CF Montréal vs Philadelphia Union: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union
Result
1:2
03/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.180.85
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
77% (367/477)69% (226/327)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
1.180.85
xG on target (xGOT)
0.840.57
Total shots
128
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
83
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
248
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1819
Passes
77% (367/477)69% (226/327)
Long passes
43% (28/65)45% (28/62)
Passes in final third
54% (60/111)57% (54/94)
Crosses
6% (1/18)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.720.63
Throw-ins
2218
Fouls
1918
Tackles
68% (13/19)56% (10/18)
Duels won
5865
Clearances
2438
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.570.84
Goals prevented
-1.43-0.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Vassilev I. , Jean Jacques D. (A),
  • 28', Herbers F. 🟨,
  • 36', Pearce T. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Vrioni G. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 55', Donovan C. , Damiani B. ,
  • 56', Campbell G. 🟨,
  • 57', Vrioni G. , Clark C. ,
  • 57', Herbers F. , Petrasso L. ,
  • 58', Lukic J. 🟨,
  • 75', Baribo T. , Uhre M. ,
  • 75', Vassilev I. , Harriel N. ,
  • 76', Harriel N. 🟨,
  • 82', Sullivan Q. 🟨,
  • 83', Sealy D. 🟨,
  • 83', Pearce T. , Opoku K. ,
  • 83', Saliba N. , Loturi V. ,
  • 84', 1 - 2, Uhre M. , Lukic J. (A),
  • 88', Piette S. , Ibrahim S. ,
  • 88', Sullivan Q. , Bueno J. ,
  • 88', Lukic J. , Rafanello J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


CF Montréal
33.8%
Draw
28%
Philadelphia Union
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.9% 27.3% 43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4% 27.8% 43.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • CF Montréal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Philadelphia Union might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.81
    (3.31)
    3.41
    (3.5)
    2.49
    (2.18)
    5.1%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is Philadelphia Union will win! (7 of 8 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 2.
    • Montreal is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Philadelphia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Philadelphia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Montreal: Duke B. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 33:34. (average 1.7:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 2:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union were as follows:
    09.08.2024 Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal 2:0
    29.06.2024 CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union 4:2
    01.06.2024 Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal 2:2
    03.06.2023 Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal 3:0
    18.03.2023 CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union 3:2
    Latest results of CF Montréal
    Latest results of Philadelphia Union
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps1595127:121532
    2San Diego FC1793529:181130
    3Minnesota United1786326:161030
    4Seattle Sounders1775525:22326
    5Portland Timbers1675425:22326
    6Los Angeles FC1565427:22523
    7San Jose Earthquakes1764734:28622
    8Colorado Rapids1664618:22-422
    9Houston Dynamo1755722:25-320
    10Austin FC1755711:20-920
    11FC Dallas1646618:26-818
    12Sporting Kansas City1644825:28-316
    13Real Salt Lake17431016:25-915
    14St. Louis City1635813:21-814
    15Los Angeles Galaxy17141215:36-217


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union17104332:181434
    2FC Cincinnati1793525:24130
    3Inter Miami1685336:27929
    4Nashville SC1785430:21929
    5Columbus Crew1777327:24328
    6New York Red Bulls1783628:19927
    7Orlando City1776431:22927
    8Charlotte1781828:27125
    9New York City1774620:20025
    10New England Revolution1565419:14523
    11Chicago Fire1564528:28022
    12DC United1746716:29-1318
    13Atlanta Utd1745821:30-917
    14Toronto FC17341018:24-613
    15CF Montreal17151112:32-208

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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