Manchester United vs Southampton: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English Premier League
Soccer English Premier League Manchester United - Southampton
Result
3:1
16/01/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 21
  • Referee: Brooks J. (Eng)
Manchester United - Southampton - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.201.52
Ball Possession
59%41%
Goal Attempts
2313
Shots on Goal
95
Shots off Goal
23
Blocked Shots
125
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
44
Shots inside the Box
177
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
46
Free Kicks
107
Offsides
20
Fouls
710
Yellow Cards
13
Throw-ins
1911
Touches in the Opposition Box
4818
Passes
84% (483/573)80% (322/405)
Passes in the final third
78% (100/128)64% (79/124)
Crosses
23% (3/13)25% (2/8)
Tackles
67% (12/18)70% (16/23)
Clearances Total
2229
Interceptions
127

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 43', 0 - 1, Ugarte M. (Own goal),
  • 45', Dibling T. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Fernandes M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Mainoo K. ↓, Antony ↑,
  • 53', Martinez Li. 🟨,
  • 53', Hojlund R. ↓, Zirkzee J. ↑,
  • 54', Ugarte M. ↓, Collyer T. ↑,
  • 63', Dibling T. ↓, Smallbone W. ↑,
  • 73', Aribo J. ↓, Downes F. ↑,
  • 73', Fernandes M. ↓, Armstrong A. ↑,
  • 79', Downes F. 🟨,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Diallo A. ⚽,
  • 83', Mazraoui N. ↓, Eriksen C. ↑,
  • 83', Yoro L. ↓, Maguire H. ↑,
  • 83', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Onuachu P. ↑,
  • 83', Bednarek J. ↓, Wood N. ↑,
  • 90', 2 - 1, Diallo A. ⚽, Eriksen C. (A),
  • 90+4', 3 - 1, Diallo A. ⚽,

Chances of winning


Manchester United
75.2%		Draw
15.9%		Southampton
8.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
73.1% 16.7% 10.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.3% 16.4% 10%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
    •

    Manchester United - Southampton Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.28 ↓
    (1.32)    		 6.06 ↑
    (5.76)    		 10.95 ↑
    (9.43)    		 3.7%
    (4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

  • Watch this match and English Premier League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : USA Network
    •
    What is the prediction for Manchester United - Southampton?
  • Users Predictions: 98 users predict this event. Man Utd will win (votes: 80 - 81.6%). S`hampton will win (votes: 6 - 6.1%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 12.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 73.9% – 89.3%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 15 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Man Utd won 2.
    • Both teams are in bad shape now.
    • In this match Man Utd is absolute favorite.
    • There will not play in Man Utd: Dalot D. (Red Card) Evans J. (Muscle Injury) Lindelof V. (Injury) Mount M. (Leg Injury) Shaw L. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in S`hampton: Stephens J. (Knock) Stewart R. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Man Utd: Rashford M. (Illness)
    • There are questionable in S`hampton: Downes F. (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Man Utd won 10 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 37:18 (average 1.9:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Man Utd won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20:9 (average 2:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester United - Southampton were as follows:
    14.09.2024 Southampton - Manchester United 0:3
    12.03.2023 Manchester United - Southampton 0:0
    27.08.2022 Southampton - Manchester United 0:1
    Latest results of Manchester United
    12.01.2025 Arsenal - Manchester United 1:2 ✺
    05.01.2025 Liverpool - Manchester United 2:2 ✺
    30.12.2024 Manchester United - Newcastle United 0:2 ✺
    26.12.2024 Wolverhampton Wanderers - Manchester United 2:0 ✺
    22.12.2024 Manchester United - Bournemouth 0:3 ✺
    Latest results of Southampton
    12.01.2025 Southampton - Swansea City 3:0 ✺
    04.01.2025 Southampton - Brentford 0:5 ✺
    29.12.2024 Crystal Palace - Southampton 2:1 ✺
    26.12.2024 Southampton - West Ham United 0:1 ✺
    22.12.2024 Fulham - Southampton 0:0 ✺
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal00000:000
    2Aston Villa00000:000
    3Chelsea00000:000
    4Everton00000:000
    5Fulham00000:000
    6Liverpool00000:000
    7Manchester City00000:000
    8Manchester Utd00000:000
    9Newcastle00000:000
    10Sunderland00000:000
    11Tottenham00000:000
    12West Ham00000:000
    13Burnley00000:000
    14Crystal Palace00000:000
    15Wolves00000:000
    16Bournemouth00000:000
    17Brighton00000:000
    18Leeds00000:000
    19Nottingham00000:000
    20Brentford00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

    Which TV channels are streaming of Manchester United - Southampton?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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