Mainz vs St. Pauli: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer German Bundesliga Mainz - St. Pauli
Result
2:0
22/02/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 23
  • Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)
Mainz - St. Pauli - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Mainz - St. Pauli live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.300.85
Ball Possession
52%48%
Goal Attempts
912
Shots on Goal
50
Shots off Goal
19
Blocked Shots
33
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
65
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
03
Free Kicks
109
Offsides
61
Fouls
910
Yellow Cards
33
Throw-ins
2622
Touches in the Opposition Box
1618
Passes
78% (329/423)79% (296/377)
Passes in the final third
59% (87/148)60% (58/96)
Crosses
38% (5/13)40% (8/20)
Tackles
58% (7/12)63% (10/16)
Clearances Total
2734
Interceptions
813

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Sano K. 🟨,
  • 24', Treu P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Weiper N. , Lee Jae-Sung ,
  • 50', Kohr D. 🟨,
  • 62', Ritzka L. , Dzwigala A. ,
  • 66', Van Der Heyden S. 🟨,
  • 66', Kohr D. , Hanche-Olsen A. ,
  • 67', 1 - 0, Lee Jae-Sung ,
  • 69', Saad E. , Afolayan O. ,
  • 73', Burkardt J. , Sieb A. ,
  • 83', Weisshaupt N. , Sinani D. ,
  • 83', Mwene P. , Widmer S. ,
  • 83', Treu P. , Ceesay A. ,
  • 88', Nebel P. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Nemeth D. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 2 - 0, Nebel P. , Lee Jae-Sung (A),

Chances of winning


Mainz
53.4%
Draw
26.8%
St. Pauli
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.1% 26.8% 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4% 29% 20.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Mainz - St. Pauli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.87)
    3.5
    (3.57)
    4.68
    (4.32)
    5.8%
    (4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Mainz - St. Pauli?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is Mainz will win! (27 of 33 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 14).
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • In this match Mainz is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Mainz: Bell S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in St. Pauli: Ahlers S. (Knee Injury) Burchert S. (Groin Injury) Guilavogui M. (Ankle Injury) Metcalfe C. (Leg Injury) Saliakas M. (Thigh Injury) Sands J. (Broken Leg) Zoller S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mainz: Zentner R. (Illness)
    • There are questionable in St. Pauli: Mets K. (Knee Injury) Wagner R. (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Mainz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz - St. Pauli were as follows:
    05.10.2024 St. Pauli - Mainz 0:3
    Latest results of Mainz
    16.02.2025 Heidenheim - Mainz 0:2
    08.02.2025 Mainz - Augsburg 0:0
    31.01.2025 Werder Bremen - Mainz 1:0
    25.01.2025 Mainz - Stuttgart 2:0
    19.01.2025 Union Berlin - Mainz 2:1
    Latest results of St. Pauli
    15.02.2025 St. Pauli - Freiburg 0:1
    09.02.2025 RB Leipzig - St. Pauli 2:0
    01.02.2025 St. Pauli - Augsburg 1:1
    26.01.2025 St. Pauli - Union Berlin 3:0
    18.01.2025 Heidenheim - St. Pauli 0:2
    German Bundesliga Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich ✔ 33247295:326379
    2Bayer Leverkusen ✔ 331911370:412968
    3Eintracht Frankfurt33169865:452057
    4Freiburg331671048:50-255
    5Dortmund331661168:511754
    6Mainz331491053:411251
    7RB Leipzig331312851:45651
    8Werder Bremen331391150:56-648
    9Stuttgart331381261:511047
    10B. Monchengladbach331361455:56-145
    11Augsburg3311101234:49-1543
    12Wolfsburg3310101355:54140
    13Union Berlin339101433:50-1737
    14St. Pauli33881728:39-1132
    15Hoffenheim337111546:64-1832
    16Heidenheim33852036:60-2429
    17Holstein Kiel ✔ 33672049:77-2825
    18Bochum ✔ 33572131:67-3622

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Bayer Leverkusen is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Holstein Kiel is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga
    Bochum is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga
    Which TV channels are streaming of Mainz - St. Pauli?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaNew World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    asiaAsiaTOD
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
    austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
    canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
    germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
    greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 3
    hungaryHungaryNet4+
    icelandIcelandViaplay
    indiaIndiaVision+
    indonesiaIndonesiaRCTI+
    japanJapanSKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 6
    laosLaosbeIN Connect
    malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaFlow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
    norwayNorwayViaplay
    pakistanPakistanTapmad
    peruPeruDisney+
    philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
    polandPolandViaplay
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    spainSpainDAZN Espana
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
    thailandThailandbeIN Connect
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 2
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
    vietnamVietnamON Plus
    worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan