Wolfsburg vs Freiburg: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German Bundesliga Wolfsburg - Freiburg
Result
0:1
26/04/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 31
  • Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)
Wolfsburg - Freiburg - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.391.72
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
815
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
75% (256/340)87% (394/452)
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.391.72
xG on target (xGOT)
0.051.35
Total shots
815
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
69
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
39
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
1528
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
96
Passes
75% (256/340)87% (394/452)
Long passes
48% (34/71)42% (18/43)
Passes in final third
64% (89/140)83% (130/157)
Crosses
10% (2/20)14% (4/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.831.10
Throw-ins
2115
Fouls
69
Tackles
56% (9/16)63% (10/16)
Duels won
5251
Clearances
3034
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.350.05
Goals prevented
0.350.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 8', Koulierakis K. 🟨,
  • 26', Arnold M. 🟥,
  • 40', Amoura M. 🟨,
  • 41', Hasenhuttl R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Adamu J. , Gregoritsch M. ,
  • 49', 0 - 1, Rosenfelder M. ,
  • 58', Amoura M. , Gerhardt Y. ,
  • 60', Paredes K. 🟨,
  • 62', Paredes K. , Kaminski J. ,
  • 71', Rosenfelder M. , Kubler L. ,
  • 71', Holer L. , Manzambi J. ,
  • 71', Grifo V. , Beste J. ,
  • 78', Wimmer P. , Majer L. ,
  • 78', Wind J. , Tomas T. ,
  • 78', Dardai B. , Nmecha L. ,
  • 83', Osterhage P. 🟨,
  • 87', Doan R. , Sildillia K. ,

Chances of winning


Wolfsburg 39%Draw 26.7%Freiburg 34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Wolfsburg 42.7%Draw 26.2%Freiburg 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Wolfsburg 42.5%Draw 26.3%Freiburg 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Wolfsburg - Freiburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.26)
    3.6
    (3.68)
    2.81
    (3.09)
    4%
    (3.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Wolfsburg - Freiburg?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Wolfsburg won 2.
    • Wolfsburg has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Freiburg is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Freiburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Wolfsburg: Angely M. (Muscle Injury) Bornauw S. (Foot Injury) Muller M. (Concussion) Roerslev Rasmussen M. (Hamstring Injury) Rogerio (Knee Injury) Svanberg M. (Knee Injury) Vranckx A. (Personal Reasons)
    • There will not play in Freiburg: Atubolu N. (Shoulder Injury) Kyereh D. (Knee Injury) Ogbus B. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wolfsburg: Skov Olsen A. (Hip Injury)
    • There are questionable in Freiburg: Dinkci E. (Injury) Gulde M. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Wolfsburg won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 37:26 (average 1.9:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Wolfsburg won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19:10 (average 1.9:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wolfsburg - Freiburg were as follows:
    13.12.2024 Freiburg - Wolfsburg 3:2
    27.04.2024 Freiburg - Wolfsburg 1:2
    09.12.2023 Wolfsburg - Freiburg 0:1
    22.07.2023 Freiburg - Wolfsburg 2:3
    19.05.2023 Freiburg - Wolfsburg 2:0
    Latest results of Wolfsburg
    19.04.2025 Mainz - Wolfsburg 2:2
    11.04.2025 Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig 2:3
    06.04.2025 Union Berlin - Wolfsburg 1:0
    29.03.2025 Wolfsburg - Heidenheim 0:1
    15.03.2025 Augsburg - Wolfsburg 1:0
    Latest results of Freiburg
    19.04.2025 Freiburg - Hoffenheim 3:2
    30.03.2025 Freiburg - Union Berlin 1:2
    15.03.2025 Mainz - Freiburg 2:2
    German Bundesliga Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich ✔ 32237293:326176
    2Bayer Leverkusen ✔ 321911268:373168
    3Eintracht Frankfurt32168863:432056
    4Freiburg321571046:49-352
    5Dortmund321561164:491551
    6RB Leipzig321311851:45650
    7Mainz321391049:40948
    8Werder Bremen321381150:56-647
    9B. Monchengladbach321361355:54145
    10Stuttgart321281257:51644
    11Augsburg3211101134:45-1143
    12Wolfsburg321091353:52139
    13Union Berlin329101333:47-1437
    14St. Pauli32871726:37-1131
    15Hoffenheim327101544:62-1831
    16Heidenheim32752033:60-2726
    17Holstein Kiel32671948:75-2725
    18Bochum32572030:63-3322

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Bayer Leverkusen is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Which TV channels are streaming of Wolfsburg - Freiburg?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaNew World Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, TOD
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
    austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
    canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free, New World TV
    germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
    greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 2
    hungaryHungaryNet4+
    icelandIcelandViaplay
    indiaIndiaVision+
    indonesiaIndonesiaRCTI+
    japanJapanSKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 8
    laosLaosbeIN Connect
    malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaFlowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
    norwayNorwayViaplay
    pakistanPakistanTapmad
    peruPeruDisney+
    philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
    polandPolandViaplay
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    spainSpainDAZN Espana
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
    thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 4
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
    vietnamVietnamON Plus
    worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball
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