St Kilda Saints vs Sydney Swans: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules AFL St Kilda Saints - Sydney Swans
Result
87:92
13/07/2025 at 01:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFL - Round 18
St Kilda Saints - Sydney Swans - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
1314
Behinds
98
Kicks
212191
Handballs
139123
Disposals
351314
Frees For
2730
Frees Against
3027
Clearances Completed
3435
Marks
8778
Tackles
7367
Hitouts
2352

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (24 - 33)
  • 02:26, Owens M. (G),
  • 05:49, McLean H. (G),
  • 08:53, Sinclair J. (G),
  • 10:54, Heeney I. (G),
  • 12:39, Buller J. (G),
  • 14:07, Lloyd J. (G),
  • 15:56, McInerney J. (Behind),
  • 21:38, Lloyd J. (G),
  • 23:21, Heeney I. (Behind),
  • 25:54, Francis A. (Behind),
  • 28:46, Steele J. (G),
  • 30:38, Boxshall H. (G),
  • 2nd Quarter (22 - 3)
  • 00:34, Rowbottom J. (Behind),
  • 01:16, Higgins J. (Behind),
  • 07:38, Sinclair J. (Behind),
  • 11:26, (Behind Rushed),
  • 14:25, Sharman C. (G),
  • 22:30, (Behind Rushed),
  • 25:10, McLean H. (Behind),
  • 26:18, Hall M. (G),
  • 28:58, Hall M. (G),
  • 30:28, (Behind Rushed),
  • 3rd Quarter (28 - 25)
  • 02:58, Heath M. (G),
  • 06:27, Lloyd J. (G),
  • 08:27, Hayward W. (G),
  • 09:32, Garcia H. (G),
  • 13:01, Steele J. (Behind),
  • 14:40, Hastie A. (Behind),
  • 17:16, Sharman C. (G),
  • 18:32, (Behind Rushed),
  • 20:32, Sheldrick A. (G),
  • 22:36, Buller J. (G),
  • 26:20, Jordon J. (Behind),
  • 27:43, Owens M. (G),
  • 31:38, Marshall R. (Behind),
  • 4th Quarter (13 - 31)
  • 02:29, Rowbottom J. (G),
  • 04:15, Hall M. (G),
  • 06:09, Jordon J. (G),
  • 09:51, Hayward W. (G),
  • 14:34, Hayward W. (G),
  • 16:28, Wicks S. (Behind),
  • 21:39, Marshall R. (G),
  • 24:13, (Behind Rushed),
  • 25:53, Gulden E. (G),

Chances of winning


St Kilda Saints
41%
Sydney Swans
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7% 54.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St Kilda Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Sydney Swans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Kilda Saints than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney Swans than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • St Kilda Saints - Sydney Swans Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.24)

    1.59
    (1.65)
    6.6%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 167.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)
  • What is the prediction for St Kilda Saints - Sydney Swans?
  • Users Predictions: St Kilda Saints will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 80:89.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 3.
    • St Kilda is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Sydney's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • St Kilda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Sydney might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Sydney will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1159:1659. (average 58:83).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St Kilda won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 726:963. (average 60.5:80.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St Kilda Saints - Sydney Swans were as follows:
    07.07.2024 St Kilda Saints - Sydney Swans 84:82
    08.06.2023 Sydney Swans - St Kilda Saints 66:80
    Latest results of St Kilda Saints
    Latest results of Sydney Swans
    AFL Table
    Main
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Adelaide Crows2318052278:1635139.3372
    2Geelong Cats2317062425:1714141.4868
    3Brisbane Lions2316162061:1804114.2566
    4Collingwood Magpies2316071991:1627122.3764
    5GWS Giants2316072114:1834115.2764
    6Fremantle Dockers2316071978:1815108.9864
    7Gold Coast Suns2315082173:1740124.8960
    8Hawthorn Hawks2315082045:1691120.9360
    9Western Bulldogs2314092493:1820136.9856
    10Sydney Swans23120111845:190297.0048
    11Carlton Blues2390141799:186196.6736
    12St Kilda Saints2390141839:207788.5436
    13Port Adelaide Power2390141705:213679.8236
    14Melbourne Demons2370161902:203893.3328
    15Essendon Bombers2360171535:220969.4924
    16North Melbourne2351171805:236576.3222
    17Richmond Tigers2350181449:219765.9520
    18West Coast Eagles2310221466:243860.134

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