Result
1:2
24/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A - Round 22
- Referee: Guida M. (Ita)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 1.08 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (546/615) | 75% (203/271) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 1.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (546/615) | 75% (203/271) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (18/33) | 41% (23/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (167/212) | 60% (35/58) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (7/37) | 43% (3/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 0.32 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.49 | 1.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.51 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 31', 0 - 1, Kilicsoy S. ⚽, Palestra M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Mandragora R. ↓, Fabbian G. ↑,
- 47', 0 - 2, Palestra M. ⚽, Esposito Se. (A),
- 56', Pongracic M. 🟨,
- 59', Ndour C. ↓, Brescianini M. ↑,
- 59', Gosens R. ↓, Harrison J. ↑,
- 63', Caprile E. 🟨,
- 64', Esposito Se. ↓, Sulemana I. ↑,
- 71', Kilicsoy S. ↓, Borrelli G. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 2, Brescianini M. ⚽, Dodo (A),
- 80', Obert A. ↓, Idrissi R. ↑,
- 80', Mazzitelli L. ↓, Prati M. ↑,
- 81', Palestra M. ↓, Zappa G. ↑,
- 83', Solomon M. ↓, Fortini N. ↑,
- 85', Mina Y. 🟨,
- 87', Pedro J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Comuzzo P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fiorentina
52.7% | Draw
27.1% | Cagliari
20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fiorentina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Fiorentina - Cagliari Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↑
(1.68) |
3.5 ↓
(3.8) |
4.75 ↓
(5.18) |
4.8%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Cagliari?
- Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 9 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- AH -0.5 - Cagliari (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Fiorentina (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Fiorentina will win
(30 of 36 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.15% – 95.51%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fiorentina will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Cagliari (votes: 2 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 17 and 15)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 4.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Fiorentina is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Fiorentina: Lamptey T.
(Knee Injury)
Parisi F.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Cagliari: Belotti A.
(Knee Injury)
Deiola A.
(Thigh Injury)
Di Pardo A.
(Calf Injury)
Felici M.
(Knee Injury)
Folorunsho M.
(Knee Injury)
Liteta J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Fiorentina: Kean M.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:21. (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentina won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Cagliari?
Fiorentina has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cagliari won against Fiorentina?
Cagliari has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Cagliari were as follows:
24.08.2025
Cagliari
-
Fiorentina
1:1
23.04.2025
Cagliari
-
Fiorentina
1:2
08.12.2024
Fiorentina
-
Cagliari
1:0
23.05.2024
Cagliari
-
Fiorentina
2:3
02.10.2023
Fiorentina
-
Cagliari
3:0
Latest results of Fiorentina
Latest results of Cagliari
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter | 28 | 22 | 1 | 5 | 64:22 | 42 | 67 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 28 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 44:20 | 24 | 60 |
| 3 | Napoli | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 43:29 | 14 | 56 |
| 4 | Como | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 46:21 | 25 | 51 |
| 5 | AS Roma | 28 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 38:21 | 17 | 51 |
| 6 | Juventus | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 50:28 | 22 | 50 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 8 | Bologna | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 37:34 | 3 | 39 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 |
| 10 | Lazio | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 28:28 | 0 | 37 |
| 11 | Udinese | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 33:41 | -8 | 36 |
| 12 | Parma | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 20:32 | -12 | 34 |
| 13 | Genoa | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 34:40 | -6 | 30 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 30 |
| 15 | Torino | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 28:49 | -21 | 30 |
| 16 | Lecce | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 20:37 | -17 | 27 |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 30:42 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 22:40 | -18 | 24 |
| 19 | Verona | 28 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 22:49 | -27 | 18 |
| 20 | Pisa | 28 | 1 | 12 | 15 | 20:48 | -28 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
Which TV channels are streaming of Fiorentina - Cagliari?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, ZAP |
 Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
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 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
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 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
 Czech-republic | Sport 1 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3, Nova Sports Prime |
 Haiti | Tele Haiti |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player |
 Hungary | Match 4, Net4+ |
 Indonesia | ANTV, Vidio |
 Iraq | Al Rabiaa Sport 2 |
 Italy | 214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kuwait | Shasha |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 35 Sports |
 Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean, ESPN Norte |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
 South-africa | SuperSport Football |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Tanzania | ZBC 2 Tanzania |
 Thailand | True ID, True Premier Football 3 |
 Tunisia | Diwan Sport |
 Turkey | S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 Vietnam | K+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab |
