Result
1:1
16/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A - Round 21
- Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.14 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (243/327) | 82% (372/451) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 1.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 43 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (243/327) | 82% (372/451) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (24/60) | 53% (25/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (112/159) | 79% (96/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (7/25) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.12 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.49 | 2.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 40', Pasalic M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', Scamacca G. ↓, Raspadori G. ↑,
- 56', Musah Y. ↓, Zappacosta D. ↑,
- 56', Pasalic M. ↓, Ederson ↑,
- 66', Scalvini G. 🟨,
- 68', Marin M. ↓, Leris M. ↑,
- 68', Meister H. ↓, Durosinmi R. ↑,
- 70', Scalvini G. ↓, Krstovic N. ↑,
- 81', Coppola F. 🟨,
- 81', Zalewski N. ↓, Sulemana K. ↑,
- 83', 0 - 1, Krstovic N. ⚽,
- 87', 1 - 1, Durosinmi R. ⚽, Leris M. (A),
- 90+1', Calabresi A. ↓, Bozhinov R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pisa
15.4% | Draw
23.6% | Atalanta
61% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pisa's form might have worsened.Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atalanta's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+13.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pisa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-17.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atalanta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pisa - Atalanta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.16 ↑
(3.25) |
4.03 ↑
(3.5) |
1.56 ↓
(2.14) |
5.3%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Pisa - Atalanta?
- Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
- AH +1 - Atalanta (1.92) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Atalanta (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Atalanta will win
(73 of 85 users predict this - 85.88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.48% – 93.28%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atalanta will win (33 of 34 users predict this - 97.06%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 37 high ROI users predict this event. Atalanta (votes: 36 - 97.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 7).
- Recent form of Pisa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Atalanta is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Atalanta is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Pisa: Akinsanmiro E.
(International duty)
Albiol R.
(Injury)
Caracciolo Ant.
(Yellow Cards)
Cuadrado J.
(Thigh Injury)
Denoon D.
(Ankle Injury)
Mateus Lusuardi
(Injury)
Stengs C.
(Thigh Injury)
Vural I.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Atalanta: Bakker M.
(Knee Injury)
Bellanova R.
(Injury)
Djimsiti B.
(Injury)
Lookman A.
(International duty)
- There are questionable in Atalanta: Kolasinac S.
(Knee Injury)
Kossounou O.
(Rest)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pisa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Pisa won against Atalanta?
Pisa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atalanta won against Pisa?
Atalanta has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pisa - Atalanta were as follows:
24.08.2025
Atalanta
-
Pisa
1:1
Latest results of Atalanta
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter | 25 | 20 | 1 | 4 | 60:21 | 39 | 61 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 24 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 40:18 | 22 | 53 |
| 3 | Napoli | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 36:23 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | AS Roma | 24 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 29:14 | 15 | 46 |
| 5 | Juventus | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 43:23 | 20 | 46 |
| 6 | Atalanta | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 34:21 | 13 | 42 |
| 7 | Como | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 38:18 | 20 | 41 |
| 8 | Lazio | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 26:25 | 1 | 33 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 32 |
| 10 | Udinese | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 28:38 | -10 | 32 |
| 11 | Bologna | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 32:31 | 1 | 30 |
| 12 | Parma | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 18:31 | -13 | 29 |
| 13 | Cagliari | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
| 14 | Torino | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 24:42 | -18 | 27 |
| 15 | Cremonese | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 21:33 | -12 | 24 |
| 16 | Genoa | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 29:37 | -8 | 24 |
| 17 | Lecce | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 15:31 | -16 | 21 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 29:39 | -10 | 21 |
| 19 | Pisa | 25 | 1 | 12 | 12 | 20:42 | -22 | 15 |
| 20 | Verona | 25 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 19:43 | -24 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
Which TV channels are streaming of Pisa - Atalanta?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SuperSport Football, ZAP |
 Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
 Angola | Z Sports 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
 Czech-republic | Sport 2 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player |
 Hungary | Match 4 |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Israel | ONE Sport 2 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Kuwait | Shasha |
 Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 South-africa | SuperSport Football |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Thailand | True ID, True Premier Football 3 |
 Tunisia | Diwan Sport |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Sport |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | K+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab |
