Minnesota United vs San Jose Earthquakes: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Minnesota United - San Jose Earthquakes
Result
4:1
12/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Pekmic I. (Usa)
Minnesota United - San Jose Earthquakes - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.021.29
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
70% (168/240)82% (359/437)
Yellow Cards
05
Expected Goals (xG)
3.021.29
xG on target (xGOT)
3.631.45
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
107
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
2429
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1318
Passes
70% (168/240)82% (359/437)
Long passes
24% (11/46)55% (17/31)
Passes in final third
47% (30/64)71% (103/145)
Crosses
36% (5/14)17% (5/30)
Expected assists (xA)
1.191.09
Throw-ins
1828
Fouls
1813
Tackles
60% (12/20)61% (11/18)
Duels won
4761
Clearances
3129
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.453.63
Goals prevented
0.45-0.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Oluwaseyi T. , Lod R. (A), Pereyra J. (A2)
  • 9', Harkes I. 🟨,
  • 30', Kikanovic B. , Lima N. ,
  • 38', Rodrigues 🟨,
  • 42', 2 - 0, Yeboah K. , Oluwaseyi T. (A),
  • 45+5', 3 - 0, Markanich A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Romney D. , Roberts R. ,
  • 62', Diaz J. , Harvey C. ,
  • 62', Markanich A. , Rosales J. ,
  • 64', Roberts R. 🟨,
  • 65', Munie D. 🟨,
  • 68', Munie D. , Wilson Valdez B. R. ,
  • 68', Bouda O. , Tsakiris N. ,
  • 68', Vitor Costa , Judd P. ,
  • 70', 3 - 1, Wilson Valdez B. R. , Judd P. (A),
  • 77', Gressel J. , Hlongwane B. ,
  • 84', Arango C. 🟨,
  • 85', Pereyra J. , Duggan M. ,
  • 90+5', 4 - 1, Rosales J. , Oluwaseyi T. (A), Yeboah K. (A2)
  • 90+5', Yeboah K. , Randell A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Minnesota United
48.4%
Draw
24.3%
San Jose Earthquakes
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 23.2% 24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3% 22.9% 24%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Minnesota United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Minnesota United - San Jose Earthquakes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.82)
    3.91
    (4.13)
    3.47
    (3.92)
    5.5%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Minnesota United - San Jose Earthquakes?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). San Jose will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 50.9%95.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 3.
    • Minnesota is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • San Jose's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • San Jose may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Minnesota might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Minnesota: Dotson H. (Knee Injury) Keller K. (Thigh Injury) Speel W. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in San Jose: Buck N. (Knee Injury) Jones D. (Red Card) Tsakiris N. (Lower-Body Injury) Wilson Valdez B. R. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in San Jose: Espinoza C. (Injury) Ricketts J. (Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:22. (average 1.7:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Minnesota United - San Jose Earthquakes were as follows:
    08.03.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - Minnesota United 0:1
    31.08.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - Minnesota United 1:2
    20.07.2024 Minnesota United - San Jose Earthquakes 2:0
    30.09.2023 Minnesota United - San Jose Earthquakes 1:1
    02.09.2023 San Jose Earthquakes - Minnesota United 1:1
    Latest results of Minnesota United
    Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 30175855:371856
    2Minnesota United ✔ 30159651:331854
    3Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 28157654:312352
    4Seattle Sounders29129851:43845
    5Los Angeles FC27128749:351444
    6Portland Timbers29119938:39-142
    7Austin FC291181031:36-541
    8Colorado Rapids301161340:49-939
    9San Jose Earthquakes30981355:55035
    10Real Salt Lake281041430:37-734
    11FC Dallas298101142:48-634
    12Houston Dynamo30891339:49-1033
    13Sporting Kansas City30761745:61-1627
    14St. Louis City30671736:51-1525
    15Los Angeles Galaxy29491635:58-2321


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 30176749:331657
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 30174944:37755
    3Charlotte ✔ 301721151:401153
    4Nashville SC301551050:351550
    5Inter Miami27147657:441349
    6Columbus Crew291310648:43549
    7Orlando City29139755:411448
    8New York City28145941:33847
    9Chicago Fire291261154:53142
    10New York Red Bulls301171243:40340
    11New England Revolution30881439:44-532
    12Toronto FC295111329:36-726
    13Atlanta Utd295111336:54-1826
    14DC United305101527:55-2825
    15CF Montreal30591629:53-2424

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Minnesota United - San Jose Earthquakes?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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