NAC Breda vs AZ Alkmaar: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Dutch Eredivisie NAC Breda - AZ Alkmaar
Result
0:1
31/08/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eredivisie - Round 4
  • Referee: Manschot J. (Ned)
NAC Breda - AZ Alkmaar - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.822.49
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1125
Shots on target
68
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
17
Passes
76% (218/288)86% (397/461)
Yellow Cards
05
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.822.49
xG on target (xGOT)
1.232.52
Total shots
1125
Shots on target
68
Shots off target
210
Blocked Shots
37
Shots inside the Box
915
Shots outside the Box
210
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
2448
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
118
Passes
76% (218/288)86% (397/461)
Long passes
42% (23/55)56% (23/41)
Passes in final third
67% (55/82)82% (151/184)
Crosses
27% (4/15)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.702.57
Throw-ins
1612
Fouls
813
Tackles
56% (10/18)60% (9/15)
Duels won
4941
Clearances
2827
Interceptions
53
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
76
xGOT faced
2.521.23
Goals prevented
1.521.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 35', de Wit M. 🟨,
  • 41', van Hooijdonk S. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Nassoh M. , Brym C. ,
  • 46', Talvitie J. , Valerius C. ,
  • 55', Sadiq I. 🟨,
  • 56', Brym C. (Pen),
  • 60', Sadiq I. , Weslley Patati ,
  • 60', de Wit M. , Mijnans S. ,
  • 67', Greiml L. , Mahmutovic E. ,
  • 69', Penetra 🟨,
  • 81', Kasius D. , Zeefuik L. ,
  • 81', Daal R. , Jensen I. ,
  • 83', Smit K. 🟨,
  • 86', Smit K. , Sin M. ,
  • 89', 0 - 1, Mijnans S. , Sin M. (A),
  • 90+1', Holtby L. , Leemans C. ,
  • 90+1', Lucassen B. , Versluis D. ,
  • 90+4', Mijnans S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


NAC Breda
19.8%
Draw
23.7%
AZ Alkmaar
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.5% 22.1% 61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.2% 21.7% 62.6%

NAC Breda - AZ Alkmaar Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.84
(5.7)
4.02
(4.25)
1.7
(1.53)
4.3%
(6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for NAC Breda - AZ Alkmaar?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Breda will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). AZ will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 65%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. AZ (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breda won 1.
    • Breda has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • AZ is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • AZ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, AZ is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Breda: Brym C. (Arm Injury) Kongolo T. (Muscle Injury) Soumano M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in AZ: Maikuma S. (Knee Injury) Sin M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in AZ: Meerdink M. (Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Breda won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:25. (average 1.1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Breda won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between NAC Breda - AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
    24.04.2025 AZ Alkmaar - NAC Breda 1:1
    15.12.2024 NAC Breda - AZ Alkmaar 1:2
    Latest results of NAC Breda
    24.08.2025 NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda 3:0
    09.08.2025 Feyenoord - NAC Breda 2:0
    02.08.2025 Norwich City - NAC Breda 2:0
    29.07.2025 NAC Breda - Volos 0:0
    Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
    28.08.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Levski Sofia 4:1
    21.08.2025 Levski Sofia - AZ Alkmaar 0:2
    17.08.2025 Volendam - AZ Alkmaar 2:2
    14.08.2025 Vaduz - AZ Alkmaar 0:1
    10.08.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Groningen 4:1
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV12101140:172331
    2Feyenoord1291231:121928
    3AZ Alkmaar1273225:18724
    4Ajax1255222:17520
    5Utrecht1261522:16619
    6Groningen1261517:17019
    7Nijmegen1253429:20918
    8Twente1244420:18216
    9G.A. Eagles1244419:18116
    10Sittard1251618:20-216
    11Sparta Rotterdam1251614:24-1016
    12Heerenveen1235419:21-214
    13FC Volendam1234516:20-413
    14NAC Breda1233615:21-612
    15Zwolle1233614:27-1312
    16Excelsior1231811:23-1210
    17Telstar1223714:21-79
    18Heracles1230917:33-169

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

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