Result
0:2
29/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : DFB Pokal - 1/16-finals
- Referee: Aytekin D. (Ger)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 2.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (322/427) | 73% (287/393) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 2.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 2.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (322/427) | 73% (287/393) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (26/67) | 33% (23/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (90/143) | 64% (64/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.16 | 0.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 1', Hanche-Olsen A. 🟨,
- 6', 0 - 1, Jaquez L. ⚽, El Khannouss B. (A),
- 38', Kohr D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', Sieb A. ↓, Weiper N. ↑,
- 60', Lee Jae-Sung ↓, Hollerbach B. ↑,
- 61', Undav D. 🟨,
- 67', Mittelstadt M. ↓, Vagnoman J. ↑,
- 67', Bouanani B. ↓, Fuhrich C. ↑,
- 69', Mwene P. ↓, Nordin A. ↑,
- 69', Widmer S. ↓, Veratschnig N. ↑,
- 73', 0 - 2, Karazor A. ⚽, Undav D. (A),
- 74', Zentner R. 🟨,
- 75', Veratschnig N. 🟨,
- 82', El Khannouss B. ↓, Nartey N. ↑,
- 82', Undav D. ↓, Leweling J. ↑,
- 83', Assignon L. 🟨,
- 85', Maloney L. ↓, Boving W. ↑,
- 86', Amiri N. 🟨,
- 86', Fuhrich C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mainz
28.8% | Draw
27.1% | Stuttgart
44.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Stuttgart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Mainz - Stuttgart Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.55 ↑
(2.85) |
3.63 ↓
(3.65) |
2.16 ↓
(2.3) |
2.2%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Mainz - Stuttgart?
- Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Mainz will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). Stuttgart will win (votes: 20 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stuttgart: 49.8% – 83.6%. - Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
- O/U 3 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Stuttgart will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:32. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mainz won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Mainz won against Stuttgart?
Mainz has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stuttgart won against Mainz?
Stuttgart has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz - Stuttgart were as follows:
26.10.2025
Stuttgart
-
Mainz
2:1
25.01.2025
Mainz
-
Stuttgart
2:0
31.08.2024
Stuttgart
-
Mainz
3:3
11.02.2024
Stuttgart
-
Mainz
3:1
16.09.2023
Mainz
-
Stuttgart
1:3
Latest results of Stuttgart
Draw
2025/261/32-finals| 1 | FC Gutersloh | Union Berlin | 0 : 5 |
| 2 | Arminia Bielefeld | Werder Bremen | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Regensburg | FC Koln | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Wehen | Bayern Munich | 2 : 3 |
| 5 | Cottbus | Hannover | 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Sandhausen | RB Leipzig | 2 : 4 |
| 7 | Illertissen | Nurnberg | 4 : 3 |
| 8 | Saarbrucken | Magdeburg | 1 : 3 |
| 9 | Preussen Munster | Hertha Berlin | 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Ulm | Elversberg | 0 : 1 |
| 11 | Lohne | Greuther Furth | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | RSV Eintracht | Kaiserslautern | 0 : 7 |
| 13 | Schweinfurt | Dusseldorf | 2 : 4 |
| 14 | Lotte | Freiburg | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Lubeck | Darmstadt | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Lokomotive Leipzig | Schalke | 0 : 1 |
| 17 | Bahlinger | Heidenheim | 0 : 5 |
| 18 | Pirmasens | Hamburger SV | 1 : 2 |
| 19 | Hemelingen | Wolfsburg | 0 : 9 |
| 20 | FC 08 Homburg | Holstein Kiel | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Hallescher | Augsburg | 0 : 2 |
| 22 | BFC Dynamo | Bochum | 1 : 3 |
| 23 | SG Dynamo Dresden | Mainz | 0 : 1 |
| 24 | Braunschweig | Stuttgart | 4 : 5 |
| 25 | Engers | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 : 5 |
| 26 | RW Essen | Dortmund | 0 : 1 |
| 27 | Viktoria Koln | Paderborn | 1 : 3 |
| 28 | Grossaspach | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 : 4 |
| 29 | Delmenhorst | B. Monchengladbach | 2 : 3 |
| 30 | Meuselwitz | Karlsruher SC | 0 : 5 |
| 31 | Norderstedt | St. Pauli | 0 : 1 |
| 32 | Hansa Rostock | Hoffenheim | 0 : 4 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Union Berlin | Arminia Bielefeld | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | FC Koln | Bayern Munich | 1 : 4 |
| 3 | Cottbus | RB Leipzig | 1 : 4 |
| 4 | Illertissen | Magdeburg | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Hertha Berlin | Elversberg | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Greuther Furth | Kaiserslautern | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Dusseldorf | Freiburg | 1 : 3 |
| 8 | Darmstadt | Schalke | 4 : 0 |
| 9 | Heidenheim | Hamburger SV | 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Wolfsburg | Holstein Kiel | 0 : 1 |
| 11 | Augsburg | Bochum | 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Mainz | Stuttgart | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Dortmund | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Paderborn | Bayer Leverkusen | 2 : 4 |
| 15 | B. Monchengladbach | Karlsruher SC | 3 : 1 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | Hoffenheim | 3 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Union Berlin | Bayern Munich | 2 : 3 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | Magdeburg | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Hertha Berlin | Kaiserslautern | 6 : 1 |
| 4 | Freiburg | Darmstadt | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Hamburger SV | Holstein Kiel | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Bochum | Stuttgart | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Dortmund | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | B. Monchengladbach | St. Pauli | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Bayern Munich | RB Leipzig | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Hertha Berlin | Freiburg | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Holstein Kiel | Stuttgart | 0 : 3 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | St. Pauli | 3 : 0 |
Which TV channels are streaming of Mainz - Stuttgart?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2, Oneplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 3, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Qazsport, Sport+ |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 Spain | GolStadium |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-arab-emirates | Abu Dhabi Sports 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
