RB Leipzig vs Aston Villa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League RB Leipzig - Aston Villa
Result
2:3
10/12/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)
RB Leipzig - Aston Villa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.362.08
Ball Possession
46%54%
Goal Attempts
1719
Shots on Goal
68
Shots off Goal
68
Blocked Shots
53
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
57
Shots inside the Box
1211
Shots outside the Box
58
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
Free Kicks
712
Offsides
32
Fouls
127
Yellow Cards
12
Throw-ins
914
Touches in the Opposition Box
2430
Passes
85% (381/446)86% (435/508)
Passes in the final third
78% (76/97)76% (110/145)
Crosses
18% (2/11)33% (5/15)
Tackles
48% (11/23)60% (6/10)
Clearances Total
2311
Interceptions
1210

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, McGinn J. , Watkins O. (A),
  • 27', 1 - 1, Openda L. , Seiwald N. (A),
  • 45', Digne L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Watkins O. , Duran J. ,
  • 46', Haidara A. , Kampl K. ,
  • 52', 1 - 2, Duran J. , Tielemans Y. (A),
  • 62', 2 - 2, Baumgartner C. , Openda L. (A),
  • 71', Cash M. , Nedeljkovic K. ,
  • 76', McGinn J. , Buendia E. ,
  • 76', Sesko B. , Andre Silva ,
  • 79', Diego Carlos 🟨,
  • 81', Henrichs B. 🟨,
  • 83', Tielemans Y. , Barkley R. ,
  • 83', Digne L. , Maatsen I. ,
  • 84', Vermeeren A. , Klostermann L. ,
  • 85', 2 - 3, Barkley R. ,

Chances of winning


RB Leipzig
31.5%
Draw
28.7%
Aston Villa
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37% 26.7% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36% 27.4% 37.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that RB Leipzig's form might have worsened.
  • Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • RB Leipzig - Aston Villa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.07
    (2.59)
    3.36
    (3.59)
    2.43
    (2.64)
    3.5%
    (4.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : CBSSN
  • What is the prediction for RB Leipzig - Aston Villa?
  • Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. RB Leipzig will win (votes: 29 - 49.2%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 13 - 22%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 28.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 36.4%62%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Recently Aston Villa have a series of home games.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in RB Leipzig: Bitshiabu E. (Muscle Injury) Elmas E. (Muscle Injury) Lukeba C. (Yellow Cards) Ouedraogo A. (Muscle Injury) Poulsen Y. (Hip Injury) Raum D. (Ankle Injury) Simons X. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Bailey L. (Thigh Injury) Ramsey J. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches RB Leipzig won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams RB Leipzig won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig - Aston Villa were as follows:
    31.07.2024 RB Leipzig - Aston Villa 2:0
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    07.12.2024 Aston Villa - Southampton 1:0
    04.12.2024 Aston Villa - Brentford 3:1
    01.12.2024 Chelsea - Aston Villa 3:0
    27.11.2024 Aston Villa - Juventus 0:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF
    3ZalgirisHamrun
    4ByeDyn. Kyiv
    5PafosBye
    6ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9NoahBuducnost
    10ByeFerencvaros
    11Lech PoznanBye
    12EgnatiaBreidablik
    13FC CopenhagenBye
    14DritaDifferdange
    15RijekaBye
    16LudogoretsDin. Minsk
    17TNSShkendija
    18FCSBInter Escaldes
    19Slovan BratislavaBye
    20VirtusZrinjski
    21ShelbourneLinfield
    22ByeQarabag
    23KuPSMilsami
    24O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    27PlzenBye
    28ByeServette
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3Dyn. Kyiv
    3PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv
    4TBD #7Crvena zvezda
    5TBD #9Ferencvaros
    6Lech PoznanTBD #12
    7FC CopenhagenTBD #14
    8RijekaTBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10Slovan BratislavaTBD #20
    11TBD #21Qarabag
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13BrannSalzburg
    14PlzenServette
    15RangersPanathinaikos
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