Le Havre vs Strasbourg: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer French Ligue 1 Le Havre - Strasbourg
Result
2:1
08/02/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 1 - Round 21
  • Referee: Kherradji A. (Fra)
Le Havre - Strasbourg - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.840.43
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
73
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
93
Passes
86% (331/385)86% (333/389)
Yellow cards
21
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
0.840.43
xG on target (xGOT)
2.000.46
Total shots
159
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
51
Blocked shots
35
Shots inside the box
94
Shots outside the box
65
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
2020
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1215
Passes
86% (331/385)86% (333/389)
Long passes
46% (18/39)57% (24/42)
Passes in final third
77% (92/120)66% (53/80)
Crosses
14% (3/22)40% (8/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.851.17
Throw ins
1926
Fouls
1512
Tackles
63% (17/27)59% (13/22)
Duels won
4948
Clearances
2122
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
25
xGOT faced
0.462.00
Goals prevented
-0.540.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 26', 1 - 0, Zagadou S. , Boufal S. (A),
  • 29', Doukoure I. 🟥,
  • 32', Chilwell B. 🟨,
  • 33', Mwanga J. , Omobamidele A. ,
  • 36', 1 - 1, Godo M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', 2 - 1, Soumare I. , Sangante A. (A),
  • 63', Vinette E. K. , Pembele T. ,
  • 64', Doucoure F. , Samatta A. ,
  • 74', Gourna-Douath L. 🟨,
  • 76', Godo M. , Amo-Ameyaw S. ,
  • 78', Sangante A. , Lloris G. ,
  • 79', Boufal S. , Kechta Y. ,
  • 84', Enciso J. , Nanasi S. ,
  • 85', Soumare I. 🟨,
  • 89', Ebonog S. , Mosengo D. N. ,

Chances of winning


Le Havre
21.7%
Draw
25.7%
Strasbourg
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.5% 27.5% 47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9% 26.8% 48.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Strasbourg's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Le Havre - Strasbourg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.41
    (3.69)
    3.72
    (3.42)
    1.81
    (2)
    4.8%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Le Havre - Strasbourg?
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • DC - Strasbourg (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH -2 - Strasbourg (5.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Users Predictions: Strasbourg will win (47 of 55 users predict this - 85.45%).
      Confidence interval (95%): 76.13%94.77%.
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Strasbourg will win (32 of 36 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 39 Selected Experts predict this event. Le Havre (votes: 2 - 5.1%). Strasbourg (votes: 35 - 89.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 5.1%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 2.
    • Recent performances by Le Havre have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Strasbourg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Strasbourg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Strasbourg is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Le Havre: Khadra R. (Shoulder Injury) Seko A. (Ribs Injury) Toure A. (Knee Injury) Vinette E. K. (Shoulder Injury) Youte Kinkoue E. (Health problems)
    • There will not play in Strasbourg: Emegha E. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Le Havre: Lloris G. (Injury) Samatta A. (Knock)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 1:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Le Havre won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Le Havre - Strasbourg were as follows:
    14.09.2025 Strasbourg - Le Havre 1:0
    17.05.2025 Strasbourg - Le Havre 2:3
    15.12.2024 Le Havre - Strasbourg 0:3
    04.05.2024 Le Havre - Strasbourg 3:1
    07.02.2024 Strasbourg - Le Havre 3:1
    Latest results of Le Havre
    30.01.2026 Lens - Le Havre 1:0
    24.01.2026 Le Havre - Monaco 0:0
    18.01.2026 Rennes - Le Havre 1:1
    04.01.2026 Le Havre - Angers 2:1
    21.12.2025 Le Havre - Amiens 0:2
    Latest results of Strasbourg
    05.02.2026 Strasbourg - Monaco 3:1
    25.01.2026 Lille - Strasbourg 1:4
    18.01.2026 Strasbourg - Metz 2:1
    10.01.2026 Avranches - Strasbourg 0:6
    Draw
    Relegation - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1NiceBye
    3St EtienneBye
    4Red StarRodez2 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1NiceBye
    2St EtienneRodez1 : 0

    Final
    1NiceSt Etienne4 : 1, 0 : 0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Le Havre - Strasbourg?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1, Oneplay
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
    franceFranceLigue 1+, Molotov TV
    germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
    hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
    italyItalyLigue 1+
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    mexicoMexicoFOX One
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
    norwayNorwayViaplay
    peruPeruDisney+
    polandPolandEleven Sports 4
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 10, Arena Sport 1x2
    slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 1, Voyo
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
    vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
    worldWorldOnefootball
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