Deportivo Alavés vs Real Sociedad: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish Copa del Rey Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad
Result
2:3
04/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa del Rey - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Quintero A. (Esp)
Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.861.48
Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
36
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
36
Passes
69% (232/335)79% (308/390)
Yellow cards
34
Expected goals (xG)
1.861.48
xG on target (xGOT)
1.771.32
Total shots
711
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
13
Blocked shots
32
Shots inside the box
57
Shots outside the box
24
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
2219
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
13
Free kicks
1817
Passes
69% (232/335)79% (308/390)
Long passes
37% (24/65)26% (11/43)
Passes in final third
53% (63/118)65% (72/111)
Crosses
7% (1/14)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.430.77
Throw ins
3129
Fouls
1718
Tackles
52% (12/23)73% (16/22)
Duels won
6069
Clearances
2541
Interceptions
49
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
31
xGOT faced
1.321.77
Goals prevented
-1.68-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Rebbach A. , Manas A. (A),
  • 15', 1 - 1, Oyarzabal M. , Guedes G. (A),
  • 28', Turrientes B. 🟨,
  • 29', 2 - 1, Martinez T. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 37', Guedes G. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Munoz A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 59', Aramburu J. , Odriozola A. ,
  • 59', Soler C. , Sucic L. ,
  • 66', Caleta-Car D. 🟨,
  • 67', Martinez T. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 71', Manas A. , Boye L. ,
  • 71', Calebe , Ibanez P. ,
  • 74', Mendez B. , Oskarsson O. ,
  • 74', Munoz A. , Diaz D. ,
  • 75', Guevara A. 🟨,
  • 76', 2 - 2, Guedes G. , Turrientes B. (A),
  • 80', 2 - 3, Oskarsson O. , Sucic L. (A),
  • 83', Boye L. 🟨,
  • 84', Suarez D. , Alena C. ,
  • 84', Rebbach A. , Perez A. ,
  • 90+1', Pacheco J. , Guridi J. ,
  • 90+2', Guedes G. , Zubeldia I. ,
  • 90+8', Ibanez P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Alavés
31.8%
Draw
30.3%
Real Sociedad
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.9% 31.4% 36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3% 31.8% 36.1%

Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3
(2.96)
3.12
(3.01)
2.52
(2.58)
5.1%
(5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad?
  • Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Alavés will win (votes: 5 - 13.9%). Real Sociedad will win (votes: 17 - 47.2%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 38.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad: 30.9%63.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Alavés (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Real Sociedad (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Alavés (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • TQ, OT - Real Sociedad (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Real Sociedad (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Alavés (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Alavés (votes: 3 - 25%). Real Sociedad (votes: 6 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alavés won 3.
  • In recent matches, Alavés has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
  • Real Sociedad is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • Real Sociedad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
  • There will not play in Alavés: Diabate I. (Inactive) Diaz M. (Coach's decision) Protesoni C. (Injury)
  • There will not play in Real Sociedad: Barrenetxea A. (Muscle Injury) Karrikaburu J. (Inactive) Kubo T. (Muscle Injury) Marrero U. (Injury) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury) Zakharyan A. (Calf Injury)
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alavés won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 0.8:1.2).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Alavés won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.8:0.8).
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad were as follows:
06.12.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad 1:0
23.04.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad 1:0
28.08.2024 Real Sociedad - Deportivo Alavés 1:2
20.07.2024 Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad 1:1
31.03.2024 Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad 0:1
Latest results of Deportivo Alavés
Latest results of Real Sociedad
Draw
2025/26

