Willem II vs Heracles Almelo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Dutch Eredivisie Willem II - Heracles Almelo
Result
1:2
09/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eredivisie - Round 32
  • Referee: Manschot J. (Ned)
Willem II - Heracles Almelo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.872.23
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
916
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
510
Passes
80% (334/417)81% (294/362)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.872.23
xG on target (xGOT)
2.002.58
Total shots
916
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
616
Shots outside the Box
30
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
510
Touches in opposition box
2440
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
116
Passes
80% (334/417)81% (294/362)
Long passes
53% (32/60)58% (38/65)
Passes in final third
57% (62/108)64% (70/109)
Crosses
28% (5/18)33% (7/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.382.14
Throw-ins
2918
Fouls
611
Tackles
47% (9/19)72% (13/18)
Duels won
5664
Clearances
2840
Interceptions
814
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
2.582.00
Goals prevented
0.581.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Mesik I. , Bruns T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', 1 - 1, Bokila J. , Kehrer E. (A),
  • 64', Lachkar A. 🟨,
  • 66', 1 - 2, Hornkamp J. (Pen),
  • 69', Hornkamp J. , Engels M. ,
  • 70', Benita M. 🟨,
  • 73', Bokila J. , Tirpan M. ,
  • 73', Lachkar A. , Ahmed Fatah A. ,
  • 81', De Keersmaecker B. , Zamburek J. ,
  • 81', Bruns T. , van Kaam D. ,
  • 83', Kehrer E. , Joosten P. ,
  • 83', Schouten E. , Sylla Y. ,
  • 90+2', Talvitie J. , Wieckhoff J. ,

Chances of winning


Willem II
36.1%
Draw
27.7%
Heracles Almelo
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 25.7% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4% 25.8% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Willem II's form might have worsened.
  • Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Heracles Almelo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Willem II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Heracles Almelo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Willem II - Heracles Almelo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.63
    (2.04)
    3.42
    (3.67)
    2.63
    (3.35)
    5.2%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Willem II - Heracles Almelo?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 1.
    • Willem II is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Heracles has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Heracles may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Willem II: Mathieu D. (Knee Injury) Sandra C. (Injury) Sigurgeirsson R. (Injury) Tirpan M. (Illness)
    • There will not play in Heracles: Cestic S. (Broken ankle) Hoogma J. (Inactive) Laursen N. (Knee Injury) Scheperman S. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Willem II: Bosch J. (Injury) Meerveld R. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 35:33. (average 1.8:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Willem II won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:6. (average 2.2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Willem II - Heracles Almelo were as follows:
    25.08.2024 Heracles Almelo - Willem II 1:1
    17.02.2023 Heracles Almelo - Willem II 1:1
    04.11.2022 Willem II - Heracles Almelo 1:2
    Latest results of Willem II
    03.05.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Willem II 1:1
    13.04.2025 Willem II - Ajax 1:2
    04.04.2025 Heerenveen - Willem II 3:1
    29.03.2025 Willem II - Almere City 0:2
    Latest results of Heracles Almelo
    Draw
    Relegation - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1De GraafschapDordrecht0 : 2, 0 : 0
    2ByeWillem II
    3TelstarDen Haag1 : 0, 2 : 0
    4Den BoschCambuur1 : 1, 1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1DordrechtWillem II
    2TelstarDen Bosch0 : 0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Willem II - Heracles Almelo?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra
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