Arsenal vs Manchester United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English Premier League
Soccer English Premier League Arsenal - Manchester United
Result
2:3
25/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 23
  • Referee: Pawson C. (Eng)
Arsenal - Manchester United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.200.74
Ball possession
57%43%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
43
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
92
Passes
84% (369/440)79% (281/356)
Yellow cards
20
Expected goals (xG)
1.200.74
xG on target (xGOT)
1.720.44
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
55
Blocked shots
62
Shots inside the box
93
Shots outside the box
67
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
289
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
30
Free kicks
911
Passes
84% (369/440)79% (281/356)
Long passes
40% (14/35)27% (15/55)
Passes in final third
81% (126/156)56% (47/84)
Crosses
16% (4/25)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.410.35
Throw ins
1712
Fouls
119
Tackles
60% (6/10)67% (10/15)
Duels won
3940
Clearances
2025
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
22
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
03
xGOT faced
0.441.72
Goals prevented
-2.560.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 29', 1 - 0, Martinez Li. (Own goal),
  • 37', 1 - 1, Mbeumo B. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 51', 1 - 2, Dorgu P. ⚽, Fernandes B. (A),
  • 58', Hincapie P. ↓, White B. ↑,
  • 58', Gabriel Jesus ↓, Gyökeres V. ↑,
  • 58', Odegaard M. ↓, Merino M. ↑,
  • 58', Zubimendi M. ↓, Eze E. ↑,
  • 64', Rice D. 🟨,
  • 69', Mbeumo B. ↓, Cunha M. ↑,
  • 75', Trossard L. ↓, Madueke N. ↑,
  • 81', Dorgu P. ↓, Sesko B. ↑,
  • 84', 2 - 2, Merino M. ⚽,
  • 87', 2 - 3, Cunha M. ⚽, Mainoo K. (A),
  • 88', Diallo A. ↓, Mazraoui N. ↑,
  • 90+1', Eze E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Arsenal
61.9%		Draw
21.4%		Manchester United
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.4% 21.1% 13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2% 20.2% 12.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arsenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
    •

    Arsenal - Manchester United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.55 ↑
    (1.47)    		 4.47 ↓
    (4.55)    		 5.77 ↓
    (7.13)    		 4.2%
    (4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Arsenal - Manchester United?
    • Users Predictions: 73 users predict this event. Arsenal will win (votes: 47 - 64.4%). Man Utd will win (votes: 17 - 23.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 12.3%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal: 53.4% – 75.4%.
    • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 28 high ROI users predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 17 - 60.7%). Man Utd (votes: 10 - 35.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.6%).
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
      • AH -1 - Man Utd (1.96) (votes: 7 - 70%) .
      • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 60%) .
      • BTTS - yes (votes: 10 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
      • O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
      • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
      • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
      • AH -2 - Man Utd (1.25) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • AH -1.75 - Man Utd (1.39) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
      • AH -1.5 - Man Utd (1.54) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • AH -1.25 - Man Utd (1.69) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • AH -0.75 - Man Utd (2.21) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • O/U 1, 1st Half - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
      • O/U 3 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
      • AH -0.5 - Man Utd (2.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH -0.25 - Man Utd (3.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH 0 - Man Utd (4.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • DC - Man Utd (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH -2.75 - Man Utd (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH -2.5 - Man Utd (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH -2.25 - Man Utd (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 0.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 59 high ROI users predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 20 - 33.9%). Man Utd (votes: 38 - 64.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 1.7%).
      •
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 3.
    • Arsenal is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Man Utd has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Arsenal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Arsenal has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Arsenal is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Arsenal: Dowman M. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Man Utd: Zirkzee J. (Knock) de Ligt M. (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Arsenal: Calafiori R. (Muscle Injury) Hincapie P. (Groin Injury) Salmon M. (Injury)
    • We predict that Arsenal will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 1.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arsenal - Manchester United were as follows:
    17.08.2025 Manchester United - Arsenal 0:1
    09.03.2025 Manchester United - Arsenal 1:1
    12.01.2025 Arsenal - Manchester United 1:2
    04.12.2024 Arsenal - Manchester United 2:0
    27.07.2024 Arsenal - Manchester United 2:1
    Latest results of Arsenal
    20.01.2026 Inter Milan - Arsenal 1:3 ✺
    17.01.2026 Nottingham Forest - Arsenal 0:0 ✺
    14.01.2026 Chelsea - Arsenal 2:3 ✺
    11.01.2026 Portsmouth - Arsenal 1:4 ✺
    08.01.2026 Arsenal - Liverpool 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Manchester United
    17.01.2026 Manchester United - Manchester City 2:0 ✺
    11.01.2026 Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion 1:2 ✺
    07.01.2026 Burnley - Manchester United 2:2 ✺
    04.01.2026 Leeds United - Manchester United 1:1 ✺
    30.12.2025 Manchester United - Wolverhampton Wanderers 1:1 ✺
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal30207359:223767
    2Manchester City29186559:273260
    3Manchester Utd29149651:401151
    4Aston Villa29156839:34551
    5Chelsea29139753:341948
    6Liverpool29146948:39948
    7Brentford291351144:40444
    8Everton291271034:33143
    9Bournemouth29913744:46-240
    10Fulham291241340:43-340
    11Sunderland291010930:34-440
    12Newcastle291161242:43-139
    13Crystal Palace291081133:35-238
    14Brighton299101038:36237
    15Leeds297101237:48-1131
    16Tottenham29781439:46-729
    17Nottingham29771528:43-1528
    18West Ham29771535:54-1928
    19Burnley29471832:58-2619
    20Wolves30372022:52-3016

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

    Which TV channels are streaming of Arsenal - Manchester United?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
    asiaAsiabeIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
    australiaAustraliaStan Sport
    austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
    azerbaijanAzerbaijanIdman TV, Setanta Sports 1
    belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
    canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
    czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
    denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay
    europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
    finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
    franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Free
    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
    germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
    greeceGreeceNova Sports Premier League
    hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
    hungaryHungarySpiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
    indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar
    indonesiaIndonesiaSCTV, Vidio
    irelandIrelandNOW
    israelIsraelSport 1
    italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena
    japanJapanU-NEXT
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1, SuperSport 2
    kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 1
    malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Astro Sports, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
    maldivesMaldivesICE Sports, Medianet
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 2
    mexicoMexicoHBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
    moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 1
    myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
    nepalNepalKantipur Max
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    new-zealandNew-zealandSKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 8, Sky Sport Premier League
    nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
    pakistanPakistanARY ZAP
    peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
    polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1
    portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
    romaniaRomaniaVoyo
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
    singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 1, Hub Premier 2, Hub Premier 8
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Premier League
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    spainSpainDAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
    swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 1
    thailandThailandAIS PLAY
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 1
    ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC Radio 5 Live, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League, Sky Sports UHD
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaNBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, SiriusXM FC
    uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 1
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
    vietnamVietnamFPT Play
    worldWorldSport 24
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