Result
4:1
23/08/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A Betano - Round 24
- Referee: Machado B. (Bra)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.62 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (472/542) | 86% (349/404) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 1.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (472/542) | 86% (349/404) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (16/45) | 34% (12/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (75/108) | 74% (75/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/14) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.72 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (15/20) | 61% (14/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.99 | 1.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.99 | -2.05 |
| Goal kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Marlon Freitas 🟨,
- 44', Gomez A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (4 - 1)
- 46', Barboza A. ↓, Murilo ↑,
- 47', 1 - 0, Lopez J. ⚽, Allan Elias (A),
- 50', Thiago Mendes 🟨,
- 51', 2 - 0, Vitor Roque (Penalty Awarded),
- 56', 3 - 0, Mauricio ⚽, Andreas Pereira (A),
- 58', Cuiabano ↓, Riquelme Avellar ↑,
- 58', Thiago Mendes ↓, Ramon Rique ↑,
- 65', Adson ↓, Moreira N. ↑,
- 65', David ↓, Colidio F. ↑,
- 71', Allan Elias ↓, Felipe Anderson ↑,
- 71', Vitor Roque ↓, Arias J. ↑,
- 71', Marlon Freitas ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
- 72', Gomez A. ↓, Hinestroza M. ↑,
- 83', Robert Renan 🟨,
- 83', Giay A. ↓, Khellven ↑,
- 89', 4 - 0, Lopez J. ⚽, Arias J. (A),
- 90+4', 4 - 1, Colidio F. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Palmeiras
58.7% | Draw
24.5% | Vasco da Gama
16.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Palmeiras, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Palmeiras - Vasco da Gama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↑
(1.53) |
3.87 ↓
(3.9) |
5.66 ↓
(6.15) |
5%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Palmeiras - Vasco da Gama?
- Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 1 - 100%).
- Users Predictions:
Palmeiras will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. - The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 4.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Vasco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Palmeiras is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Jefte
(Knee Injury)
Paulinho
(Muscle Injury)
Sosa R.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Vasco: Brenner
(Injury)
Mateus Carvalho
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Vasco: Jair
(Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 29:15. (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:5. (average 1.6:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Vasco da Gama?
Palmeiras has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Palmeiras?
Vasco da Gama has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Vasco da Gama were as follows:
12.03.2026
Vasco da Gama
-
Palmeiras
2:1
01.10.2025
Palmeiras
-
Vasco da Gama
3:0
04.05.2025
Vasco da Gama
-
Palmeiras
0:1
22.09.2024
Vasco da Gama
-
Palmeiras
0:1
13.06.2024
Palmeiras
-
Vasco da Gama
2:0
Latest results of Palmeiras
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A Table
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55:23 | 32 | 60 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47:21 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43:32 | 11 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 8 | 48 |
| 5 | Bahia | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:35 | 8 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 45 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:32 | 5 | 43 |
| 8 | Santos | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43:41 | 2 | 41 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 36 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo RJ | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41:45 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28:42 | -14 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:32 | -3 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33:42 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | Vasco | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34:41 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30:38 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 | Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30:36 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 | Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29:53 | -24 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
Which TV channels are streaming of Palmeiras - Vasco da Gama?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Flow Eventos |
 Austria | Laola1 |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | Laola1, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
 North-central-america | Flow Sports 1 Caribbean |
 Paraguay | Flow Eventos |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2 |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Flow |
 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
 World | TV Globo Internacional |
