Deportivo Alavés vs Athletic Bilbao: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

02/05/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Mendizorrotza (Vitoria-Gasteiz).

: LaLiga - Round 34
Referee: Quintero A. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.49	0.92
Ball possession
50%	50%
Total shots
7	9
Shots on target
4	4
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
4	6
Passes
78% (314/402)	82% (330/402)
Yellow cards
4	4
Expected goals (xG)
0.49	0.92
xG on target (xGOT)
1.11	2.50
Total shots
7	9
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
1	4
Blocked shots
2	1
Shots inside the box
4	7
Shots outside the box
3	2
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
4	6
Touches in opposition box
24	20
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
4	0
Free kicks
13	8
Passes
78% (314/402)	82% (330/402)
Long passes
46% (27/59)	60% (30/50)
Passes in final third
69% (84/122)	71% (100/140)
Crosses
28% (5/18)	21% (5/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.81	1.10
Throw ins
30	20
Fouls
8	13
Tackles
53% (8/15)	42% (11/26)
Duels won
47	60
Clearances
20	17
Interceptions
10	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
0	2
xGOT faced
2.50	1.11
Goals prevented
-1.50	-0.89

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Blanco A. ⚽, Perez A. (A),
28', Martinez T. 🟨,
41', Valverde E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
46', Jauregizar M. ↓, Ruiz de Galarreta I. ↑,
46', Williams I. ↓, Navarro R. ↑,
46', Gomez U. ↓, Sancet O. ↑,
46', 1 - 1, Navarro R. ⚽, Williams N. (A),
49', Ibanez P. 🟨,
60', Guruzeta G. 🟨,
60', Blanco A. 🟨,
62', Suarez D. ↓, Guridi J. ↑,
62', Ibanez P. ↓, Guevara A. ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Tenaglia N. ⚽, Rebbach A. (A),
73', Diabate I. ↓, Alena C. ↑,
73', Gorosabel A. ↓, Areso J. ↑,
74', 2 - 2, Sancet O. ⚽, Berchiche Y. (A),
76', Williams N. 🟨,
83', 2 - 3, Williams N. ⚽, Guruzeta G. (A),
84', Jauregizar M. 🟨,
87', 2 - 4, Williams N. ⚽, Guruzeta G. (A),
89', Williams N. ↓, Boiro A. ↑,
90+2', Alena C. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Deportivo Alavés
34.2%

Draw
29%

Athletic Bilbao
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

28.4%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

28.8%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Alavés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Deportivo Alavés - Athletic Bilbao Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.63)	3.29 ↓ (3.33)	2.59 ↓ (2.64)	4.8% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Deportivo Alavés - Athletic Bilbao?

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Alavés will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%). Athletic will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 48.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.3% – 66.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alavés won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Alavés: Boye L. (Muscle Injury) Garces F. (Suspended) Protesoni C. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Athletic: Prados Diaz B. (Knee Injury) Sannadi M. (Coach's decision)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alavés won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 0.7:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Alavés won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Alavés won against Athletic Bilbao?

Deportivo Alavés has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Bilbao won against Deportivo Alavés?

Athletic Bilbao has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Alavés - Athletic Bilbao were as follows:

13.09.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Deportivo Alavés 0:1

22.07.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Athletic Bilbao 1:0

11.05.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Deportivo Alavés 1:0

15.12.2024 Deportivo Alavés - Athletic Bilbao 1:1

16.03.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Deportivo Alavés 2:0

Latest results of Deportivo Alavés

25.04.2026 Deportivo Alavés - Mallorca 2:1 ✺

21.04.2026 Real Madrid - Deportivo Alavés 2:1 ✺

11.04.2026 Real Sociedad - Deportivo Alavés 3:3 ✺

05.04.2026 Deportivo Alavés - Osasuna 2:2 ✺

22.03.2026 Celta de Vigo - Deportivo Alavés 3:4 ✺

Latest results of Athletic Bilbao

25.04.2026 Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao 3:2 ✺

21.04.2026 Athletic Bilbao - Osasuna 1:0 ✺

12.04.2026 Athletic Bilbao - Villarreal 1:2 ✺

05.04.2026 Getafe - Athletic Bilbao 2:0 ✺

22.03.2026 Athletic Bilbao - Betis 2:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Alaves	1	1	0	0	3:0	3	3
2	Espanyol	1	1	0	0	3:0	3	3
3	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
4	Villarreal	1	0	1	0	2:2	0	1
5	Racing Santander	1	0	1	0	2:2	0	1
6	Elche	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
7	Dep. A Coruna	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
8	Real Sociedad	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Celta Vigo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Malaga	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Real Madrid	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Barcelona	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Atl. Madrid	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Valencia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Ath Bilbao	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Betis	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Osasuna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Rayo Vallecano	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
19	Getafe	1	0	0	1	0:3	-3	0
20	Levante	1	0	0	1	0:3	-3	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Deportivo Alavés - Athletic Bilbao?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	DSports
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 3, Arena Sport 7
Singapore	beIN Sports 2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga 2, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 310
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 15, SCTV Online