Result
1:0
24/05/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A - Round 38
- Referee: Doveri D. (Ita)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 0.78 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (175/241) | 84% (432/512) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 0.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 0.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (175/241) | 84% (432/512) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (29/59) | 41% (20/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (40/73) | 72% (60/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.86 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 55% (12/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.97 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Banda L. ⚽, Pierotti S. (A),
- 45', Ramadani Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Ngom O. ↓, Gandelman O. ↑,
- 60', Martin A. ↓, Norton-Cuffy B. ↑,
- 60', Sabelli S. ↓, Ouedraogo W. L. ↑,
- 65', Banda L. ↓, Ndri K. ↑,
- 69', Amorim ↓, Grossi J. ↑,
- 76', Tiago Gabriel 🟨,
- 80', Cheddira W. ↓, Stulic N. ↑,
- 80', Pierotti S. ↓, Jean G. ↑,
- 83', Marcandalli A. ↓, Lafont G. ↑,
- 83', Masini P. ↓, Carbone F. ↑,
- 89', Ramadani Y. ↓, Gaspar K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lecce
54.1% | Draw
26.8% | Genoa
19.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-1%)
Lecce - Genoa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↑
(1.69) |
3.57 ↓
(3.77) |
4.99 ↓
(5.12) |
4.8%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lecce - Genoa?
- Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
- AH 0 - Lecce (1.27) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Users Predictions:
Lecce will win
(35 of 39 users predict this - 89.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.22% – 99.26%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lecce will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Lecce (votes: 6 - 75%). Genoa (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 17 and 15)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Genoa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Lecce is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Lecce: Berisha M.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Genoa: Junior Messias
(Muscle Injury)
Vitinha
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Lecce: Sottil R.
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in Genoa: Cornet M.
(Muscle Injury)
Norton-Cuffy B.
(Thigh Injury)
Ostigard L.
(Knock)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lecce won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Lecce won against Genoa?
Lecce has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Genoa won against Lecce?
Genoa has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lecce - Genoa were as follows:
23.08.2025
Genoa
-
Lecce
0:0
14.03.2025
Genoa
-
Lecce
2:1
05.01.2025
Lecce
-
Genoa
0:0
28.01.2024
Genoa
-
Lecce
2:1
22.09.2023
Lecce
-
Genoa
1:0
Italian Serie A Table
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lecce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bologna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Genoa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Napoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Udinese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Monza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Sassuolo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Venezia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | AS Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Inter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Fiorentina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | AC Milan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Atalanta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Lazio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Cagliari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Torino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Parma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Como | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
Which TV channels are streaming of Lecce - Genoa?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | New World Sport 2 |
 Albania | Tring Sport 1, Tring Sport 5 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 5 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Iraq | Almanasa |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Calcio |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | ART Prime |
 Kuwait | Shasha |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 1 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 2 |
 Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Thailand | True Ball Thai 2, True ID |
 Tunisia | Diwan Sport |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | VTVcab |
 World | Starzplay Sports app |
