RB Leipzig vs Aston Villa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League RB Leipzig - Aston Villa
Result
2:3
10/12/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)
RB Leipzig - Aston Villa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.362.08
Ball Possession
46%54%
Goal Attempts
1719
Shots on Goal
68
Shots off Goal
68
Blocked Shots
53
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
57
Shots inside the Box
1211
Shots outside the Box
58
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
Free Kicks
712
Offsides
32
Fouls
127
Yellow Cards
12
Throw-ins
914
Touches in the Opposition Box
2430
Passes
85% (381/446)86% (435/508)
Passes in the final third
78% (76/97)76% (110/145)
Crosses
18% (2/11)33% (5/15)
Tackles
48% (11/23)60% (6/10)
Clearances Total
2311
Interceptions
1210

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, McGinn J. , Watkins O. (A),
  • 27', 1 - 1, Openda L. , Seiwald N. (A),
  • 45', Digne L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Watkins O. , Duran J. ,
  • 46', Haidara A. , Kampl K. ,
  • 52', 1 - 2, Duran J. , Tielemans Y. (A),
  • 62', 2 - 2, Baumgartner C. , Openda L. (A),
  • 71', Cash M. , Nedeljkovic K. ,
  • 76', McGinn J. , Buendia E. ,
  • 76', Sesko B. , Andre Silva ,
  • 79', Diego Carlos 🟨,
  • 81', Henrichs B. 🟨,
  • 83', Tielemans Y. , Barkley R. ,
  • 83', Digne L. , Maatsen I. ,
  • 84', Vermeeren A. , Klostermann L. ,
  • 85', 2 - 3, Barkley R. ,

Chances of winning


RB Leipzig
31.5%
Draw
28.7%
Aston Villa
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37% 26.7% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36% 27.4% 37.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that RB Leipzig's form might have worsened.
  • Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • RB Leipzig - Aston Villa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.07
    (2.59)
    3.36
    (3.59)
    2.43
    (2.64)
    3.5%
    (4.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : CBSSN
  • What is the prediction for RB Leipzig - Aston Villa?
  • Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. RB Leipzig will win (votes: 29 - 49.2%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 13 - 22%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 28.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 36.4%62%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Recently Aston Villa have a series of home games.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in RB Leipzig: Bitshiabu E. (Muscle Injury) Elmas E. (Muscle Injury) Lukeba C. (Yellow Cards) Ouedraogo A. (Muscle Injury) Poulsen Y. (Hip Injury) Raum D. (Ankle Injury) Simons X. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Bailey L. (Thigh Injury) Ramsey J. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches RB Leipzig won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams RB Leipzig won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig - Aston Villa were as follows:
    31.07.2024 RB Leipzig - Aston Villa 2:0
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    07.12.2024 Aston Villa - Southampton 1:0
    04.12.2024 Aston Villa - Brentford 3:1
    01.12.2024 Chelsea - Aston Villa 3:0
    27.11.2024 Aston Villa - Juventus 0:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros0 : 0
    2ShkendijaQarabag0 : 1
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda1 : 3
    4Dyn. KyivPafos0 : 1
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava1 : 0
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen0 : 0
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce2 : 1
    12NiceBenfica0 : 2
    13RangersPlzen3 : 0
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV0 : 1

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz
    4CelticTBD #8
    5BaselTBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
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