Result
1:2
26/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Ligue 1 - Round 6
- Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
Advertisement
Watch and bet Strasbourg - Olympique Marseille live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (323/391) | 88% (519/590) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (323/391) | 88% (519/590) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (13/33) | 48% (26/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (36/66) | 83% (147/177) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 26% (6/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.97 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.18 | -0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Aguerd N. 🟨,
- 27', Murillo M. 🟨,
- 38', O'Riley M. 🟨,
- 45', Balerdi L. 🟨,
- 45+1', Emegha E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Lemarechal F. ↓, Amo-Ameyaw S. ↑,
- 46', Paez K. ↓, Ouattara A. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 0, Ouattara A. ⚽, Emegha E. (A),
- 58', Weah T. ↓, Emerson ↑,
- 58', Paixao I. ↓, Greenwood M. ↑,
- 58', Gouiri A. ↓, Aubameyang P. ↑,
- 62', Emegha E. ↓, Panichelli J. ↑,
- 66', Amo-Ameyaw S. 🟨,
- 78', 1 - 1, Aubameyang P. ⚽,
- 84', Doue G. ↓, Omobamidele A. ↑,
- 84', Barco V. ↓, El Mourabet S. ↑,
- 85', Medina F. ↓, Vaz R. ↑,
- 85', O'Riley M. ↓, Pavard B. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 2, Murillo M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Strasbourg
29.3% | Draw
27.3% | Olympique Marseille
43.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olympique Marseille might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olympique Marseille could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Strasbourg - Olympique Marseille Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.28 ↓
(3.73) |
3.53 ↓
(3.7) |
2.23 ↑
(1.93) |
3.7%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Strasbourg - Olympique Marseille?
Users Predictions:
44 users predict this event. Strasbourg will win (votes: 16 - 36.4%). Marseille will win (votes: 18 - 40.9%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 26.4% – 55.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Marseille (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 1.
- Strasbourg is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Marseille has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Marseille may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Marseille will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Strasbourg: Enciso J.
(Knee Injury)
Nanasi S.
(Shoulder Injury)
Nzingoula R.
(Red Card)
Oyedele M.
(Injury)
Sow S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Marseille: Kondogbia G.
(Calf Injury)
Traore H. J.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:30. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Strasbourg won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Strasbourg won against Olympique Marseille?
Strasbourg has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olympique Marseille won against Strasbourg?
Olympique Marseille has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Strasbourg - Olympique Marseille were as follows:
19.01.2025
Olympique Marseille
-
Strasbourg
1:1
29.09.2024
Strasbourg
-
Olympique Marseille
1:0
12.01.2024
Olympique Marseille
-
Strasbourg
1:1
25.11.2023
Strasbourg
-
Olympique Marseille
1:1
12.03.2023
Olympique Marseille
-
Strasbourg
2:2
Latest results of Strasbourg
Latest results of Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Marseille | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15:5 | 10 | 15 |
| 2 | PSG | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Lyon | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Monaco | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Strasbourg | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Lille | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Lens | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | Paris FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Brest | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Lorient | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:16 | -7 | 7 |
| 14 | Nantes | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 | Angers | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 5 |
| 18 | Metz | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:16 | -11 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Which TV channels are streaming of Strasbourg - Olympique Marseille?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | ESPN 3 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
 Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
