NAC Breda vs Willem II: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Dutch Eredivisie NAC Breda - Willem II
Result
1:1
18/05/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eredivisie - Round 34
  • Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)
NAC Breda - Willem II - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.721.64
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
87% (450/518)79% (324/411)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
2.721.64
xG on target (xGOT)
2.362.13
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
108
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2815
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
98
Passes
87% (450/518)79% (324/411)
Long passes
70% (23/33)41% (23/56)
Passes in final third
81% (160/197)62% (48/78)
Crosses
25% (6/24)42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.820.55
Throw-ins
1424
Fouls
89
Tackles
52% (12/23)69% (11/16)
Duels won
5644
Clearances
2021
Interceptions
37
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
55
xGOT faced
2.132.36
Goals prevented
1.131.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Omarsson E. ,
  • 42', Greiml L. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 1, Behounek R. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', St. Jago T. , Mathijsen J. ,
  • 64', Janosek D. , Fernandes S. ,
  • 73', Meerveld R. , Kaygin D. ,
  • 73', Kehrer E. , van Loon P. ,
  • 73', Lachkar A. , Bosch J. ,
  • 75', Omarsson E. , van Hooijdonk S. ,
  • 75', Leemans C. , Jensen F. ,
  • 82', Fernandes S. 🟨,
  • 85', Lambert B. , Pivas M. ,
  • 86', Sauer L. , Paula R. ,

Chances of winning


NAC Breda
54.2%
Draw
25.2%
Willem II
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 29% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7% 26.8% 33.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in NAC Breda's performance.
  • Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Willem II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-17.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with NAC Breda that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+13.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Willem II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • NAC Breda - Willem II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (2.34)
    3.78
    (3.2)
    4.61
    (2.97)
    4.7%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for NAC Breda - Willem II?
    The most likely score is 2:1. User prediction is NAC Breda will win! (30 of 33 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breda won 2.
    • Breda has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Willem II is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Willem II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Breda is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Breda: Lucassen B. (Knee Injury) Versluis D. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Willem II: Behounek R. (Red Card) Mathieu D. (Knee Injury) Sandra C. (Injury) Sigurgeirsson R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Breda: Van den Bergh J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Breda won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.5:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Breda won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between NAC Breda - Willem II were as follows:
    24.11.2024 Willem II - NAC Breda 2:2
    22.12.2023 NAC Breda - Willem II 1:2
    05.09.2023 Willem II - NAC Breda Abandoned
    25.04.2023 NAC Breda - Willem II 1:1
    11.12.2022 Willem II - NAC Breda 1:2
    Latest results of NAC Breda
    14.05.2025 NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda 3:0
    04.05.2025 NAC Breda - Zwolle 1:3
    24.04.2025 AZ Alkmaar - NAC Breda 1:1
    Latest results of Willem II
    14.05.2025 Willem II - Zwolle 1:2
    03.05.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Willem II 1:1
    13.04.2025 Willem II - Ajax 1:2
    Draw
    Relegation - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1De GraafschapDordrecht0 : 2, 0 : 0
    2ByeWillem II
    3TelstarDen Haag1 : 0, 2 : 0
    4Den BoschCambuur1 : 1, 1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1DordrechtWillem II2 : 4, 2 : 1
    2TelstarDen Bosch2 : 1, 0 : 0

    Final
    1Willem IITelstar1 : 3, 2 : 2
    Which TV channels are streaming of NAC Breda - Willem II?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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