Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Portland Timbers - Los Angeles
Result
2:1
11/04/2026 at 16:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Villarreal A. (Usa)
Portland Timbers - Los Angeles - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.530.87
Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
1018
Shots on target
74
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
17
Passes
91% (609/670)87% (413/473)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
1.530.87
xG on target (xGOT)
2.010.65
Total shots
1018
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
39
Blocked shots
05
Shots inside the box
710
Shots outside the box
38
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
10
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
2526
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free kicks
109
Passes
91% (609/670)87% (413/473)
Long passes
59% (19/32)39% (12/31)
Passes in final third
84% (162/192)81% (127/156)
Crosses
24% (4/17)30% (6/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.561.03
Throw ins
1520
Fouls
910
Tackles
74% (14/19)63% (12/19)
Duels won
4542
Clearances
2412
Interceptions
1512
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
36
xGOT faced
0.652.01
Goals prevented
-0.350.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', Fory J. 🟨,
  • 14', Evans M. 🟨,
  • 30', Hasal T. , Carter C. ,
  • 32', 1 - 0, Velde K. , Bassett C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Choiniere M. , Tillman T. ,
  • 49', 1 - 1, Terry J. , Evans M. (A),
  • 56', Nielsen K. , Porteous R. ,
  • 56', Evans M. , Delgado M. ,
  • 58', Smolyakov A. 🟨,
  • 64', Fory J. , Smith I. ,
  • 68', Bouanga D. , Shaffelburg J. ,
  • 71', Antony , Aravena A. ,
  • 76', Smolyakov A. , Raposo R. ,
  • 82', Velde K. 🟨,
  • 89', Bassett C. , Lassiter A. ,
  • 89', Mora F. , Kelsy K. ,
  • 90+6', 2 - 1, Kelsy K. , Bye B. (A),
  • 90+6', Velde K. , Chara D. ,

Chances of winning


Portland Timbers
35.1%
Draw
25.2%
Los Angeles
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.3% 22.9% 54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22% 22.6% 55.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portland Timbers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portland Timbers's performance.
  • Los Angeles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Los Angeles might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (-13.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portland Timbers that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles than the current prediction. (+15.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Los Angeles could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Portland Timbers - Los Angeles Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.7
    (4.15)
    3.75
    (4.05)
    2.41
    (1.69)
    5.3%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Portland Timbers - Los Angeles?
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Los Angeles (votes: 1 - 100%).
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • DC - Portland (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Users Predictions: Los Angeles will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
      Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Portland (votes: 1 - 50%). Los Angeles (votes: 1 - 50%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland won 1.
    • Portland is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Los Angeles is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Portland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Los Angeles is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Portland: Fernandez O. (Foot Injury) McGraw Z. (Back Injury)
    • There will not play in Los Angeles: Dellavalle L. (Knee Injury) Eustaquio S. (Leg Injury) Igor Jesus (Knee Injury) Long A. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Portland: Bassett C. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portland won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:35. (average 1.5:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portland won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.9:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Timbers - Los Angeles were as follows:
    25.07.2025 Los Angeles - Portland Timbers 0:1
    19.04.2025 Portland Timbers - Los Angeles 3:3
    29.01.2025 Los Angeles - Portland Timbers 1:0
    27.04.2024 Los Angeles - Portland Timbers 3:2
    13.04.2024 Portland Timbers - Los Angeles 2:2
    Latest results of Los Angeles
    07.04.2026 Los Angeles - Cruz Azul 3:0
    04.04.2026 Los Angeles - Orlando City 6:0
    21.03.2026 Austin FC - Los Angeles 0:0
    17.03.2026 Alajuelense - Los Angeles 1:2
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps17104338:172134
    2Los Angeles FC19104535:191634
    3San Jose Earthquakes18103537:241333
    4Houston Dynamo1792625:24129
    5Real Salt Lake1783629:25427
    6FC Dallas1876532:25727
    7St. Louis City1875624:24026
    8Portland Timbers1873833:33024
    9Seattle Sounders1773720:22-224
    10Minnesota United1866620:25-524
    11Colorado Rapids18711027:25222
    12Los Angeles Galaxy1957724:29-522
    13San Diego FC1856732:29321
    14Austin FC1845922:36-1417
    15Sporting Kansas City18421218:46-2814


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC18124235:142140
    2Inter Miami18115245:321338
    3New England Revolution1793528:21730
    4Chicago Fire1792632:23929
    5New York City1875631:24726
    6FC Cincinnati1875645:44126
    7Charlotte1874729:27225
    8New York Red Bulls1874729:39-1025
    9DC United1858526:29-323
    10Orlando City18621030:47-1720
    11Columbus Crew1855826:28-220
    12Toronto FC1838724:32-817
    13Philadelphia Union18441025:33-816
    14CF Montreal18441024:35-1116
    15Atlanta Utd18331219:33-1412

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Portland Timbers - Los Angeles?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaTSN 3
    usaUsaFOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX Network, FOX One, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com, MLS Season Pass
    worldWorldApple TV International
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