Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS
Soccer MLS Real Salt Lake - San Jose Earthquakes
Result
2:1
26/07/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Lauziere P. (Can)
Real Salt Lake - San Jose Earthquakes - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.791.32
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
86% (436/508)80% (271/340)
Yellow Cards
55
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.791.32
xG on target (xGOT)
0.241.14
Total shots
119
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1622
Accurate through passes
12
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
86% (436/508)80% (271/340)
Long passes
53% (29/55)42% (14/33)
Passes in final third
70% (79/113)65% (70/108)
Crosses
17% (2/12)40% (4/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.531.58
Throw-ins
2310
Fouls
1312
Tackles
67% (8/12)60% (9/15)
Duels won
3147
Clearances
1122
Interceptions
612
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.140.24
Goals prevented
0.16-0.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 9', Caliskan N. 🟨,
  • 24', Gozo Z. 🟨,
  • 33', Harkes I. 🟨,
  • 42', Wilson Valdez B. R. 🟨,
  • 42', Luna D. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Roberts R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 51', 0 - 1, Martinez J. ⚽, Arango C. (A), Espinoza C. (A2)
  • 54', Floriani M. 🟨,
  • 57', 1 - 1, Ricketts J. (Own goal),
  • 58', Floriani M. ↓, Rodrigues ↑,
  • 68', Harkes I. ↓, Kaye M. ↑,
  • 68', Ricketts J. ↓, Romney D. ↑,
  • 69', Eneli E. ↓, Ojeda B. ↑,
  • 79', Gozo Z. ↓, Marczuk D. ↑,
  • 79', Agada W. ↓, Piol A. ↑,
  • 79', Leroux B. ↓, Tsakiris N. ↑,
  • 79', Espinoza C. ↓, Bouda O. ↑,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Ojeda B. ⚽, Ruiz P. (A),
  • 83', Roberts R. 🟨,
  • 85', Marczuk D. 🟨,
  • 89', Luna D. ↓, Hidalgo B. ↑,
  • 90', Rafael Cabral 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Real Salt Lake
47.9%		Draw
23.6%		San Jose Earthquakes
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 24.9% 25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6% 24.6% 24.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Salt Lake has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Salt Lake than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
    •

    Real Salt Lake - San Jose Earthquakes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.98 ↑
    (1.9)    		 4.04 ↑
    (3.82)    		 3.33 ↓
    (3.78)    		 5.4%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Real Salt Lake - San Jose Earthquakes?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Salt Lake will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). San Jose will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Salt Lake: 35.2% – 92%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Salt Lake (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salt Lake won 2.
    • Salt Lake is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • San Jose is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Salt Lake might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Salt Lake: Bell M. (Hamstring Injury) Brown J. (Knee Injury) Katranis A. (Yellow Cards) Vera B. (Yellow Cards) Wolff T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in San Jose: Buck N. (Knee Injury) Jones D. (Upper-Body Injury) Kikanovic B. (Upper-Body Injury) Munie D. (Lower-Body Injury) Vitor Costa (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Salt Lake won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 28:34. (average 1.4:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Salt Lake won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Salt Lake - San Jose Earthquakes were as follows:
    22.02.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - Real Salt Lake 4:0
    05.10.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - Real Salt Lake 0:1
    24.08.2024 Real Salt Lake - San Jose Earthquakes 0:2
    16.09.2023 San Jose Earthquakes - Real Salt Lake 2:1
    22.04.2023 Real Salt Lake - San Jose Earthquakes 3:1
    Latest results of Real Salt Lake
    19.07.2025 Real Salt Lake - Cincinnati 0:1 ✺
    16.07.2025 Portland Timbers - Real Salt Lake 0:1 ✺
    12.07.2025 Real Salt Lake - Houston Dynamo 1:0 ✺
    05.07.2025 Real Salt Lake - St. Louis City 3:2 ✺
    28.06.2025 Sporting Kansas City - Real Salt Lake 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes
    19.07.2025 Seattle Sounders - San Jose Earthquakes 3:2 ✺
    16.07.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - FC Dallas 2:2 ✺
    12.07.2025 Minnesota United - San Jose Earthquakes 4:1 ✺
    08.07.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - Austin FC 2:3 ✺
    05.07.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - New York Red Bulls 1:1 ✺
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 30175855:371856
    2Minnesota United ✔ 30159651:331854
    3Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 28157654:312352
    4Seattle Sounders28129750:401045
    5Los Angeles FC27128749:351444
    6Portland Timbers29119938:39-142
    7Austin FC291181031:36-541
    8Colorado Rapids301161340:49-939
    9San Jose Earthquakes30981355:55035
    10Real Salt Lake281041430:37-734
    11FC Dallas298101142:48-634
    12Houston Dynamo30891339:49-1033
    13Sporting Kansas City30761745:61-1627
    14St. Louis City30671736:51-1525
    15Los Angeles Galaxy29491635:58-2321


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 30176749:331657
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 30174944:37755
    3Charlotte ✔ 301721151:401153
    4Nashville SC301551050:351550
    5Columbus Crew291310648:43549
    6Orlando City29139755:411448
    7New York City28145941:33847
    8Inter Miami26137654:431146
    9Chicago Fire291261154:53142
    10New York Red Bulls301171243:40340
    11New England Revolution30881439:44-532
    12Toronto FC295111329:36-726
    13Atlanta Utd295111336:54-1826
    14DC United305101527:55-2825
    15CF Montreal30591629:53-2424

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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