Paris Saint-Germain vs Olympique Marseille: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
5:0
08/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 1 - Round 21
  • Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)
Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
4.140.63
Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
229
Shots on target
73
Big chances
71
Corner kicks
52
Passes
90% (491/548)81% (320/394)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
4.140.63
xG on target (xGOT)
2.340.50
Total shots
229
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
122
Blocked shots
34
Shots inside the box
205
Shots outside the box
24
Hit the woodwork
40
Big chances
71
Corner kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
539
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
31
Free kicks
1811
Passes
90% (491/548)81% (320/394)
Long passes
68% (30/44)46% (22/48)
Passes in final third
80% (87/109)69% (57/83)
Crosses
33% (3/9)40% (2/5)
Expected assists (xA)
2.140.86
Throw ins
1414
Fouls
1118
Tackles
57% (8/14)54% (7/13)
Duels won
5437
Clearances
1213
Interceptions
138
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
33
xGOT faced
0.502.34
Goals prevented
0.50-1.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 9', Vitinha 🟨,
  • 12', 1 - 0, Dembele O. , Mendes N. (A),
  • 37', 2 - 0, Dembele O. , Mayulu S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Nwaneri E. , Paixao I. ,
  • 59', Zaire-Emery W. 🟨,
  • 62', Pavard B. , Abdelli H. ,
  • 62', Doue D. , Kvaratskhelia K. ,
  • 64', 3 - 0, Medina F. (Own goal),
  • 66', 4 - 0, Kvaratskhelia K. , Dembele O. (A),
  • 68', Barcola B. , Lee Kang-In ,
  • 74', 5 - 0, Lee Kang-In , Mayulu S. (A),
  • 75', Zaire-Emery W. , Hernandez L. ,
  • 75', Mayulu S. , Fernandez D. ,
  • 75', Dembele O. , Ramos G. ,
  • 80', Greenwood M. , Nadir B. ,
  • 82', Emerson 🟨,
  • 90+1', Balerdi L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Paris Saint-Germain
65.7%
Draw
19%
Olympique Marseille
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.6% 18.8% 14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70% 19.8% 13.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.41)
    5.04
    (4.99)
    6.24
    (6.45)
    4.7%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille?
    • Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 22 - 66.7%). Marseille will win (votes: 5 - 15.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.2%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 50.6%82.8%.
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. PSG (votes: 1 - 100%).
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH -1 - PSG (1.69) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • AH -0.5 - Marseille (5.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • DC - Marseille (2.72) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. PSG (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Marseille (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSG won 4.
    • PSG is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Marseille's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Marseille may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, PSG is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PSG won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 43:12. (average 2.2:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, PSG won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:7. (average 2.5:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille were as follows:
    08.01.2026 Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille 3:2
    22.09.2025 Olympique Marseille - Paris Saint-Germain 1:0
    27.10.2024 Olympique Marseille - Paris Saint-Germain 0:3
    31.03.2024 Olympique Marseille - Paris Saint-Germain 0:2
    24.09.2023 Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille 4:0
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    Draw
    Relegation - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1NiceBye
    3St EtienneBye
    4Red StarRodez2 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1NiceBye
    2St EtienneRodez1 : 0

    Final
    1NiceSt Etienne4 : 1, 0 : 0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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