Brumbies vs Western Force: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
32:15
09/05/2026 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Super Rugby - Round 13
Brumbies - Western Force - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
42
Conversion goals
31
Conversion goal attempts
42
Penalty goals
21
Penalty goal attempts
21
Goals %
8367
Dropped goals
00
Dropped goal attempts
00
Total runs
9032
Metres run with ball
334286

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (14 - 10)
  • 2', Shaw L. (Try),
  • 3', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 15', Robertson H. , Hastie N. ,
  • 16', Johnson-Holmes H. (Try),
  • 18', Donaldson B. (Conversion Goal),
  • 30', Donaldson B. (Penalty Goal),
  • 31', Sapsford O. (Try),
  • 32', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (18 - 5)
  • 41', Robertson T. , Pearce M. ,
  • 49', Lonergan R. (Penalty Goal),
  • 52', Lonergan R. (Try),
  • 53', Lonergan R. (Missed Conversion),
  • 54', Lonergan L. , Pollard B. ,
  • 54', Alaalatoa A. , Van Nek R. ,
  • 54', Shaw L. , Neville C. ,
  • 54', Slipper J. , Schoupp B. ,
  • 54', Johnson-Holmes H. , Faagase S. ,
  • 54', Swain D. , Harris W. ,
  • 60', Tizzano C. (Try),
  • 61', Donaldson B. (Missed Conversion),
  • 63', Paenga-Amosa B. , Dolly N. ,
  • 65', Donaldson B. , Beale K. ,
  • 71', Molina F. , Faifua L. ,
  • 72', Lonergan R. (Penalty Goal),
  • 72', Scott R. , Mickelson C. ,
  • 74', Mickelson C. (Try),
  • 75', Lonergan R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 76', Wright T. , Muirhead A. ,
  • 76', Lonergan R. , Thorn K. ,
  • 76', Meredith D. , Edmed T. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Brumbies
63.3%
Draw
4.3%
Western Force
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.9% 4.8% 28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.3% 5.2% 26.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brumbies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Western Force has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brumbies than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brumbies, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Force than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Western Force, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Brumbies - Western Force Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.38)
    21.61
    (19.18)
    2.95
    (3.27)
    8.2%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 57.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
    What is the prediction for Brumbies - Western Force?
    • Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Brumbies will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 32:26.
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brumbies won 3.
    • Brumbies has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Western Force has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Western Force may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Brumbies is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brumbies won 17 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 631:411. (average 31.6:20.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brumbies won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 281:168. (average 31.2:18.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brumbies - Western Force were as follows:
    14.02.2026 Western Force - Brumbies 24:56
    20.09.2025 Western Force - Brumbies 46:35
    10.05.2025 Western Force - Brumbies 14:33
    22.02.2025 Brumbies - Western Force 42:45
    01.06.2024 Western Force - Brumbies 19:24
    Latest results of Brumbies
    02.05.2026 Reds - Brumbies 30:21
    25.04.2026 Hurricanes - Brumbies 45:12
    18.04.2026 Brumbies - Fijian Drua 28:33
    10.04.2026 Highlanders - Brumbies 10:14
    27.03.2026 Brumbies - Waratahs 28:30
    Latest results of Western Force
    01.05.2026 Waratahs - Western Force 17:20
    18.04.2026 Western Force - Crusaders 31:26
    11.04.2026 Fijian Drua - Western Force 24:22
    04.04.2026 Reds - Western Force 19:42
    28.03.2026 Western Force - Chiefs 14:24
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Crusaders (2)Reds (5)32 : 12
    2Chiefs (1)Blues (6)19 : 20
    3Chiefs (1)Bye
    4Brumbies (3)Hurricanes (4)35 : 28

    Semi-finals
    1Crusaders (2)Blues (6)21 : 14
    2Chiefs (1)Brumbies (3)37 : 17

    Final
    1Crusaders (2)Chiefs (1)16 : 12
    Which TV channels are streaming of Brumbies - Western Force?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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