Result
2:0
12/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A - Round 32
- Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 0.32 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (418/492) | 72% (191/267) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 0.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (418/492) | 72% (191/267) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (35/68) | 48% (29/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (90/124) | 48% (23/48) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.39 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.13 | 1.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | -0.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', 1 - 0, Freuler R. ⚽,
- 36', Ngom O. 🟨,
- 38', Siebert J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ndaba C. ↓, Gallo A. ↑,
- 46', Ngom O. ↓, Gandelman O. ↑,
- 64', Stulic N. ↓, Cheddira W. ↑,
- 64', Banda L. ↓, Ndri K. ↑,
- 66', Joao Mario ↓, Zortea N. ↑,
- 74', Sohm S. ↓, Pobega T. ↑,
- 74', Cambiaghi N. ↓, Rowe J. ↑,
- 83', Pierotti S. ↓, Sala A. ↑,
- 85', Castro S. ↓, Odgaard J. ↑,
- 85', Moro N. ↓, Bernardeschi F. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 0, Orsolini R. ⚽, Bernardeschi F. (A),
Chances of winning
Bologna
52.2% | Draw
28.6% | Lecce
19.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bologna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Bologna - Lecce Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.66) |
3.35 ↓
(3.65) |
5.02 ↓
(5.43) |
4.4%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bologna - Lecce?
- Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Bologna will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Lecce will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bologna: 53.9% – 93.5%. - Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bologna (votes: 1 - 100%).
- Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 2.
- Bologna has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lecce is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Bologna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Bologna is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K.
(Inactive)
Dominguez B.
(Hip Injury)
Ferguson L.
(Red Card)
Skorupski L.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Lecce: Berisha M.
(Thigh Injury)
Camarda F.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There are questionable in Bologna: Dallinga T.
(Injury)
Lykogiannis C.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Lecce: Gaspar K.
(Knee Injury)
Sottil R.
(Back Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 1.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bologna won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 2.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Bologna won against Lecce?
Bologna has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lecce won against Bologna?
Lecce has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bologna - Lecce were as follows:
28.09.2025
Lecce
-
Bologna
2:2
09.02.2025
Lecce
-
Bologna
0:0
02.11.2024
Bologna
-
Lecce
1:0
11.02.2024
Bologna
-
Lecce
4:0
03.12.2023
Lecce
-
Bologna
1:1
Latest results of Bologna
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter ✔ | 36 | 27 | 4 | 5 | 85:31 | 54 | 85 |
| 2 | Napoli | 36 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 54:36 | 18 | 70 |
| 3 | Juventus | 36 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 59:30 | 29 | 68 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 50:32 | 18 | 67 |
| 5 | AS Roma | 36 | 21 | 4 | 11 | 55:31 | 24 | 67 |
| 6 | Como | 36 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 60:28 | 32 | 65 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 36 | 15 | 13 | 8 | 50:34 | 16 | 58 |
| 8 | Bologna | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 45:43 | 2 | 52 |
| 9 | Lazio | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 39:37 | 2 | 51 |
| 10 | Udinese | 36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 45:46 | -1 | 50 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 44:46 | -2 | 49 |
| 12 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 41:59 | -18 | 44 |
| 13 | Parma | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 27:45 | -18 | 42 |
| 14 | Genoa | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 40:48 | -8 | 41 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 38:49 | -11 | 38 |
| 16 | Cagliari | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 36:51 | -15 | 37 |
| 17 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 24:48 | -24 | 32 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 30:53 | -23 | 31 |
| 19 | Verona ✔ | 36 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24:58 | -34 | 20 |
| 20 | Pisa ✔ | 36 | 2 | 12 | 22 | 25:66 | -41 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
Clinched Spots for Teams
Inter is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
Verona is Relegated to Serie B
Pisa is Relegated to Serie B
Which TV channels are streaming of Bologna - Lecce?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football |
 Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bolivia | ESPN 2 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, FuboTV |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Sport 1 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Ecuador | ESPN 2 |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Georgia | Setanta Sport 3 |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
 Haiti | Tele Haiti |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Israel | ONE Sport 2 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 1 |
 Kuwait | Shasha |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 Malaysia | Astro Arena 2, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 3 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Paraguay | ESPN 2 |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV7 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Slovakia | Sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Thailand | True ID, True Premier Football 3 |
 Tunisia | Diwan Sport |
 Turkey | S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | DAZN USA, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter |
 Vietnam | TV 360, VTVcab |
 World | Starzplay Sports app |
