Aston Villa vs Chelsea: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

22/02/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Villa Park (Birmingham).

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 26
Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.56	2.12
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Goal Attempts
12	15
Shots on Goal
6	7
Shots off Goal
3	5
Blocked Shots
3	3
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
2	3
Shots inside the Box
10	10
Shots outside the Box
2	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	4
Free Kicks
16	15
Offsides
1	1
Fouls
15	16
Yellow Cards
1	3
Throw-ins
14	13
Touches in the Opposition Box
33	25
Passes
87% (421/482)	88% (391/442)
Passes in the final third
74% (93/125)	78% (76/98)
Crosses
23% (3/13)	25% (3/12)
Tackles
53% (9/17)	44% (7/16)
Clearances Total
17	25
Interceptions
6	7

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Chalobah T. ↓, Adarabioyo T. ↑,
9', 0 - 1, Fernandez E. ⚽, Neto P. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ramsey J. ↓, Rashford M. ↑,
56', Fernandez E. 🟨,
57', 1 - 1, Asensio M. ⚽, Rashford M. (A),
60', Mings T. ↓, Bogarde L. ↑,
69', McGinn J. 🟨,
70', Cash M. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
72', Nkunku C. 🟨,
76', Nkunku C. ↓, Sancho J. ↑,
77', Watkins O. ↓, Bailey L. ↑,
78', Rogers M. ↓, Malen D. ↑,
89', Caicedo M. 🟨,
89', 2 - 1, Asensio M. ⚽, Rashford M. (A),

Chances of winning

Aston Villa
36.3%

Draw
27%

Chelsea
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

25.6%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

27.1%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chelsea could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aston Villa - Chelsea Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (2.77)	3.61 ↓ (3.75)	2.62 ↑ (2.42)	3.5% (4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

Watch this match and English Premier League with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : NBC Universo

What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Chelsea?

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 22 - 48.9%). Chelsea will win (votes: 12 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 24.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 34.3% – 63.5%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Aston Villa won 1.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Aston Villa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Aston Villa have a series of home games.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Aston Villa: Barkley R. (Calf Injury) Disasi A. (Loan agreement) Kamara B. (Injury) Onana A. (Thigh Injury) Torres P. (Foot Injury)
There will not play in Chelsea: Badiashile B. (Thigh Injury) Fofana W. (Muscle Injury) Guiu M. (Muscle Injury) Jackson N. (Thigh Injury) Kellyman O. (Muscle Injury) Lavia R. (Thigh Injury) Madueke N. (Muscle Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended)
There are questionable in Aston Villa: Bailey L. (Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Aston Villa won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 16:35 (average 0.8:1.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Aston Villa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9:19 (average 1:2.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Aston Villa won against Chelsea?

Aston Villa has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Chelsea won against Aston Villa?

Chelsea has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Aston Villa - Chelsea were as follows:

01.12.2024 Chelsea - Aston Villa 3:0

27.04.2024 Aston Villa - Chelsea 2:2

07.02.2024 Aston Villa - Chelsea 1:3

26.01.2024 Chelsea - Aston Villa 0:0

24.09.2023 Chelsea - Aston Villa 0:1

Latest results of Aston Villa

19.02.2025 Aston Villa - Liverpool 2:2 ✺

15.02.2025 Aston Villa - Ipswich Town 1:1 ✺

09.02.2025 Aston Villa - Tottenham Hotspur 2:1 ✺

01.02.2025 Wolverhampton Wanderers - Aston Villa 2:0 ✺

29.01.2025 Aston Villa - Celtic 4:2 ✺

Latest results of Chelsea

14.02.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Chelsea 3:0 ✺

08.02.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Chelsea 2:1 ✺

03.02.2025 Chelsea - West Ham United 2:1 ✺

25.01.2025 Manchester City - Chelsea 3:1 ✺

20.01.2025 Chelsea - Wolverhampton Wanderers 3:1 ✺

English Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arsenal	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Aston Villa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Chelsea	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Everton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Fulham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Manchester City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Manchester Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Newcastle	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Sunderland	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Tottenham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	West Ham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Burnley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Crystal Palace	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Wolves	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Bournemouth	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Leeds	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Nottingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Brentford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Relegation ~ Championship

Which TV channels are streaming of Aston Villa - Chelsea?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Cambodia	MyTV
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2, V Sport Ultra
France	CANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ Premier League
Germany	RTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Siminn Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Jiocinema, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	U-NEXT
Kosovo	SuperSport 2
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	HBO Max, MAX, TNT Go, TNT Sports
Moldova	ICE TV
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport NOW, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	Setanta Sports
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	Hub Premier 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium, V Sport Ultra
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	True Premier Football 1, True Premier Football 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Radio, beIN Sports MENA English 1, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League, Sky Ultra
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock TV, Sport 24 At Sea, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus
World	Disney+