Result
30:21
02/05/2026 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Super Rugby - Round 12
- Referee: O'Keeffe B. (Nzl)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 100 | 75 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 56 | 66 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 345 | 368 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (17 - 7)
- 4', Shaw L. (Try),
- 5', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
- 7', Salakaia-Loto L. (Try),
- 8', McLaughlin-Phillips H. (Conversion Goal),
- 25', McLaughlin-Phillips H. (Penalty Goal),
- 39', Flook J. (Try),
- 40', McLaughlin-Phillips H. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (13 - 14)
- 41', Ross A. ↓, Toomaga-Allen J. ↑,
- 42', McLaughlin-Phillips H. (Penalty Goal),
- 44', Valetini R. (Try),
- 45', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
- 48', Slipper J. ↓, Schoupp B. ↑,
- 48', Van Nek R. ↓, Breen D. ↑,
- 51', Scott R. ↓, Reimer L. ↑,
- 53', MacPherson T. ↓, Neville C. ↑,
- 54', Feliuai D. (Try),
- 55', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
- 58', Nonggorr Z. ↓, Bloomfield N. ↑,
- 58', Ryan T. ↓, Pritchard T. ↑,
- 58', Thomas K. ↓, Werchon L. ↑,
- 60', Uru S. (Try),
- 61', McLaughlin-Phillips H. (Conversion Goal),
- 61', Faessler M. ↓, Nasser J. ↑,
- 61', Feliuai D. ↓, Sapsford O. ↑,
- 63', Lonergan L. ↓, Bowron L. ↑,
- 64', Reimer L. ↓, Scott R. ↑,
- 64', Meredith D. ↓, Edmed T. ↑,
- 66', McLaughlin-Phillips H. ↓, Volavola B. ↑,
- 67', Volavola B. (Penalty Goal),
- 76', Uru S. ↓, Muller H. ↑,
- 76', Wilson H. ↓, Latu V. ↑,
Chances of winning
Reds
58.5% | Draw
4.3% | Brumbies
37.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Reds's performance.Brumbies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brumbies might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reds than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Reds that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brumbies than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brumbies could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Reds - Brumbies Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↓
(1.83) |
21.56 ↑
(20.23) |
2.45 ↑
(2.01) |
8.5%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 54.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
What is the prediction for Reds - Brumbies?
- Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Reds will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Brumbies will win (votes: 1 - 50%).
- The most likely score by Bookmakers is 30:25.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reds won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Reds may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Reds might have a minor edge in this game.
- We predict that Reds will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Reds won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 481:507. (average 24.1:25.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Reds won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 249:213. (average 24.9:21.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Reds won against Brumbies?
Reds has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brumbies won against Reds?
Brumbies has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Reds - Brumbies were as follows:
07.03.2026
Brumbies
-
Reds
31:34
14.09.2025
Reds
-
Brumbies
36:26
17.05.2025
Brumbies
-
Reds
24:14
12.04.2025
Reds
-
Brumbies
26:39
30.03.2024
Reds
-
Brumbies
19:20
Latest results of Brumbies
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Hurricanes (1) | Brumbies (6) | 66 : 12 |
| 3 | Chiefs (2) | Reds (5) | 46 : 24 |
| 4 | Crusaders (3) | Blues (4) | 52 : 31 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Hurricanes (1) | Blues (4) | 57 : 21 |
| 2 | Chiefs (2) | Crusaders (3) | 49 : 12 |
Final| 1 | Hurricanes (1) | Chiefs (2) | 60 : 5 |
Which TV channels are streaming of Reds - Brumbies?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 France | CANAL+ Sport |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-africa | SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
