Pisa vs Fiorentina: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

28/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani (Pisa).

: Serie A - Round 5
Referee: Manganiello G. (Ita)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.75	0.98
Ball Possession
39%	61%
Total shots
11	14
Shots on target
1	2
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
4	6
Passes
70% (162/232)	82% (313/383)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75	0.98
xG on target (xGOT)
0.04	0.19
Total shots
11	14
Shots on target
1	2
Shots off target
7	7
Blocked Shots
3	5
Shots inside the Box
9	9
Shots outside the Box
2	5
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
4	6
Touches in opposition box
19	23
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	5
Free Kicks
15	15
Passes
70% (162/232)	82% (313/383)
Long passes
35% (16/46)	52% (23/44)
Passes in final third
59% (42/71)	64% (47/74)
Crosses
24% (4/17)	23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.44	0.33
Throw-ins
16	19
Fouls
15	15
Tackles
56% (15/27)	33% (9/27)
Duels won
63	64
Clearances
29	20
Interceptions
7	5
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	1
xGOT faced
0.19	0.04
Goals prevented
0.19	-0.96

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Kean M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Aebischer M. ↓, Hojholt M. ↑,
67', Marin M. ↓, Vural I. ↑,
67', Leris M. ↓, Cuadrado J. ↑,
68', Nzola M. ↓, Meister H. ↑,
74', Gudmundsson A. ↓, Piccoli R. ↑,
80', Nicolussi Caviglia H. ↓, Sohm S. ↑,
87', Tramoni M. ↓, Moreo S. ↑,
87', Fazzini J. ↓, Dzeko E. ↑,

Chances of winning

Pisa
27.3%

Draw
29%

Fiorentina
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

28.5%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

28.7%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Pisa - Fiorentina Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (3.42)	3.3 ↓ (3.34)	2.21 ↑ (2.18)	4% (5.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Pisa - Fiorentina?

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Pisa will win (votes: 4 - 11.1%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 25 - 69.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 19.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 54.3% – 84.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Pisa has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Fiorentina has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Pisa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Fiorentina could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Pisa: Stengs C. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Fiorentina: Kouame C. (Knee Injury) Lamptey T. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Pisa: Denoon D. (Illness) Esteves T. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
The teams have not played against each other recently.

How many head-to-head matches has Pisa won against Fiorentina?

Pisa has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Pisa?

Fiorentina has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Pisa - Fiorentina were as follows:

Latest results of Pisa

25.09.2025 Torino - Pisa 1:0 ✺

22.09.2025 Napoli - Pisa 3:2 ✺

14.09.2025 Pisa - Udinese 0:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Pisa - Roma 0:1 ✺

24.08.2025 Atalanta - Pisa 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Fiorentina

21.09.2025 Fiorentina - Como 1:2 ✺

13.09.2025 Fiorentina - Napoli 1:3 ✺

31.08.2025 Torino - Fiorentina 0:0 ✺

28.08.2025 Fiorentina - Polissya Zhytomyr 3:2 ✺

24.08.2025 Cagliari - Fiorentina 1:1 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	AC Milan	5	4	0	1	9:3	6	12
2	Napoli	5	4	0	1	10:5	5	12
3	AS Roma	5	4	0	1	5:1	4	12
4	Juventus	5	3	2	0	9:5	4	11
5	Inter	5	3	0	2	13:7	6	9
6	Atalanta	5	2	3	0	10:4	6	9
7	Cremonese	5	2	3	0	6:4	2	9
8	Como	5	2	2	1	6:4	2	8
9	Bologna	5	2	1	2	5:5	0	7
10	Cagliari	5	2	1	2	5:5	0	7
11	Udinese	5	2	1	2	5:8	-3	7
12	Lazio	5	2	0	3	7:4	3	6
13	Sassuolo	5	2	0	3	7:8	-1	6
14	Parma	5	1	2	2	3:6	-3	5
15	Torino	5	1	1	3	2:10	-8	4
16	Fiorentina	5	0	3	2	3:6	-3	3
17	Verona	5	0	3	2	2:8	-6	3
18	Pisa	5	0	2	3	3:6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	2	3	2:7	-5	2
20	Lecce	5	0	2	3	4:10	-6	2

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B

Which TV channels are streaming of Pisa - Fiorentina?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Hungary	Net4+
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	215 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Football