Union Berlin vs Holstein Kiel: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German Bundesliga Union Berlin - Holstein Kiel
Result
0:1
02/03/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 24
  • Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)
Union Berlin - Holstein Kiel - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.371.03
Ball Possession
51%49%
Goal Attempts
1410
Shots on Goal
33
Shots off Goal
65
Blocked Shots
52
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
113
Shots inside the Box
137
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
23
Free Kicks
1216
Offsides
11
Fouls
1612
Yellow Cards
40
Throw-ins
3920
Touches in the Opposition Box
3714
Passes
67% (195/293)73% (230/316)
Passes in the final third
58% (72/124)52% (33/63)
Crosses
17% (8/48)43% (6/14)
Tackles
50% (4/8)50% (8/16)
Clearances Total
1468
Interceptions
66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 40', Rothe T. 🟨,
  • 43', 0 - 1, Gigovic A. , Machino S. (A),
  • 45+3', Ljubicic M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Ljubicic M. , Ilic A. ,
  • 59', Gigovic A. , Holtby L. ,
  • 65', Rothe T. , Roussillon J. ,
  • 65', Jeong Woo-Yeong , Benes L. ,
  • 70', Becker T. , Ivezic M. ,
  • 70', Harres P. , Skrzybski S. ,
  • 75', Hollerbach B. , Skarke T. ,
  • 75', Tousart L. , Volland K. ,
  • 77', Volland K. 🟨,
  • 83', Geschwill M. , Javorcek D. ,
  • 83', Zec D. , Schulz M. ,
  • 90+5', Juranovic J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Union Berlin
60.6%
Draw
22.7%
Holstein Kiel
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.9% 21.5% 16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6% 20.9% 16.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Union Berlin - Holstein Kiel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.55)
    4.22
    (4.45)
    5.73
    (5.77)
    4.4%
    (4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Union Berlin - Holstein Kiel?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 3.
    • Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
    • Union Berlin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Union Berlin is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Union Berlin: Kemlein A. (Foot Injury) Skov R. (Ankle Injury) Vogt K. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Bernhardsson A. (Injury) Erras P. (Concussion) Johansson C. (Knee Injury) Nekic I. (Muscle Injury) Pichler B. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Holstein Kiel: Arp J.-F. (Head Injury) Tolkin J. (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19:12 (average 2.1:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Union Berlin won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:7 (average 2.2:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Union Berlin - Holstein Kiel were as follows:
    05.01.2025 Union Berlin - Holstein Kiel 1:2
    20.10.2024 Holstein Kiel - Union Berlin 0:2
    22.07.2023 Union Berlin - Holstein Kiel 1:2
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    Latest results of Holstein Kiel
    German Bundesliga Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich ✔ 33247295:326379
    2Bayer Leverkusen ✔ 331911370:412968
    3Eintracht Frankfurt33169865:452057
    4Freiburg331671048:50-255
    5Dortmund331661168:511754
    6Mainz331491053:411251
    7RB Leipzig331312851:45651
    8Werder Bremen331391150:56-648
    9Stuttgart331381261:511047
    10B. Monchengladbach331361455:56-145
    11Augsburg3311101234:49-1543
    12Wolfsburg3310101355:54140
    13Union Berlin339101433:50-1737
    14St. Pauli33881728:39-1132
    15Hoffenheim337111546:64-1832
    16Heidenheim33852036:60-2429
    17Holstein Kiel ✔ 33672049:77-2825
    18Bochum ✔ 33572131:67-3622

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Bayer Leverkusen is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Holstein Kiel is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga
    Bochum is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga
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