San Diego vs Toronto FC: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS San Diego - Toronto FC
Result
0:1
16/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Pennington A. (Usa)
San Diego - Toronto FC - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.440.95
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
74
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
90% (647/719)79% (242/305)
Yellow Cards
63
Expected Goals (xG)
0.440.95
xG on target (xGOT)
0.011.40
Total shots
74
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
11
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
22
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
1812
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
1315
Passes
90% (647/719)79% (242/305)
Long passes
43% (13/30)35% (18/52)
Passes in final third
67% (112/166)52% (31/60)
Crosses
6% (1/18)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.400.15
Throw-ins
1914
Fouls
1513
Tackles
54% (7/13)68% (13/19)
Duels won
4047
Clearances
1429
Interceptions
1114
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.400.01
Goals prevented
0.390.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', Negri F. 🟨,
  • 20', 0 - 1, Corbeanu T. (Pen),
  • 31', Petretta R. , Spicer T. ,
  • 40', de la Torre L. 🟨,
  • 45', Valakari O. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Corbeanu T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Angel T. , Lozano H. ,
  • 60', Mighten A. , Boateng E. ,
  • 60', Negri F. , Bombino L. ,
  • 65', Bombino L. 🟨,
  • 70', Corbeanu T. , Etienne D. ,
  • 70', Brynhildsen O. , Kerr D. ,
  • 75', Longstaff M. , Osorio J. ,
  • 79', Verhoeven O. , Duah M. ,
  • 90', Pilcher I. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Boateng E. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Coello A. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Long K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Diego
66.2%
Draw
19.5%
Toronto FC
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.7% 18.1% 11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.1% 17.5% 10.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Diego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • Toronto FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Diego, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • San Diego - Toronto FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.35)
    4.88
    (5.26)
    6.66
    (8.49)
    5.6%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for San Diego - Toronto FC?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. San Diego will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for San Diego: 65%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. San Diego (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
    • San Diego is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Toronto's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, San Diego has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, San Diego is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in San Diego: Alvarado Jr A. (Knee Injury) Ingvartsen M. (Lower-Body Injury) Kumado W. (Lower-Body Injury) Reyes A. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Monlouis Z. (Lower-Body Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in San Diego: Godoy A. (Lower-Body Injury) dos Santos C. J. (Face Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Osorio J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • We predict that San Diego will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of San Diego
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 31176856:381857
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 29167656:312555
    3Minnesota United ✔ 31159751:361554
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 29148757:372050
    5Seattle Sounders30129952:45745
    6Austin FC301281033:37-444
    7Portland Timbers301191038:40-242
    8Colorado Rapids311161441:52-1139
    9FC Dallas309101145:49-437
    10Houston Dynamo31991340:49-936
    11San Jose Earthquakes31981456:58-235
    12Real Salt Lake301041632:45-1334
    13St. Louis City31771739:52-1328
    14Sporting Kansas City31761845:63-1827
    15Los Angeles Galaxy30491737:61-2421


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 31186750:331760
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3Charlotte ✔ 311721251:42953
    4New York City ✔ 30165946:351153
    5Inter Miami28157660:461452
    6Orlando City30149758:431551
    7Nashville SC311551152:381450
    8Columbus Crew311311751:47450
    9Chicago Fire301361157:53445
    10New York Red Bulls311271245:40543
    11New England Revolution31881539:45-632
    12Toronto FC305121330:37-727
    13Atlanta Utd305121337:55-1827
    14DC United315101629:58-2925
    15CF Montreal31591729:55-2624

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of San Diego - Toronto FC?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaTSN 4, TSN 5
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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