Newcastle United vs Manchester United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

13/04/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

St. James' Park (Newcastle).

: Premier League - Round 32
Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.09	0.61
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
12	9
Shots on target
6	5
Big Chances
5	1
Corner Kicks
7	2
Passes
81% (335/412)	80% (372/464)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.09	0.61
xG on target (xGOT)
3.81	1.26
Total shots
12	9
Shots on target
6	5
Shots off target
5	2
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
10	5
Shots outside the Box
2	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
5	1
Corner Kicks
7	2
Touches in opposition box
37	12
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
9	7
Passes
81% (335/412)	80% (372/464)
Long passes
38% (14/37)	36% (20/55)
Passes in final third
68% (103/152)	72% (63/87)
Crosses
35% (8/23)	33% (2/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.33	0.35
Fouls
7	9
Tackles
47% (9/19)	57% (12/21)
Duels won
56	48
Clearances Total
18	23
Interceptions
7	4
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	2
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2
xGOT faced
1.26	3.81
Goals prevented
0.26	-0.19

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', Ugarte M. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Tonali S. ⚽, Isak A. (A),
37', 1 - 1, Garnacho A. ⚽, Dalot D. (A),
43', Yoro L. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', 2 - 1, Barnes H. ⚽, Murphy J. (A),
55', Garnacho A. ↓, Mount M. ↑,
55', Amass H. ↓, Dorgu P. ↑,
55', Zirkzee J. ↓, Hojlund R. ↑,
64', 3 - 1, Barnes H. ⚽,
77', 4 - 1, Bruno Guimaraes ⚽, Joelinton (A),
79', Isak A. ↓, Wilson C. ↑,
79', Trippier K. ↓, Krafth E. ↑,
79', Murphy J. ↓, Gordon A. ↑,
79', Mazraoui N. ↓, Shaw L. ↑,
82', Fernandes B. ↓, Mainoo K. ↑,
85', Bruno Guimaraes ↓, Miley L. ↑,
85', Joelinton ↓, Longstaff S. ↑,

Chances of winning

Newcastle United
58.8%

Draw
22.5%

Manchester United
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

22.8%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

22%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Newcastle United - Manchester United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.74)	4.27 ↑ (4.24)	5.16 ↑ (4.46)	3.9% (3.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

Watch this match and English Premier League with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : Telemundo (KSIX/KHNLDT6 – Honolulu, HI)

What is the prediction for Newcastle United - Manchester United?

Users Predictions: 69 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 49 - 71%). Man Utd will win (votes: 12 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 11.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 60.3% – 81.7%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 19 high ROI users predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Man Utd (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 13).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Newcastle won 4.
Newcastle is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Man Utd is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Newcastle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Newcastle is a favorite.
There will not play in Newcastle: Botman S. (Knee Injury) Hall L. (Foot Injury) Lascelles J. (Knee Injury) Willock J. (Contusion)
There will not play in Man Utd: Collyer T. (Knock) Diallo A. (Ankle Injury) Evans J. (Lower Back Injury) Heaven A. (Ankle Injury) Martinez Li. (Knee Injury) de Ligt M. (Injury)
There are questionable in Newcastle: Gordon A. (Groin Injury)
Our prediction for today's Newcastle to win the game is with odds 1.67.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Newcastle won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 23:34 (average 1.2:1.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Newcastle won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.1:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle United won against Manchester United?

Newcastle United has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Manchester United won against Newcastle United?

Manchester United has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle United - Manchester United were as follows:

30.12.2024 Manchester United - Newcastle United 0:2

15.05.2024 Manchester United - Newcastle United 3:2

02.12.2023 Newcastle United - Manchester United 1:0

01.11.2023 Manchester United - Newcastle United 0:3

02.04.2023 Newcastle United - Manchester United 2:0

Latest results of Newcastle United

07.04.2025 Leicester City - Newcastle United 0:3 ✺

02.04.2025 Newcastle United - Brentford 2:1 ✺

10.03.2025 West Ham United - Newcastle United 0:1 ✺

02.03.2025 Newcastle United - Brighton & Hove Albion 1:2 ✺

26.02.2025 Liverpool - Newcastle United 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Manchester United

10.04.2025 Lyon - Manchester United 2:2 ✺

06.04.2025 Manchester United - Manchester City 0:0 ✺

01.04.2025 Nottingham Forest - Manchester United 1:0 ✺

13.03.2025 Manchester United - Real Sociedad 4:1 ✺

09.03.2025 Manchester United - Arsenal 1:1 ✺

English Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arsenal	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Aston Villa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Chelsea	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Everton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Fulham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Manchester City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Manchester Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Newcastle	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Sunderland	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Tottenham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	West Ham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Burnley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Crystal Palace	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Wolves	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Bournemouth	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Leeds	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Nottingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Brentford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Relegation ~ Championship

Which TV channels are streaming of Newcastle United - Manchester United?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2, VOOsport World 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Cambodia	CTN
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 3
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Sport Premier League
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Siminn Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Jiocinema, Star Sports 3, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	SuperSport 2
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Astro Sports, SKY NET Sports 3, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	HBO Max, MAX
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport 8, Sky Sport NOW, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	Hub Premier 1, Hub Premier 2, Hub Premier 8
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	DAZN 2 Bar Espana, DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana, Max
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	True Premier Football 1, True Premier Football 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League, Sky Ultra, Sport 24 International
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, USA Network
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	K+ Sport 1, K+, ON Plus, TV 360, VieON
World	Disney+, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia