Liverpool vs Aston Villa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
2:0
01/11/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 10
  • Referee: Attwell S. (Eng)
Liverpool - Aston Villa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.090.30
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
14
Passes
87% (406/465)84% (323/383)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.090.30
xG on target (xGOT)
0.980.30
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
96
Hit the Woodwork
02
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
14
Touches in opposition box
2121
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
80
Free Kicks
1113
Passes
87% (406/465)84% (323/383)
Long passes
45% (19/42)45% (21/47)
Passes in final third
75% (104/139)68% (70/103)
Crosses
8% (1/12)6% (1/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.870.30
Throw-ins
1712
Fouls
1311
Tackles
77% (10/13)64% (7/11)
Duels won
3934
Clearances
2427
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.300.98
Goals prevented
0.30-1.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Salah M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', van Dijk V. 🟨,
  • 57', Cash M. 🟨,
  • 58', 2 - 0, Gravenberch R. , Mac Allister A. (A),
  • 59', McGinn J. , Barkley R. ,
  • 59', Guessand E. , Malen D. ,
  • 73', Onana A. 🟨,
  • 74', Torres P. , Mings T. ,
  • 74', Watkins O. , Sancho J. ,
  • 75', Digne L. , Maatsen I. ,
  • 77', Ekitike H. , Wirtz F. ,
  • 80', Rogers M. 🟨,
  • 87', Szoboszlai D. 🟨,
  • 87', Emery U. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Liverpool
59.8%
Draw
21.4%
Aston Villa
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.6% 20.5% 16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1% 19% 18.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Liverpool - Aston Villa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.52)
    4.51
    (4.64)
    5.29
    (5.62)
    3.4%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Liverpool - Aston Villa?
    • Users Predictions: 100 users predict this event. Liverpool will win (votes: 73 - 73%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 14 - 14%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 13%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 64.3%81.7%. The data is statistically significant.
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
      • AH -1 - Aston Villa (1.76) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • DNB - Aston Villa (3.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • DC - Aston Villa (2.18) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
      • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • AH -0.75 - Liverpool (1.81) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
      • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Liverpool will win (39 of 50 users predict this - 78%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
    • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 58 high ROI users predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 40 - 69%). Aston Villa (votes: 12 - 20.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 8.6%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 8)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 2.
    • Recent form of Liverpool has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Aston Villa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Liverpool may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Liverpool is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Liverpool: Alisson (Groin Injury) Bajcetic S. (Hamstring Injury) Chambers L. (Back Injury) Frimpong J. (Hamstring Injury) Isak A. (Groin Injury) Jones C. (Knock) Leoni G. (Knee Injury) Nallo A. (Red Card) Scanlon C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Buendia E. (Injury) Elliott H. (Loan agreement) Garcia A. (Injury) Tielemans Y. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Liverpool: Gravenberch R. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 43:30. (average 2.2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Liverpool won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:7. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Liverpool - Aston Villa were as follows:
    19.02.2025 Aston Villa - Liverpool 2:2
    09.11.2024 Liverpool - Aston Villa 2:0
    13.05.2024 Aston Villa - Liverpool 3:3
    03.09.2023 Liverpool - Aston Villa 3:0
    20.05.2023 Liverpool - Aston Villa 1:1
    Latest results of Liverpool
    29.10.2025 Liverpool - Crystal Palace 0:3
    25.10.2025 Brentford - Liverpool 3:2
    04.10.2025 Chelsea - Liverpool 2:1
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal31217361:223970
    2Manchester City30187560:283261
    3Manchester Utd311510656:431355
    4Aston Villa31166942:37554
    5Liverpool311471050:42849
    6Chelsea31139953:381548
    7Brentford311371146:42446
    8Everton311371137:35246
    9Fulham311351343:44-144
    10Brighton3111101041:37443
    11Sunderland3111101032:36-443
    12Newcastle311261344:45-142
    13Bournemouth31915746:48-242
    14Crystal Palace301091133:35-239
    15Leeds317121237:48-1133
    16Nottingham31881531:43-1232
    17Tottenham31791540:50-1030
    18West Ham31781636:57-2129
    19Burnley31481933:61-2820
    20Wolves31382024:54-3017

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

    Which TV channels are streaming of Liverpool - Aston Villa?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
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    austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
    azerbaijanAzerbaijanIdman TV
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    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
    czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 5, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
    denmarkDenmarkAmazon Prime Video, Disney+, Viaplay
    europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
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    hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
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    nepalNepalKantipur Max
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    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 8, Sky Sport Premier League
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    singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 1, Hub Premier 2
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Premier League
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
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