Wolfsburg vs Augsburg: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
2:3
21/02/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 23
  • Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)
Wolfsburg - Augsburg - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.591.79
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
46
Big chances
42
Corner kicks
410
Passes
87% (399/458)84% (374/447)
Yellow cards
24
Expected goals (xG)
1.591.79
xG on target (xGOT)
1.441.99
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
64
Blocked shots
05
Shots inside the box
610
Shots outside the box
45
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
10
Big chances
42
Corner kicks
410
Touches in opposition box
1625
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1610
Passes
87% (399/458)84% (374/447)
Long passes
43% (18/42)55% (36/65)
Passes in final third
66% (61/92)79% (129/163)
Crosses
33% (5/15)18% (6/33)
Expected assists (xA)
2.031.22
Throw ins
1324
Fouls
1016
Tackles
85% (11/13)79% (11/14)
Duels won
5448
Clearances
3016
Interceptions
64
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
32
xGOT faced
1.991.44
Goals prevented
-1.01-0.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', Majer L. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 0, Gerhardt Y. , Eriksen C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 50', Ribeiro R. 🟨,
  • 55', Schlotterbeck K. 🟨,
  • 58', Komur M. , Rieder F. ,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Ribeiro R. , Claude-Maurice A. (A),
  • 64', Svanberg M. 🟨,
  • 65', Majer L. , Shiogai K. ,
  • 65', Svanberg M. , Paredes K. ,
  • 68', Massengo H. , Rexhbecaj E. ,
  • 69', Giannoulis D. , Wolf M. ,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Shiogai K. , Amoura M. (A),
  • 81', Ribeiro R. , Gregoritsch M. ,
  • 81', Fellhauer R. , Ogundu U. ,
  • 82', Amoura M. , Pejcinovic D. ,
  • 86', Jakic K. 🟨,
  • 87', 2 - 2, Gregoritsch M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+3', 2 - 3, Rexhbecaj E. , Claude-Maurice A. (A),
  • 90+5', Kumbedi S. , Burger J. ,
  • 90+5', Vavro D. , Adjetey J. ,
  • 90+8', Gregoritsch M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Wolfsburg
43.4%
Draw
28.3%
Augsburg
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 29.3% 24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4% 30.7% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Augsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • Wolfsburg - Augsburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.06)
    3.36
    (3.24)
    3.4
    (3.88)
    4.7%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Wolfsburg - Augsburg?
    • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Wolfsburg will win (votes: 10 - 33.3%). Augsburg will win (votes: 11 - 36.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 30%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Augsburg: 19.5%53.9%.
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • DNB - Augsburg (2.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • DC - Augsburg (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH -0.25 - Wolfsburg (1.88) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
      • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Wolfsburg (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Augsburg (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 0.
    • Wolfsburg is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Augsburg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Wolfsburg will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Wolfsburg: Cleiton (Ankle Injury) Dardai B. (Knee Injury) Fischer K. (Thigh Injury) Lindstrom J. (Illness) Maehle J. (Shoulder Injury) Rogerio (Muscle Injury) Seelt J. (Illness) Wimmer P. (Muscle Injury) Wind J. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Augsburg: Gouweleeuw J. (Knee Injury) Matsima C. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:26. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wolfsburg won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wolfsburg - Augsburg were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Augsburg - Wolfsburg 3:1
    15.03.2025 Augsburg - Wolfsburg 1:0
    02.11.2024 Wolfsburg - Augsburg 1:1
    16.03.2024 Wolfsburg - Augsburg 1:3
    28.10.2023 Augsburg - Wolfsburg 3:2
    Latest results of Wolfsburg
    15.02.2026 RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg 2:2
    30.01.2026 Köln - Wolfsburg 1:0
    24.01.2026 Mainz - Wolfsburg 3:1
    17.01.2026 Wolfsburg - Heidenheim 1:1
    Latest results of Augsburg
    15.02.2026 Augsburg - Heidenheim 1:0
    07.02.2026 Mainz - Augsburg 2:0
    31.01.2026 Augsburg - St. Pauli 2:1
    24.01.2026 Bayern Munich - Augsburg 1:2
    18.01.2026 Augsburg - Freiburg 2:2
    German Bundesliga Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich342851122:368689
    2Dortmund34227570:343673
    3RB Leipzig34205966:471965
    4Stuttgart34188871:492262
    5Hoffenheim34187965:521361
    6Bayer Leverkusen34178968:472159
    7Freiburg341381351:57-647
    8Eintracht Frankfurt3411111261:65-444
    9Augsburg341271545:61-1643
    10Mainz3410101444:53-940
    11Union Berlin341091544:58-1439
    12B. Monchengladbach349111442:53-1138
    13Hamburger SV349111440:54-1438
    14FC Koln347111649:63-1432
    15Werder Bremen34881837:60-2332
    16Wolfsburg34781945:69-2429
    17Heidenheim34682041:72-3126
    18St. Pauli34682029:60-3126

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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