Valencia vs Deportivo Alavés: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

08/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio de Mestalla (Valencia).

: LaLiga - Round 27

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.60	1.33
Ball possession
61%	39%
Total shots
19	10
Shots on target
8	4
Big chances
3	2
Corner kicks
10	2
Passes
88% (490/554)	80% (288/361)
Yellow cards
1	6
Red cards
0	2
Expected goals (xG)
2.60	1.33
xG on target (xGOT)
3.46	1.01
Total shots
19	10
Shots on target
8	4
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked shots
6	3
Shots inside the box
13	7
Shots outside the box
6	3
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
3	2
Corner kicks
10	2
Touches in opposition box
43	23
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
4	1
Free kicks
17	9
Passes
88% (490/554)	80% (288/361)
Long passes
55% (17/31)	45% (22/49)
Passes in final third
81% (168/207)	67% (68/102)
Crosses
27% (9/33)	33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
2.43	0.76
Throw ins
21	13
Fouls
9	17
Tackles
67% (12/18)	62% (18/29)
Duels won
54	65
Clearances
10	41
Interceptions
6	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	5
xGOT faced
1.01	3.46
Goals prevented
-0.99	0.46

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Boye L. (Penalty Awarded),
17', Ramazani L. 🟨,
30', Protesoni C. ↓, Yusi ↑,
36', Guridi J. 🟨,
43', Yusi 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
47', 1 - 1, Guerra J. ⚽, Sadiq U. (A),
58', Pacheco J. 🟨,
68', Alena C. ↓, Guevara A. ↑,
68', Guridi J. ↓, Suarez D. ↑,
70', Rioja L. ↓, Danjuma A. ↑,
71', 1 - 2, Boye L. ⚽, Suarez D. (A),
74', Ugrinic F. ↓, Duro H. ↑,
82', Rendall T. ↓, Raba D. ↑,
82', Guerra J. ↓, Almeida A. ↑,
82', Ramazani L. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
84', Martinez T. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
90', 2 - 2, Comert E. ⚽,
90+2', Guevara A. 🟨,
90+7', Pacheco J. 🟨,
90+7', Guevara A. 🟨,
90+9', 3 - 2, Duro H. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning

Valencia
45.1%

Draw
31.2%

Deportivo Alavés
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

30.8%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

31.7%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Deportivo Alavés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Valencia - Deportivo Alavés Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.16)	3.06 ↓ (3.09)	4.01 ↑ (3.79)	4.7% (5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Valencia - Deportivo Alavés?

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Valencia will win (votes: 18 - 43.9%). Alavés will win (votes: 5 - 12.2%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 43.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valencia: 28.7% – 59.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Valencia (votes: 5 - 50%). Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.25 - Valencia (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Valencia (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Valencia (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 15 and 16)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 0.
In recent matches, Valencia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Alavés's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Alavés may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Valencia could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Valencia: Agirrezabala J. (Knee Injury) Beltran L. (Knee Injury) Copete J. (Ankle Injury) Diakhaby M. (Muscle Injury) Foulquier D. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Alavés: Diaz M. (Coach's decision) Garces F. (Suspended) Ibanez P. (Yellow Cards) Parada V. (Red Card)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 1.4:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Valencia won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 1.8:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Valencia won against Deportivo Alavés?

Valencia has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Alavés won against Valencia?

Deportivo Alavés has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Valencia - Deportivo Alavés were as follows:

20.10.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Valencia 0:0

14.05.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Valencia 1:0

22.12.2024 Valencia - Deportivo Alavés 2:2

24.07.2024 Valencia - Deportivo Alavés 0:1

05.05.2024 Valencia - Deportivo Alavés 0:1

Latest results of Valencia

01.03.2026 Valencia - Osasuna 1:0 ✺

22.02.2026 Villarreal - Valencia 2:1 ✺

15.02.2026 Levante - Valencia 0:2 ✺

08.02.2026 Valencia - Real Madrid 0:2 ✺

04.02.2026 Valencia - Athletic Bilbao 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Deportivo Alavés

27.02.2026 Levante - Deportivo Alavés 2:0 ✺

23.02.2026 Deportivo Alavés - Girona 2:2 ✺

14.02.2026 Sevilla - Deportivo Alavés 1:1 ✺

08.02.2026 Deportivo Alavés - Getafe 0:2 ✺

04.02.2026 Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad 2:3 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	27	22	1	4	72:26	46	67
2	Real Madrid	27	20	3	4	56:23	33	63
3	Atl. Madrid	27	16	6	5	46:25	21	54
4	Villarreal	27	17	3	7	50:32	18	54
5	Betis	27	11	10	6	42:34	8	43
6	Celta Vigo	27	10	10	7	37:30	7	40
7	Espanyol	27	10	7	10	34:40	-6	37
8	Real Sociedad	27	9	8	10	40:41	-1	35
9	Getafe	27	10	5	12	23:29	-6	35
10	Ath Bilbao	27	10	5	12	30:37	-7	35
11	Osasuna	27	9	7	11	32:32	0	34
12	Valencia	27	8	8	11	30:41	-11	32
13	Rayo Vallecano	27	7	10	10	27:33	-6	31
14	Sevilla	27	8	7	12	35:42	-7	31
15	Girona	27	7	10	10	28:43	-15	31
16	Alaves	27	7	6	14	25:37	-12	27
17	Elche	27	5	11	11	35:41	-6	26
18	Mallorca	27	6	7	14	31:44	-13	25
19	Levante	27	5	7	15	29:45	-16	22
20	Oviedo	27	3	9	15	17:44	-27	18

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Valencia - Deportivo Alavés?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bolivia	ESPN 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	ESPN 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 3
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Tanzania	ZBC 2 Tanzania
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 3
Vietnam	SCTV 15