1/128-finals
1MutilveraBye
2ByeZaragoza
3Atl. TordesillasBye
4ByeBurgos CF
5NavalcarneroBye
6ByeAD Merida
7Inter de ValdemoroUniv. Julio Suarez3 : 1, 1 : 1
8ByeGetafe
9Atl. AstorgaBye
10ByeMirandes
11Caudal DeportivoBye
12ByeGijon
13Puente GenilBye
14ByeFC Cartagena SAD
15Sporting CeutaMaracena0 : 2, 1 : 1
16ByeValencia
17TropezonBye
18ByeCultural Leonesa
19Valle EguesBye
20ByeAndorra
21Ciudad CiezaBye
22ByeCordoba
23OrihuelaBye
24ByeLevante
25Ourense CFBye
26ByeOviedo
27ConstanciaBye
28ByeGirona
32ByeAth Bilbao
33PortugaleteBye
34ByeValladolid
35Deportivo GetxoBetis Valladolid2 : 1, 0 : 0
36ByeAlaves
37CD ExtremaduraBye
38ByeLas Palmas
39ToledoBye
40ByeSevilla
41RSD AlcalaBye
42ByeTenerife
43RodaBye
44ByeGranada CF
45Real AvilaBye
46ByeReal Aviles
47CampanarioCD Yuncos0 : 2, 0 : 0
48ByeRayo Vallecano
49JaenBye
50ByeEldense
51Lorca DeportivaBye
52ByeAlmeria
53Reus FCRBye
54ByeCE Europa
55Textil EscudoSD Negreira0 : 4, 2 : 1
56ByeReal Sociedad
57LangreoBye
58ByeRacing Club Ferrol
59Utebo FCBye
60ByeHuesca
61EbroBye
62ByeTarazona
63CD Sant JordiLourdes3 : 1, 1 : 0
64ByeOsasuna
65AzuagaBye
66ByeLeganes
67San FernandoBye
68ByeAlbacete
69Sant AndreuBye
70ByeTeruel
71Puerto de VegaCCD Alberite1 : 1, 4 : 0
72ByeCelta Vigo
73Rayo MajadahondaBye
74ByeCF Talavera
75CD EsteponaBye
76ByeMalaga
80ByeReal Madrid
81UD LogronesBye
82ByePonferradina
83SD LogronesBye
84ByeRacing Santander
85AntonianoBye
86ByeCastellon
87Ciudad de LucenaBye
88ByeVillarreal
89GuadalajaraBye
90ByeCacereno
91La UnionBye
92ByeCeuta
96ByeBarcelona
97MurciaBye
98ByeAntequera
99UCAM MurciaBye
100ByeCadiz CF
101TorrentBye
102ByeTorremolinos
103Atletico MelillaPalma del Rio0 : 5, 0 : 5
104ByeBetis
105UD OurenseBye
106ByePontevedra
107NaxaraBye
108ByeEibar
109Quintanar del ReyBye
110ByeUD Ibiza
111ManisesUD Los Garres0 : 4, 2 : 0
112ByeElche
113PoblenseBye
114ByeSabadell
115UD SamanoBye
116ByeDep. La Coruna
117NumanciaBye
118ByeArenas Getxo
119Sant JustAtletico Calatayud4 : 1, 3 : 0
120ByeMallorca
121BalearesBye
122ByeGimnastic
123Atletic LleidaBye
124ByeEspanyol
128ByeAtl. Madrid

1/64-finals
1MutilveraZaragoza1 : 3
2Atl. TordesillasBurgos CF1 : 2
3NavalcarneroAD Merida2 : 1
4Inter de ValdemoroGetafe0 : 11
5Atl. AstorgaMirandes1 : 2
6Caudal DeportivoGijon0 : 1
7Puente GenilFC Cartagena SAD0 : 1
8MaracenaValencia0 : 5
9TropezonCultural Leonesa1 : 3
10Valle EguesAndorra1 : 5
11Ciudad CiezaCordoba1 : 0
12OrihuelaLevante3 : 4
13Ourense CFOviedo4 : 2
14ConstanciaGirona2 : 3
16ByeAth Bilbao
17PortugaleteValladolid1 : 0
18Deportivo GetxoAlaves0 : 7
19CD ExtremaduraLas Palmas3 : 1
20ToledoSevilla1 : 4
21RSD AlcalaTenerife0 : 4
22RodaGranada CF1 : 5
23Real AvilaReal Aviles1 : 0
24CD YuncosRayo Vallecano1 : 6
25JaenEldense1 : 3
26Lorca DeportivaAlmeria0 : 2
27Reus FCRCE Europa3 : 2
28SD NegreiraReal Sociedad0 : 3
29LangreoRacing Club Ferrol0 : 1
30Utebo FCHuesca0 : 3
31EbroTarazona2 : 1
32CD Sant JordiOsasuna0 : 5
33AzuagaLeganes1 : 4
34San FernandoAlbacete0 : 3
35Sant AndreuTeruel2 : 1
36Puerto de VegaCelta Vigo0 : 2
37Rayo MajadahondaCF Talavera1 : 4
38CD EsteponaMalaga1 : 3
40ByeReal Madrid
41UD LogronesPonferradina1 : 3
42SD LogronesRacing Santander0 : 4
43AntonianoCastellon1 : 0
44Ciudad de LucenaVillarreal0 : 6
45GuadalajaraCacereno2 : 1
46La UnionCeuta0 : 2
48ByeBarcelona
49MurciaAntequera2 : 1
50UCAM MurciaCadiz CF1 : 3
51TorrentTorremolinos3 : 1
52Palma del RioBetis1 : 7
53UD OurensePontevedra1 : 2
54NaxaraEibar2 : 4
55Quintanar del ReyUD Ibiza2 : 1
56UD Los GarresElche0 : 4
57PoblenseSabadell1 : 2
58UD SamanoDep. La Coruna1 : 5
59NumanciaArenas Getxo3 : 0
60Sant JustMallorca0 : 2
61BalearesGimnastic2 : 0
62Atletic LleidaEspanyol1 : 2
64ByeAtl. Madrid

