Result
14:21
22/05/2026 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Super Rugby - Round 15
- Referee: O'Keeffe B. (Nzl)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 100 | 100 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 13 | 71 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 448 | 366 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 14)
- 20', Pollard B. (Try),
- 21', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
- 30', Gamble C. 🟨,
- 32', Neville C. (Try),
- 33', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
- 36', Wilson T. ↓, McDonald M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (14 - 7)
- 41', Pollard B. ↓, Lonergan L. ↑,
- 47', Neville C. ↓, Frost N. ↑,
- 51', Alaalatoa A. (Try),
- 52', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
- 52', Slipper J. ↓, Schoupp B. ↑,
- 52', Scott R. ↓, Reimer L. ↑,
- 54', Alaalatoa A. ↓, Van Nek R. ↑,
- 56', Botha D. ↓, Ranawai A. ↑,
- 56', Barrett J. ↓, Kailea I. ↑,
- 56', Creighton L. ↓, Walton J. ↑,
- 58', Lonergan L. 🟨,
- 62', Kailea I. (Try),
- 63', Harvey S. (Conversion Goal),
- 64', Gamble C. ↓, Adamson J. ↑,
- 64', Bowen J. ↓, Debreczeni J. ↑,
- 64', Pritchard K. ↓, Creighton H. ↑,
- 67', Moananu I. ↓, Finau O. ↑,
- 67', Muirhead A. ↓, Pollard B. ↑,
- 69', Jorgensen M. (Try),
- 70', Harvey S. (Conversion Goal),
- 70', Pollard B. ↓, Muirhead A. ↑,
- 75', Amatosero M. ↓, Grant B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Waratahs
36.4% | Draw
4% | Brumbies
59.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Waratahs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Brumbies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waratahs than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brumbies than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Waratahs - Brumbies Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.51 ↑
(2.37) |
22.95 ↑
(20) |
1.55 ↓
(1.62) |
8.7%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 54.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
What is the prediction for Waratahs - Brumbies?
- Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
- O/U 58.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 25:30.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waratahs won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Waratahs may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Brumbies might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Waratahs won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 439:651. (average 22:32.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Waratahs won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 206:260. (average 22.9:28.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Waratahs won against Brumbies?
Waratahs has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brumbies won against Waratahs?
Brumbies has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Waratahs - Brumbies were as follows:
27.03.2026
Brumbies
-
Waratahs
28:30
27.09.2025
Brumbies
-
Waratahs
34:42
03.05.2025
Brumbies
-
Waratahs
40:17
22.03.2025
Waratahs
-
Brumbies
28:23
11.05.2024
Waratahs
-
Brumbies
21:29
Latest results of Waratahs
Latest results of Brumbies
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Hurricanes (1) | Brumbies (6) | 66 : 12 |
| 3 | Chiefs (2) | Reds (5) | 46 : 24 |
| 4 | Crusaders (3) | Blues (4) | 52 : 31 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Hurricanes (1) | Blues (4) | 57 : 21 |
| 2 | Chiefs (2) | Crusaders (3) | 49 : 12 |
Final| 1 | Hurricanes (1) | Chiefs (2) | 60 : 5 |
Which TV channels are streaming of Waratahs - Brumbies?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
