Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer German Bundesliga Union Berlin - Bayern Munich
Result
1:1
15/03/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 26
  • Referee: Exner F. (Ger)
Union Berlin - Bayern Munich - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.721.50
Ball Possession
20%80%
Goal Attempts
718
Shots on Goal
24
Shots off Goal
57
Blocked Shots
07
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
214
Shots inside the Box
46
Shots outside the Box
312
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
Free Kicks
813
Offsides
11
Fouls
138
Yellow Cards
12
Throw-ins
918
Touches in the Opposition Box
1433
Passes
59% (103/175)90% (662/738)
Passes in the final third
56% (28/50)85% (291/344)
Crosses
27% (4/15)5% (2/37)
Tackles
60% (9/15)58% (7/12)
Clearances Total
7521
Interceptions
124

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', Musiala J. 🟨,
  • 58', Juranovic J. 🟨,
  • 61', Ilic A. , Ljubicic M. ,
  • 62', Haberer J. , Hollerbach B. ,
  • 65', Gnabry S. , Sane L. ,
  • 72', Trimmel C. , Rothe T. ,
  • 75', 0 - 1, Sane L. , Stanisic J. (A),
  • 80', Kimmich J. 🟨,
  • 81', Schafer A. , Benes L. ,
  • 81', Jeong Woo-Yeong , Skarke T. ,
  • 82', Olise M. , Ito H. ,
  • 84', 1 - 1, Hollerbach B. ,

Chances of winning


Union Berlin 10.6%Draw 17.5%Bayern Munich 71.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Union Berlin 11.7%Draw 19%Bayern Munich 69.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Union Berlin 11.1%Draw 18%Bayern Munich 73%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Union Berlin - Bayern Munich Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
9.02
(8.21)
5.53
(5.06)
1.34
(1.38)
3.9%
(4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Union Berlin - Bayern Munich?
    The most likely score is 0:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 0.
    • Recent matches Union Berlin is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Bayern is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Bayern could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Bayern is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in Union Berlin: Kemlein A. (Foot Injury) Ogbemudia O. (Foot Injury) Skov R. (Ankle Injury) Vogt K. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There will not play in Bayern: Buchmann T. (Shoulder Injury) Kim Min-Jae (Achilles Tendon Injury) Neuer M. (Calf Injury) Palhinha J. (Red Card) Pavlovic A. (Illness)
    • There are questionable in Bayern: Coman K. (Injury)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 7:28 (average 0.6:2.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Union Berlin won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:14 (average 1:2.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Union Berlin - Bayern Munich were as follows:
    02.11.2024 Bayern Munich - Union Berlin 3:0
    20.04.2024 Union Berlin - Bayern Munich 1:5
    24.01.2024 Bayern Munich - Union Berlin 1:0
    26.02.2023 Bayern Munich - Union Berlin 3:0
    03.09.2022 Union Berlin - Bayern Munich 1:1
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    German Bundesliga Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich ✔ 31236290:296175
    2Bayer Leverkusen ✔ 311910266:353167
    3Eintracht Frankfurt31167862:422055
    4Freiburg311561044:47-351
    5RB Leipzig311310848:42649
    6Dortmund311461160:491148
    7Mainz311381048:39947
    8Werder Bremen311371148:54-646
    9B. Monchengladbach311351351:50144
    10Augsburg3111101033:42-943
    11Stuttgart311181256:51541
    12Wolfsburg311091253:48539
    13Union Berlin31991331:45-1436
    14St. Pauli31871626:36-1031
    15Hoffenheim31791540:58-1830
    16Heidenheim31742033:60-2725
    17Holstein Kiel31571945:74-2922
    18Bochum31562030:63-3321

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bayern Munich is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Bayer Leverkusen is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Which TV channels are streaming of Union Berlin - Bayern Munich?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App
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    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
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    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, Play Sports 1
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaSportklub 5
    brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
    canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
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    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 5
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 5
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
    denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay
    europeEuropeSetanta Sports 2 Baltic
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
    germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga, WOW
    greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
    hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
    hungaryHungaryNet4+
    icelandIcelandViaplay, Vodafone Sport
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    israelIsraelSport 3
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    kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
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    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
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    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaFlow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaSportklub 5
    norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 1
    pakistanPakistanTapmad
    peruPeruDisney+
    philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
    polandPolandEleven Sports 1, Viaplay
    portugalPortugalDAZN 4
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
    russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
    serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 5
    singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    spainSpainDAZN Espana
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
    thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, PPTV Sports
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, Tivibu Spor 1
    ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
    vietnamVietnamON Plus
    worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia
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