1/32-finals
1ZaragozaBurgos CF0 : 1
2NavalcarneroGetafe2 : 3
3MirandesGijon0 : 2
4FC Cartagena SADValencia1 : 2
5Cultural LeonesaAndorra4 : 2
6Ciudad CiezaLevante0 : 1
7Ourense CFGirona2 : 1
8ByeAth Bilbao
9PortugaleteAlaves0 : 3
10CD ExtremaduraSevilla1 : 2
11TenerifeGranada CF0 : 1
12Real AvilaRayo Vallecano1 : 2
13EldenseAlmeria2 : 1
14Reus FCRReal Sociedad0 : 2
15Racing Club FerrolHuesca0 : 2
16EbroOsasuna3 : 5
17LeganesAlbacete1 : 2
18Sant AndreuCelta Vigo1 : 2
19CF TalaveraMalaga2 : 1
20ByeReal Madrid
21PonferradinaRacing Santander1 : 2
22AntonianoVillarreal1 : 2
23GuadalajaraCeuta1 : 0
24ByeBarcelona
25MurciaCadiz CF3 : 2
26TorrentBetis1 : 4
27PontevedraEibar0 : 3
28Quintanar del ReyElche1 : 2
29SabadellDep. La Coruna0 : 2
30NumanciaMallorca2 : 3
31BalearesEspanyol1 : 0
32ByeAtl. Madrid

1/16-finals
1Burgos CFGetafe3 : 1
2GijonValencia0 : 2
3Cultural LeonesaLevante1 : 0
4Ourense CFAth Bilbao0 : 1
5AlavesSevilla1 : 0
6Granada CFRayo Vallecano1 : 3
7EldenseReal Sociedad1 : 2
8HuescaOsasuna2 : 4
9AlbaceteCelta Vigo3 : 2
10CF TalaveraReal Madrid2 : 3
11Racing SantanderVillarreal2 : 1
12GuadalajaraBarcelona0 : 2
13MurciaBetis0 : 2
14EibarElche0 : 1
15Dep. La CorunaMallorca1 : 0
16BalearesAtl. Madrid2 : 3

1/8-finals
1Burgos CFValencia0 : 2
2Cultural LeonesaAth Bilbao3 : 4
3AlavesRayo Vallecano2 : 0
4Real SociedadOsasuna3 : 2
5AlbaceteReal Madrid3 : 2
6Racing SantanderBarcelona0 : 2
7BetisElche2 : 1
8Dep. La CorunaAtl. Madrid0 : 1

Quarter-finals
1ValenciaAth Bilbao1 : 2
2AlavesReal Sociedad2 : 3
3AlbaceteBarcelona1 : 2
4BetisAtl. Madrid0 : 5

Semi-finals
1Ath BilbaoReal Sociedad
2BarcelonaAtl. Madrid

Final
1TBD #1TBD #2
Which TV channels are streaming of Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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