Metz vs Le Havre: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer French Ligue 1
Soccer French Ligue 1 Metz - Le Havre
Result
0:0
28/09/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 1 - Round 6
  • Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)
Metz - Le Havre - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.330.42
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
02
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
90% (376/420)83% (308/371)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.330.42
xG on target (xGOT)
0.000.39
Total shots
711
Shots on target
02
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
62
Shots outside the Box
19
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
1512
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1616
Passes
90% (376/420)83% (308/371)
Long passes
64% (30/47)44% (22/50)
Passes in final third
72% (60/83)65% (62/95)
Crosses
35% (6/17)14% (3/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.680.37
Throw-ins
1724
Fouls
1616
Tackles
47% (9/19)50% (6/12)
Duels won
4744
Clearances
3322
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
0.390.00
Goals prevented
0.390.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Zouaoui Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Mboula U. ↓, Tsitaishvili G. ↑,
  • 51', Deminguet J. 🟨,
  • 61', Ebonog S. ↓, Ndiaye R. ↑,
  • 61', Samatta A. ↓, Doucoure F. ↑,
  • 74', Traore B. 🟨,
  • 76', Zouaoui Y. ↓, Delaine T. ↑,
  • 80', Hein G. ↓, Sane I. ↑,
  • 81', Bokele Mputu M. ↓, Abuashvili G. ↑,
  • 85', Khadra R. ↓, Namli Y. ↑,
  • 86', Toure A. ↓, Mambimbi F. ↑,
  • 87', Deminguet J. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
  • 88', Youte Kinkoue E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Metz
35.5%		Draw
29.9%		Le Havre
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 27.9% 33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7% 28.8% 32.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-2%)
    •

    Metz - Le Havre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.73 ↑
    (2.46)    		 3.21 ↓
    (3.4)    		 2.79 ↓
    (2.82)    		 3.7%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Metz - Le Havre?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Metz will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Le Havre will win (votes: 8 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 35%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Le Havre: 18.5% – 61.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Metz (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Le Havre (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metz won 1.
    • Metz has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Le Havre has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Metz: Mbaye M. (Foot Injury) Sane S. (Red Card) Stambouli B. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Le Havre: Ebonog S. (Knock)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Metz won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 0.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Metz won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.8:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Metz - Le Havre were as follows:
    21.04.2024 Le Havre - Metz 0:1
    29.10.2023 Metz - Le Havre 0:0
    13.03.2023 Metz - Le Havre 1:1
    24.10.2022 Le Havre - Metz 2:0
    Latest results of Metz
    21.09.2025 Monaco - Metz 5:2 ✺
    14.09.2025 Metz - Angers 1:1 ✺
    31.08.2025 Paris FC - Metz 3:2 ✺
    23.08.2025 Lyon - Metz 3:0 ✺
    17.08.2025 Metz - Strasbourg 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Le Havre
    21.09.2025 Le Havre - Lorient 1:1 ✺
    14.09.2025 Strasbourg - Le Havre 1:0 ✺
    31.08.2025 Le Havre - Nice 3:1 ✺
    24.08.2025 Le Havre - Lens 1:2 ✺
    16.08.2025 Monaco - Le Havre 3:1 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG650112:4815
    2Lyon65018:3515
    3Marseille640212:5712
    4Monaco640214:10412
    5Strasbourg64029:7212
    6Lille631213:9410
    7Lens63128:5310
    8Rennes62317:8-19
    9Brest621311:1107
    10Toulouse62139:11-27
    11Paris FC621310:13-37
    12Nice62137:10-37
    13Lorient62139:14-57
    14Auxerre62044:8-46
    15Le Havre61236:8-25
    16Nantes61235:7-25
    17Angers61233:6-35
    18Metz60245:13-82

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Metz - Le Havre?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect
    chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    finlandFinlandViaplay
    franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+ 5, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
    germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
    hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
    norwayNorwayViaplay
    peruPeruDisney+
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 8
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
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