Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City
Result
1:0
10/05/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Fierro R. (Usa)
Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.191.12
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
80
Passes
86% (460/535)85% (482/565)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.191.12
xG on target (xGOT)
0.950.51
Total shots
811
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
04
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
80
Touches in opposition box
2323
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
62
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
86% (460/535)85% (482/565)
Long passes
42% (24/57)63% (29/46)
Passes in final third
66% (68/103)73% (107/147)
Crosses
31% (5/16)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.230.74
Throw-ins
712
Fouls
1313
Tackles
73% (11/15)79% (11/14)
Duels won
5047
Clearances
1922
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.510.95
Goals prevented
0.51-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Moreno S. , Pereira da Costa D. (A), Antony (A2)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Bartlett J. , Davis J. ,
  • 67', Bravo C. 🟨,
  • 68', Mora F. , Kelsy K. ,
  • 68', Ayala D. , Paredes C. ,
  • 69', Leibold T. , Bassong Z. ,
  • 69', Brody A. , Shelton K. ,
  • 69', Salloi D. , Thommy E. ,
  • 73', Suleymanov S. 🟨,
  • 74', Davis J. 🟨,
  • 78', Moreno S. , Fernandez O. ,
  • 78', Pereira da Costa D. , Rodriguez J. ,
  • 81', Suleymanov S. , Munoz S. ,
  • 84', Mosquera J. , Miller E. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Portland Timbers
57.9%
Draw
21.7%
Sporting Kansas City
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.7% 24.7% 26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2% 25% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portland Timbers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portland Timbers's performance.
  • Sporting Kansas City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting Kansas City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portland Timbers that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Kansas City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.95)
    4.42
    (3.86)
    4.67
    (3.58)
    4.9%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City?
    The most likely score is 2:1. User prediction is Portland Timbers will win! (10 of 12 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland won 3.
    • Portland is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Kansas City has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Portland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Portland has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Portland is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Portland: Chara D. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Portland: Fory J. (Leg Injury) Jura S. (Injury) Ondo C. (Injury) Pantemis J. (Leg Injury) Rodriguez J. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kansas City: Fernandez J. (Muscle Injury) Shelton K. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portland won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:31. (average 1.8:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portland won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:8. (average 2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Sporting Kansas City - Portland Timbers 2:4
    25.05.2024 Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City 2:1
    07.04.2024 Sporting Kansas City - Portland Timbers 3:3
    28.05.2023 Sporting Kansas City - Portland Timbers 4:1
    27.02.2023 Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City 1:0
    Latest results of Portland Timbers
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps1595127:121532
    2San Diego FC1793529:181130
    3Minnesota United1786326:161030
    4Seattle Sounders1775525:22326
    5Portland Timbers1675425:22326
    6Los Angeles FC1565427:22523
    7San Jose Earthquakes1764734:28622
    8Colorado Rapids1664618:22-422
    9Houston Dynamo1755722:25-320
    10Austin FC1755711:20-920
    11FC Dallas1646618:26-818
    12Sporting Kansas City1644825:28-316
    13Real Salt Lake17431016:25-915
    14St. Louis City1635813:21-814
    15Los Angeles Galaxy17141215:36-217


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union17104332:181434
    2FC Cincinnati1793525:24130
    3Inter Miami1685336:27929
    4Nashville SC1785430:21929
    5Columbus Crew1777327:24328
    6New York Red Bulls1783628:19927
    7Orlando City1776431:22927
    8Charlotte1781828:27125
    9New York City1774620:20025
    10New England Revolution1565419:14523
    11Chicago Fire1564528:28022
    12DC United1746716:29-1318
    13Atlanta Utd1745821:30-917
    14Toronto FC17341018:24-613
    15CF Montreal17151112:32-208

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaTSN 5
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
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