Le Havre vs Lorient: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer French Ligue 1
Soccer French Ligue 1 Le Havre - Lorient
Result
1:1
21/09/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 1 - Round 5
  • Referee: Kherradji A. (Fra)
Le Havre - Lorient - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.261.01
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
86% (472/552)80% (303/381)
Yellow Cards
36
Expected Goals (xG)
2.261.01
xG on target (xGOT)
0.991.51
Total shots
138
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
94
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2418
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1520
Passes
86% (472/552)80% (303/381)
Long passes
48% (24/50)37% (19/51)
Passes in final third
73% (74/101)63% (51/81)
Crosses
21% (8/39)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.650.56
Throw-ins
2216
Fouls
2015
Tackles
31% (5/16)59% (10/17)
Duels won
5661
Clearances
1935
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
1.510.99
Goals prevented
0.51-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', Meite B. 🟨,
  • 4', Toure A. (Pen),
  • 15', Sangante A. 🟨,
  • 21', 0 - 1, Tosin A. ⚽, Karim D. (A),
  • 25', Seko A. 🟨,
  • 41', Abergel L. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Samatta A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 47', 1 - 1, Soumare I. ⚽, Lloris G. (A),
  • 50', Talbi M. 🟨,
  • 52', Avom A. 🟨,
  • 55', Bamba M. 🟨,
  • 62', Bamba M. ↓, Soumano S. ↑,
  • 62', Tosin A. ↓, Makengo J. ↑,
  • 63', Kechta Y. ↓, Ndiaye R. ↑,
  • 63', Doucoure F. ↓, Namli Y. ↑,
  • 74', Le Bris T. ↓, Mvuka Mugisha J. ↑,
  • 77', Samatta A. ↓, Pizarro D. ↑,
  • 85', Toure A. ↓, Mambimbi F. ↑,
  • 85', Delaine T. ↓, Vinette E. K. ↑,
  • 90+2', Faye A. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2tkc4tpr

Chances of winning


Le Havre
46.3%		Draw
28.3%		Lorient
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.7% 28.2% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4% 28.7% 32.5%

Le Havre - Lorient Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.08 ↓
(2.45)		 3.38 ↑
(3.37)		 3.76 ↑
(2.87)		 4.2%
(5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Le Havre - Lorient?
  • Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 19 - 65.5%). Lorient will win (votes: 6 - 20.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Le Havre: 48.2% – 82.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Le Havre (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Lorient (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 1.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Lorient may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Le Havre might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Lorient: Adjei N. (Ankle Injury) Katseris P. (Thigh Injury) Sanusi T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Toure I. (Knee Injury) Yongwa D. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Le Havre: Zouaoui Y. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Le Havre won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Le Havre - Lorient were as follows:
    28.01.2024 Lorient - Le Havre 3:3
    03.09.2023 Le Havre - Lorient 3:0
    29.07.2023 Le Havre - Lorient 0:2
    Latest results of Le Havre
    14.09.2025 Strasbourg - Le Havre 1:0 ✺
    31.08.2025 Le Havre - Nice 3:1 ✺
    24.08.2025 Le Havre - Lens 1:2 ✺
    16.08.2025 Monaco - Le Havre 3:1 ✺
    09.08.2025 Deportivo La Coruña - Le Havre 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Lorient
    12.09.2025 Olympique Marseille - Lorient 4:0 ✺
    30.08.2025 Lorient - Lille 1:7 ✺
    24.08.2025 Lorient - Rennes 4:0 ✺
    17.08.2025 Auxerre - Lorient 1:0 ✺
    09.08.2025 Angers - Lorient 1:0
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG1283124:111327
    2Marseille1281328:111725
    3Lens1281321:111025
    4Strasbourg1271424:16822
    5Lille1262423:15820
    6Monaco1262424:21320
    7Lyon1262418:15320
    8Rennes1246219:17218
    9Nice1252517:18-117
    10Toulouse1244418:16216
    11Paris FC1242618:21-314
    12Le Havre1235413:17-414
    13Angers1234510:15-513
    14Metz1232712:27-1511
    15Brest1224614:21-710
    16Nantes1224611:18-710
    17Lorient1224614:26-1210
    18Auxerre122197:19-127

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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