San Diego vs Houston Dynamo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS San Diego - Houston Dynamo
Result
3:4
05/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
San Diego - Houston Dynamo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.431.55
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
88% (527/598)85% (358/421)
Yellow Cards
16
Expected Goals (xG)
1.431.55
xG on target (xGOT)
1.722.92
Total shots
147
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
3717
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
158
Passes
88% (527/598)85% (358/421)
Long passes
60% (25/42)43% (17/40)
Passes in final third
79% (125/159)69% (70/101)
Crosses
17% (4/23)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
2.220.74
Throw-ins
2816
Fouls
815
Tackles
71% (17/24)80% (8/10)
Duels won
5037
Clearances
940
Interceptions
512
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
2.921.72
Goals prevented
-1.08-1.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Iloski M. , Valakari O. (A), Bombino L. (A2)
  • 36', 1 - 1, Ennali L. , Bassi A. (A),
  • 45+3', 1 - 2, Escobar F. , Bartlow E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 53', Lingr O. 🟨,
  • 54', 2 - 2, Bombino L. , Tverskov J. (A), Valakari O. (A2)
  • 56', Mighten A. , Lozano H. ,
  • 56', McNair P. , Pilcher I. ,
  • 58', Raines B. 🟨,
  • 62', Bartlow E. 🟨,
  • 63', Ennali L. , Holmes D. ,
  • 67', 3 - 2, Valakari O. ,
  • 76', Lingr O. , Duenas E. ,
  • 84', Valakari O. 🟨,
  • 88', 3 - 3, Ponce E. (Pen),
  • 90', Godoy A. , Angel T. ,
  • 90+1', Bassi A. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Holmes D. 🟨,
  • 90+10', 3 - 4, Ponce E. , Bartlow E. (A),
  • 90+14', Duenas E. 🟨,
  • 90+15', Bassi A. , Dorsey G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Diego
58.6%
Draw
22.3%
Houston Dynamo
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.6% 23.6% 20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58% 22.6% 19.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Diego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • San Diego - Houston Dynamo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.72)
    4.25
    (4.04)
    4.96
    (4.58)
    5.4%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for San Diego - Houston Dynamo?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. San Diego will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for San Diego: 31.2%83%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. San Diego (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • San Diego is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Houston has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, San Diego has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, San Diego is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in San Diego: Alvarado Jr A. (Injury) Diop H. (Lower-Body Injury) Ingvartsen M. (Lower-Body Injury) Kumado W. (Lower-Body Injury) McNair P. (Lower-Body Injury) de la Torre L. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Houston: McGlynn J. (International duty) Tarbell A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Houston: Steres D. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • We predict that San Diego will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of San Diego
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC23133746:311542
    2Vancouver Whitecaps22125538:251341
    3Minnesota United23117539:261340
    4Los Angeles FC20105536:241235
    5Seattle Sounders2297634:31334
    6Portland Timbers2296731:31033
    7Colorado Rapids24861030:36-630
    8Austin FC2286817:24-730
    9San Jose Earthquakes2378844:39529
    10Real Salt Lake22841024:28-428
    11Houston Dynamo23751129:38-926
    12Sporting Kansas City22651135:41-623
    13FC Dallas22571029:41-1222
    14St. Louis City22461223:35-1218
    15Los Angeles Galaxy23361425:45-2015


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union23144539:221746
    2FC Cincinnati23143638:31745
    3Nashville SC23135541:251644
    4Columbus Crew23118438:32641
    5Inter Miami20115444:331138
    6Orlando City2398641:311035
    7New York City22104829:25434
    8New York Red Bulls2396838:30833
    9Charlotte231021138:37132
    10Chicago Fire2285942:40229
    11New England Revolution2267929:30-125
    12Toronto FC22561125:29-421
    13Atlanta Utd22481025:40-1520
    14DC United23471219:43-2419
    15CF Montreal23361420:43-2315

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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