39% (28/72)31% (26/83)
Passes in final third
76% (166/219)62% (83/133)
Crosses
34% (12/35)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
3.251.08
Throw ins
1820
Fouls
2017
Tackles
59% (13/22)53% (8/15)
Duels won
7776
Clearances
3454
Interceptions
913
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
37
xGOT faced
1.493.49
Goals prevented
0.491.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 13', Makengo J. 🟨,
  • 15', Nartey N. 🟨,
  • 17', Manzambi J. 🟨,
  • 17', Leweling J. 🟨,
  • 28', 0 - 1, Eggestein M. ⚽, Ginter M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', Grifo V. 🟨,
  • 63', Nartey N. ↓, El Khannouss B. ↑,
  • 70', 1 - 1, Undav D. ⚽, El Khannouss B. (A),
  • 71', Grifo V. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
  • 74', Matanovic I. 🟨,
  • 84', Matanovic I. ↓, Holer L. ↑,
  • Extra Time (1 - 0)
  • 91', Demirovic E. ↓, Tomas T. ↑,
  • 94', Holer L. 🟨,
  • 95', Hendriks R. 🟨,
  • 98', Hendriks R. ↓, Jaquez L. ↑,
  • 101', Makengo J. ↓, Gunter C. ↑,
  • 102', Beste J. ↓, Kubler L. ↑,
  • 113', Treu P. ↓, Ogbus B. ↑,
  • 118', Fuhrich C. ↓, Bouanani B. ↑,
  • 118', Undav D. ↓, Vagnoman J. ↑,
  • 119', 2 - 1, Tomas T. ⚽, Bouanani B. (A),
  • 120+1', Tomas T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Stuttgart
58.1%		Draw
22.3%		Freiburg
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.9% 22.7% 19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5% 24.9% 17.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stuttgart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stuttgart, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-2%)
    •

    Stuttgart - Freiburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.64
    (1.64)    		 4.29 ↑
    (4.18)    		 4.9 ↓
    (4.91)    		 4.5%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Stuttgart - Freiburg?
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stuttgart (votes: 1 - 100%).
    • Users Predictions: Stuttgart will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
      Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%.
      •
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 3.
    • Stuttgart has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Freiburg is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Stuttgart may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Stuttgart is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Stuttgart: Jeltsch F. (Injury) Jovanovic L. (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Freiburg: Osterhage P. (Knee Injury) Rosenfelder M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 41:29. (average 2.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stuttgart won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:11. (average 2.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stuttgart - Freiburg were as follows:
    01.02.2026 Stuttgart - Freiburg 1:0
    13.09.2025 Freiburg - Stuttgart 3:1
    18.01.2025 Stuttgart - Freiburg 4:0
    24.08.2024 Freiburg - Stuttgart 3:1
    03.02.2024 Freiburg - Stuttgart 1:3
    Latest results of Stuttgart
    19.04.2026 Bayern Munich - Stuttgart 4:2 ✺
    12.04.2026 Stuttgart - Hamburger SV 4:0 ✺
    04.04.2026 Stuttgart - Borussia Dortmund 0:2 ✺
    22.03.2026 Augsburg - Stuttgart 2:5 ✺
    19.03.2026 Porto - Stuttgart 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Freiburg
    19.04.2026 Freiburg - Heidenheim 2:1 ✺
    16.04.2026 Celta de Vigo - Freiburg 1:3 ✺
    12.04.2026 Mainz - Freiburg 0:1 ✺
    09.04.2026 Freiburg - Celta de Vigo 3:0 ✺
    04.04.2026 Freiburg - Bayern Munich 2:3 ✺
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1EngersEintracht Frankfurt0 : 5
    2RW EssenDortmund0 : 1
    3Viktoria KolnPaderborn1 : 3
    4GrossaspachBayer Leverkusen0 : 4
    5DelmenhorstB. Monchengladbach2 : 3
    6MeuselwitzKarlsruher SC0 : 5
    7NorderstedtSt. Pauli0 : 1
    8Hansa RostockHoffenheim0 : 4
    9FC GuterslohUnion Berlin0 : 5
    10Arminia BielefeldWerder Bremen1 : 0
    11RegensburgFC Koln1 : 2
    12WehenBayern Munich2 : 3
    13CottbusHannover1 : 0
    14SandhausenRB Leipzig2 : 4
    15IllertissenNurnberg4 : 3
    16SaarbruckenMagdeburg1 : 3
    17BahlingerHeidenheim0 : 5
    18PirmasensHamburger SV1 : 2
    19HemelingenWolfsburg0 : 9
    20FC 08 HomburgHolstein Kiel0 : 2
    21HallescherAugsburg0 : 2
    22BFC DynamoBochum1 : 3
    23SG Dynamo DresdenMainz0 : 1
    24BraunschweigStuttgart4 : 5
    25Preussen MunsterHertha Berlin0 : 1
    26UlmElversberg0 : 1
    27LohneGreuther Furth0 : 2
    28RSV EintrachtKaiserslautern0 : 7
    29SchweinfurtDusseldorf2 : 4
    30LotteFreiburg0 : 2
    31LubeckDarmstadt1 : 2
    32Lokomotive LeipzigSchalke0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Eintracht FrankfurtDortmund1 : 2
    2PaderbornBayer Leverkusen2 : 4
    3B. MonchengladbachKarlsruher SC3 : 1
    4St. PauliHoffenheim3 : 2
    5Union BerlinArminia Bielefeld2 : 1
    6FC KolnBayern Munich1 : 4
    7CottbusRB Leipzig1 : 4
    8IllertissenMagdeburg0 : 3
    9HeidenheimHamburger SV0 : 1
    10WolfsburgHolstein Kiel0 : 1
    11AugsburgBochum0 : 1
    12MainzStuttgart0 : 2
    13Hertha BerlinElversberg3 : 0
    14Greuther FurthKaiserslautern0 : 1
    15DusseldorfFreiburg1 : 3
    16DarmstadtSchalke4 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1DortmundBayer Leverkusen0 : 1
    2B. MonchengladbachSt. Pauli1 : 2
    3Union BerlinBayern Munich2 : 3
    4RB LeipzigMagdeburg3 : 1
    5Hamburger SVHolstein Kiel1 : 2
    6BochumStuttgart0 : 2
    7Hertha BerlinKaiserslautern6 : 1
    8FreiburgDarmstadt2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Bayer LeverkusenSt. Pauli3 : 0
    2Bayern MunichRB Leipzig2 : 0
    3Holstein KielStuttgart0 : 3
    4Hertha BerlinFreiburg1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Bayer LeverkusenBayern Munich0 : 2
    2StuttgartFreiburg2 : 1

    Final
    1Bayern MunichStuttgart3 : 0
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