Manchester United vs Manchester City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English Premier League
Result
2:0
17/01/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 22
  • Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)
Manchester United - Manchester City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.030.45
Ball possession
32%68%
Total shots
127
Shots on target
71
Big chances
60
Corner kicks
16
Passes
80% (240/301)90% (575/641)
Yellow cards
23
Expected goals (xG)
2.030.45
xG on target (xGOT)
1.960.31
Total shots
127
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
43
Blocked shots
13
Shots inside the box
104
Shots outside the box
13
Hit the woodwork
20
Big chances
60
Corner kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
2135
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
61
Free kicks
813
Passes
80% (240/301)90% (575/641)
Long passes
57% (26/46)50% (14/28)
Passes in final third
71% (77/109)84% (202/241)
Crosses
40% (4/10)10% (2/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.860.91
Throw ins
1613
Fouls
138
Tackles
50% (12/24)92% (11/12)
Duels won
4638
Clearances
2719
Interceptions
138
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
15
xGOT faced
0.311.96
Goals prevented
0.31-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 11', Dalot D. 🟨,
  • 17', Shaw L. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Rodri 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Alleyne M. ↓, O'Reilly N. ↑,
  • 46', Foden P. ↓, Cherki R. ↑,
  • 48', O'Reilly N. 🟨,
  • 65', 1 - 0, Mbeumo B. ⚽, Fernandes B. (A),
  • 71', Mbeumo B. ↓, Cunha M. ↑,
  • 75', Lewis R. 🟨,
  • 76', 2 - 0, Dorgu P. ⚽, Cunha M. (A),
  • 80', Silva B. ↓, Reijnders T. ↑,
  • 80', Doku J. ↓, Ait Nouri R. ↑,
  • 80', Haaland E. ↓, Mukasa D. ↑,
  • 81', Casemiro ↓, Ugarte M. ↑,
  • 90+1', Shaw L. ↓, Heaven A. ↑,
  • 90+1', Fernandes B. ↓, Mount M. ↑,

Chances of winning


Manchester United
31.6%		Draw
26.1%		Manchester City
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.1% 22.5% 52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8% 22.2% 53.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manchester United's performance.
  • Manchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manchester City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manchester United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manchester City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Manchester United - Manchester City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.05 ↓
    (3.79)    		 3.68 ↓
    (4.23)    		 2.25 ↑
    (1.81)    		 4.4%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Manchester United - Manchester City?
    • Users Predictions: 104 users predict this event. Man Utd will win (votes: 14 - 13.5%). Man City will win (votes: 72 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 17.3%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 60.3% – 78.1%. The data is statistically significant.
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
      • AH +2 - Man City (5.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH +1 - Man Utd (1.48) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
      • EH +4 - Man City (36.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH +3 - Man City (11.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 4 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • DNB - Man City (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • DC - Man City (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH 0 - Man City (1.62) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
      • AH -0.25 - Man City (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH -0.5 - Man City (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH -0.75 - Man City (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH -1 - Man City (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
      • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • O/U 1.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manchester City will win (35 of 43 users predict this - 81.4%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 57 Selected Experts predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 5 - 8.8%). Man City (votes: 47 - 82.5%). Tie (votes: 5 - 8.8%).
      •
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 2.
    • In recent matches, Man Utd has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Man City is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Man City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Man City will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Man Utd: Lacey S. (Red Card) Mazraoui N. (International duty) de Ligt M. (Back Injury)
    • There will not play in Man City: Bobb O. (Hamstring Injury) Dias R. (Thigh Injury) Gvardiol J. (Broken Leg) Kovacic M. (Heel Injury) Savinho (Health problems) Stones J. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Man City: Marmoush O. (Rest) Nico (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:36. (average 1.1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Man Utd won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 0.6:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester United - Manchester City were as follows:
    14.09.2025 Manchester City - Manchester United 3:0
    06.04.2025 Manchester United - Manchester City 0:0
    15.12.2024 Manchester City - Manchester United 1:2
    10.08.2024 Manchester City - Manchester United 2:1
    25.05.2024 Manchester City - Manchester United 1:2
    Latest results of Manchester United
    11.01.2026 Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion 1:2 ✺
    07.01.2026 Burnley - Manchester United 2:2 ✺
    04.01.2026 Leeds United - Manchester United 1:1 ✺
    30.12.2025 Manchester United - Wolverhampton Wanderers 1:1 ✺
    26.12.2025 Manchester United - Newcastle United 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Manchester City
    13.01.2026 Newcastle United - Manchester City 0:2 ✺
    10.01.2026 Manchester City - Exeter City 10:1 ✺
    07.01.2026 Manchester City - Brighton & Hove Albion 1:1 ✺
    04.01.2026 Manchester City - Chelsea 1:1 ✺
    01.01.2026 Sunderland - Manchester City 0:0 ✺
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal32217462:243870
    2Manchester City31197563:283564
    3Manchester Utd311510656:431355
    4Aston Villa32167943:38555
    5Liverpool321571052:421052
    6Chelsea321391053:411248
    7Brentford321381148:44447
    8Everton321381139:37247
    9Brighton3212101043:37646
    10Sunderland3212101033:36-346
    11Bournemouth321015748:49-145
    12Fulham321351443:46-344
    13Crystal Palace311191135:36-142
    14Newcastle321261445:47-242
    15Leeds317121237:48-1133
    16Nottingham32891532:44-1233
    17West Ham32881640:57-1732
    18Tottenham32791640:51-1130
    19Burnley32482033:63-3020
    20Wolves32382124:58-3417

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

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