San Diego vs Toronto FC: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS San Diego - Toronto FC
Result
0:1
16/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Pennington A. (Usa)
San Diego - Toronto FC - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.440.95
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
74
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
90% (647/719)79% (242/305)
Yellow Cards
63
Expected Goals (xG)
0.440.95
xG on target (xGOT)
0.011.40
Total shots
74
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
11
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
22
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
1812
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
1315
Passes
90% (647/719)79% (242/305)
Long passes
43% (13/30)35% (18/52)
Passes in final third
67% (112/166)52% (31/60)
Crosses
6% (1/18)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.400.15
Throw-ins
1914
Fouls
1513
Tackles
54% (7/13)68% (13/19)
Duels won
4047
Clearances
1429
Interceptions
1114
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.400.01
Goals prevented
0.390.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', Negri F. 🟨,
  • 20', 0 - 1, Corbeanu T. (Pen),
  • 31', Petretta R. , Spicer T. ,
  • 40', de la Torre L. 🟨,
  • 45', Valakari O. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Corbeanu T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Angel T. , Lozano H. ,
  • 60', Mighten A. , Boateng E. ,
  • 60', Negri F. , Bombino L. ,
  • 65', Bombino L. 🟨,
  • 70', Corbeanu T. , Etienne D. ,
  • 70', Brynhildsen O. , Kerr D. ,
  • 75', Longstaff M. , Osorio J. ,
  • 79', Verhoeven O. , Duah M. ,
  • 90', Pilcher I. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Boateng E. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Coello A. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Long K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Diego
66.2%
Draw
19.5%
Toronto FC
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.7% 18.1% 11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.1% 17.5% 10.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Diego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • Toronto FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Diego, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • San Diego - Toronto FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.35)
    4.88
    (5.26)
    6.66
    (8.49)
    5.6%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for San Diego - Toronto FC?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. San Diego will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for San Diego: 65%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. San Diego (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
    • San Diego is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Toronto's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, San Diego has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, San Diego is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in San Diego: Alvarado Jr A. (Knee Injury) Ingvartsen M. (Lower-Body Injury) Kumado W. (Lower-Body Injury) Reyes A. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Monlouis Z. (Lower-Body Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in San Diego: Godoy A. (Lower-Body Injury) dos Santos C. J. (Face Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Osorio J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • We predict that San Diego will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of San Diego
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 33189665:362963
    2San Diego FC ✔ 33186960:411960
    3Los Angeles FC ✔ 33178863:382559
    4Minnesota United ✔ 331610755:371858
    5Seattle Sounders ✔ 331410956:47952
    6Austin FC331381236:43-747
    7Portland Timbers3311111141:44-344
    8FC Dallas3310111250:54-441
    9Real Salt Lake331241736:47-1140
    10Colorado Rapids331171542:54-1240
    11San Jose Earthquakes331081558:62-438
    12Houston Dynamo33991543:56-1336
    13St. Louis City33871842:56-1431
    14Sporting Kansas City33762046:70-2427
    15Los Angeles Galaxy33691844:65-2127


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 33206757:332466
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 33195949:40962
    3Inter Miami ✔ 33188776:532362
    4Charlotte ✔ 331821353:46756
    5New York City ✔ 331751149:42756
    6Nashville SC331661156:401654
    7Orlando City331411861:471453
    8Chicago Fire331571166:58852
    9Columbus Crew331312852:50251
    10New York Red Bulls331271447:44343
    11New England Revolution33981642:49-735
    12Toronto FC335141433:42-929
    13CF Montreal336101734:57-2328
    14Atlanta Utd335121637:62-2527
    15DC United335101829:65-3625

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Seattle Sounders is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of San Diego - Toronto FC?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaTSN 4, TSN 5
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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