Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Union Berlin: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer German Bundesliga
Result
1:0
28/02/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 24
  • Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)
Borussia Mönchengladbach - Union Berlin - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.680.13
Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
206
Shots on target
72
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
62
Passes
84% (402/478)71% (238/335)
Yellow cards
45
Expected goals (xG)
2.680.13
xG on target (xGOT)
1.470.13
Total shots
206
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
100
Blocked shots
34
Shots inside the box
151
Shots outside the box
55
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
3814
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free kicks
185
Passes
84% (402/478)71% (238/335)
Long passes
40% (19/48)41% (24/58)
Passes in final third
75% (124/166)56% (56/100)
Crosses
26% (9/35)40% (2/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.861.04
Throw ins
2123
Fouls
518
Tackles
62% (8/13)69% (9/13)
Duels won
5237
Clearances
3336
Interceptions
127
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
26
xGOT faced
0.131.47
Goals prevented
0.130.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Trimmel C. 🟨,
  • 25', Reitz R. 🟨,
  • 34', Scally J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Trimmel C. ↓, Haberer J. ↑,
  • 64', Haberer J. 🟨,
  • 64', Khedira R. 🟨,
  • 72', Jeong Woo-Yeong ↓, Burcu L. ↑,
  • 72', Kemlein A. ↓, Kral A. ↑,
  • 72', Mohya W. ↓, Bolin H. ↑,
  • 81', Honorat F. ↓, Machino S. ↑,
  • 82', Burke O. ↓, Ansah I. ↑,
  • 88', Burcu L. 🟨,
  • 89', Ansah I. 🟨,
  • 89', Engelhardt Y. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 1 - 0, Diks K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+5', Nsoki S. ↓, Bogdanov D. ↑,
  • 90+5', Reitz R. ↓, Stoger K. ↑,
  • 90+8', Stoger K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Borussia Mönchengladbach
39.7%		Draw
29.1%		Union Berlin
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38% 28.4% 33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2% 29.3% 32.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Borussia Mönchengladbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
    •

    Borussia Mönchengladbach - Union Berlin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.4 ↓
    (2.5)    		 3.26 ↓
    (3.34)    		 3.05 ↑
    (2.83)    		 5.1%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Borussia Mönchengladbach - Union Berlin?
    • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Borussia M will win (votes: 13 - 50%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 26.9%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia M: 30.8% – 69.2%.
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • DC - Union Berlin (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • AH 0 - Union Berlin (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH -1 - Borussia M (3.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH -0.75 - Borussia M (2.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH -0.5 - Borussia M (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Borussia Mönchengladbach will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Borussia M (votes: 7 - 70%). Union Berlin (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
      •
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia M won 2.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Borussia M: Hack R. (Knee Injury) Kleindienst T. (Knee Injury) Ngoumou N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Reyna G. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Union Berlin: Ilic A. (Yellow Cards) Juranovic J. (Injury) Leite D. (Muscle Injury) Rothe T. (Injury) Skov R. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Borussia M won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Borussia M won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Borussia Mönchengladbach - Union Berlin were as follows:
    17.10.2025 Union Berlin - Borussia Mönchengladbach 3:1
    15.02.2025 Union Berlin - Borussia Mönchengladbach 1:2
    28.09.2024 Borussia Mönchengladbach - Union Berlin 1:0
    28.04.2024 Borussia Mönchengladbach - Union Berlin 0:0
    09.12.2023 Union Berlin - Borussia Mönchengladbach 3:1
    Latest results of Borussia Mönchengladbach
    22.02.2026 Freiburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach 2:1 ✺
    14.02.2026 Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Mönchengladbach 3:0 ✺
    07.02.2026 Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bayer Leverkusen 1:1 ✺
    31.01.2026 Werder Bremen - Borussia Mönchengladbach 1:1 ✺
    25.01.2026 Borussia Mönchengladbach - Stuttgart 0:3 ✺
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    21.02.2026 Union Berlin - Bayer Leverkusen 1:0 ✺
    14.02.2026 Hamburger SV - Union Berlin 3:2 ✺
    06.02.2026 Union Berlin - Eintracht Frankfurt 1:1 ✺
    31.01.2026 Hoffenheim - Union Berlin 3:1 ✺
    24.01.2026 Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund 0:3 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich342851122:368689
    2Dortmund34227570:343673
    3RB Leipzig34205966:471965
    4Stuttgart34188871:492262
    5Hoffenheim34187965:521361
    6Bayer Leverkusen34178968:472159
    7Freiburg341381351:57-647
    8Eintracht Frankfurt3411111261:65-444
    9Augsburg341271545:61-1643
    10Mainz3410101444:53-940
    11Union Berlin341091544:58-1439
    12B. Monchengladbach349111442:53-1138
    13Hamburger SV349111440:54-1438
    14FC Koln347111649:63-1432
    15Werder Bremen34881837:60-2332
    16Wolfsburg34781945:69-2429
    17Heidenheim34682041:72-3126
    18St. Pauli34682029:60-3126

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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