Heidenheim vs Union Berlin: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German Bundesliga Heidenheim - Union Berlin
Result
3:1
11/04/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 29
  • Referee: Dingert C. (Ger)
Heidenheim - Union Berlin - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.070.94
Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
710
Shots on target
33
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
35
Passes
71% (238/333)69% (276/399)
Yellow cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
2.070.94
xG on target (xGOT)
2.171.04
Total shots
710
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
45
Blocked shots
02
Shots inside the box
610
Shots outside the box
10
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
2127
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
137
Passes
71% (238/333)69% (276/399)
Long passes
42% (36/85)40% (38/95)
Passes in final third
51% (55/107)54% (79/147)
Crosses
33% (4/12)55% (11/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.781.16
Throw ins
2931
Fouls
713
Tackles
61% (11/18)64% (7/11)
Duels won
7255
Clearances
4022
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
20
xGOT faced
1.042.17
Goals prevented
0.04-0.83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Honsak M. ⚽, Pieringer M. (A),
  • 31', Burke O. 🟨,
  • 36', 2 - 0, Honsak M. ⚽, Mainka P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 62', Burke O. ↓, Skarke T. ↑,
  • 62', Kohn D. ↓, Rothe T. ↑,
  • 69', Schimmer S. ↓, Zivzivadze B. ↑,
  • 69', Schafer A. ↓, Ansah I. ↑,
  • 69', Leite D. ↓, Burcu L. ↑,
  • 75', 2 - 1, Querfeld L. ⚽, Khedira R. (A),
  • 77', Honsak M. ↓, Ibrahimovic A. ↑,
  • 78', Pieringer M. ↓, Dorsch N. ↑,
  • 79', 3 - 1, Zivzivadze B. ⚽, Schoppner J. (A),
  • 84', Kral A. ↓, Guther L. ↑,
  • 87', Guther L. 🟨,
  • 88', Schoppner J. ↓, Kerber L. ↑,
  • 88', Dinkci E. ↓, Beck A. ↑,

Chances of winning


Heidenheim
34.4%
Draw
28.1%
Union Berlin
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.4% 26% 44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9% 26.4% 45.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Heidenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Union Berlin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Heidenheim that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Union Berlin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Heidenheim - Union Berlin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.79 ↓
    (3.23)
    3.4 ↓
    (3.65)
    2.54 ↑
    (2.13)
    4.6%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Heidenheim - Union Berlin?
    • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Heidenheim will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Heidenheim: 15.4% – 84.6%.
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH 0 - Union Berlin (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Union Berlin (votes: 1 - 100%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 4.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Heidenheim: Conteh S. (Knee Injury) Kaufmann M. (Injury) Paqarada L. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Union Berlin: Preu D. (Inactive) Raab M. (Hand Injury) Skov R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Heidenheim: Behrens H. (Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:19. (average 1.7:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Heidenheim won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:8. (average 2.2:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Heidenheim - Union Berlin were as follows:
    29.11.2025 Union Berlin - Heidenheim 1:2
    10.05.2025 Union Berlin - Heidenheim 0:3
    11.01.2025 Heidenheim - Union Berlin 2:0
    24.02.2024 Union Berlin - Heidenheim 2:2
    30.09.2023 Heidenheim - Union Berlin 1:0
    Latest results of Heidenheim
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    German Bundesliga Table
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Freiburg541014:41013
    2Dortmund541011:4713
    3Bayern Munich532016:41211
    4Bayer Leverkusen531114:8610
    5RB Leipzig530215:5109
    6Augsburg522113:858
    7Werder Bremen522110:1008
    8Mainz521213:1037
    9Elversberg52128:807
    10FC Koln52128:10-27
    11Stuttgart52038:9-16
    12Hamburger SV52035:15-106
    13Schalke51224:6-25
    14Eintracht Frankfurt51229:16-75
    15Paderborn51133:7-44
    16Union Berlin51135:17-124
    17Hoffenheim51049:13-43
    18B. Monchengladbach50057:18-110

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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