Academia Puerto Cabello vs Vasco da Gama: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Copa Sudamericana
Soccer Copa Sudamericana Academia Puerto Cabello - Vasco da Gama
Result
4:1
07/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
  • Referee: Mendez J. (Par)
Academia Puerto Cabello - Vasco da Gama - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.690.28
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
76% (204/269)88% (366/418)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.690.28
xG on target (xGOT)
3.980.69
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
1317
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
76% (204/269)88% (366/418)
Long passes
38% (17/45)68% (28/41)
Passes in final third
65% (63/97)75% (71/95)
Crosses
31% (5/16)24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.390.33
Throw-ins
2026
Fouls
1010
Tackles
73% (11/15)92% (11/12)
Duels won
4251
Clearances
2430
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.693.98
Goals prevented
-0.31-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Paredes J. (Pen),
  • 38', 1 - 1, Joao Victor ⚽, Lucas Piton (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 50', 2 - 1, Padron G. ⚽, Paredes J. (A),
  • 55', Mateus Carvalho ↓, Paulinho Paula ↑,
  • 55', Tche Tche ↓, Moreira N. ↑,
  • 56', Mbaye M. 🟨,
  • 58', Paulinho Paula 🟨,
  • 60', 3 - 1, Guerrero R. ⚽, Meza D. (A),
  • 65', Guerrero R. ↓, Awudu Abdul ↑,
  • 65', 4 - 1, Paredes J. ⚽, Padron G. (A),
  • 69', Rayan ↓, Adson ↑,
  • 73', Linares H. ↓, Gonzalez O. ↑,
  • 74', Meza D. ↓, Manzambi N. ↑,
  • 74', Paredes J. ↓, Hernandez O. ↑,
  • 78', Joao Victor 🟨,
  • 79', Paulo Henrique ↓, Garre B. ↑,
  • 79', Coutinho ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
  • 81', Contreras H. ↓, Echeverria J. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Academia Puerto Cabello
16.3%		Draw
24.1%		Vasco da Gama
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.4% 25.6% 53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8% 24.9% 54.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Academia Puerto Cabello has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Academia Puerto Cabello's form might have worsened.
  • Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vasco da Gama's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Academia Puerto Cabello than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vasco da Gama, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Academia Puerto Cabello - Vasco da Gama Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 5.76 ↑
    (4.39)    		 3.88 ↑
    (3.66)    		 1.57 ↓
    (1.77)    		 6.6%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Academia Puerto Cabello - Vasco da Gama?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vasco (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1 - Vasco (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Vasco da Gama will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Puerto Cabello has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Vasco has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Vasco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Vasco is the team to beat.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Puerto Cabello won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Academia Puerto Cabello - Vasco da Gama were as follows:
    08.04.2025 Vasco da Gama - Academia Puerto Cabello 1:0
    Latest results of Academia Puerto Cabello
    02.05.2025 Academia Puerto Cabello - Deportivo Táchira 1:2
    27.04.2025 Academia Puerto Cabello - Portuguesa Acarígua 2:1
    22.04.2025 FBC Melgar - Academia Puerto Cabello 1:0 ✺
    18.04.2025 Estudiantes de Mérida - Academia Puerto Cabello 1:0
    13.04.2025 Academia Puerto Cabello - Deportivo Táchira 3:2
    Latest results of Vasco da Gama
    04.05.2025 Vasco da Gama - Palmeiras 0:1 ✺
    01.05.2025 Operário Ferroviario - Vasco da Gama 1:1 ✺
    27.04.2025 Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama 1:0 ✺
    22.04.2025 Vasco da Gama - Lanús 0:0 ✺
    19.04.2025 Vasco da Gama - Flamengo 0:0 ✺
    Copa Sudamericana Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Independiente640216:61012
    2Guarani62229:12-38
    3Boston River621312:14-27
    4Nacional Potosi62138:13-57


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. Catolica642012:5714
    2Cerro Largo62135:8-37
    3Vitoria61323:4-16
    4Defensa y Justicia60424:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Huracan642011:2914
    2America De Cali61506:428
    3Corinthians62225:508
    4Racing Montevideo60153:14-111


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Godoy Cruz633010:5512
    2Gremio63308:4412
    3Grau60425:9-44
    4Sp. Luqueno60244:9-52


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mushuc Runa651012:4816
    2Palestino63039:909
    3Cruzeiro61235:7-25
    4Union de Santa Fe61142:8-64


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fluminense641111:2913
    2Once Caldas64028:6212
    3U. Espanola61236:7-15
    4GV San Jose61145:15-104


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lanus63309:4512
    2Vasco62228:808
    3FBC Melgar62135:10-57
    4Puerto Cabello61238:805


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cienciano624012:6610
    2Atletico-MG623111:659
    3Caracas62229:11-28
    4Deportes Iquique61147:16-94

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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