Atalanta vs Fiorentina: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Italian Serie A Atalanta - Fiorentina
Result
2:0
30/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A - Round 13
  • Referee: Marcenaro M. (Ita)
Atalanta - Fiorentina - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.711.35
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
2115
Shots on target
93
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
85% (365/427)83% (386/466)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.711.35
xG on target (xGOT)
1.880.68
Total shots
2115
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
68
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
1513
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
4120
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1015
Passes
85% (365/427)83% (386/466)
Long passes
49% (25/51)45% (33/73)
Passes in final third
77% (104/135)57% (54/94)
Crosses
57% (8/14)40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.360.83
Throw-ins
1420
Fouls
1510
Tackles
43% (6/14)45% (5/11)
Duels won
4340
Clearances
1914
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
37
xGOT faced
0.681.88
Goals prevented
0.68-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 41', 1 - 0, Kossounou O. , De Ketelaere C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', 2 - 0, Lookman A. ,
  • 59', Pongracic M. 🟨,
  • 64', Fagioli N. , Gudmundsson A. ,
  • 64', Dodo , Fortini N. ,
  • 67', Zappacosta D. , Zalewski N. ,
  • 67', Ederson , Pasalic M. ,
  • 69', Mari P. 🟨,
  • 71', Mandragora R. 🟨,
  • 75', Mari P. , Comuzzo P. ,
  • 77', Scamacca G. , Krstovic N. ,
  • 77', Lookman A. , Sulemana K. ,
  • 79', Piccoli R. , Richardson A. ,
  • 79', Sohm S. , Ndour C. ,
  • 84', Hien I. 🟨,
  • 86', Hien I. , Kolasinac S. ,

Chances of winning


Atalanta
57.6%
Draw
24.2%
Fiorentina
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57% 24.1% 18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4% 19.6% 23.2%

Atalanta - Fiorentina Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.68
(1.68)
3.98
(3.97)
5.28
(5.07)
3.7%
(4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atalanta - Fiorentina?
  • Users Predictions: 67 users predict this event. Atalanta will win (votes: 48 - 71.6%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 9 - 13.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 14.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atalanta: 60.8%82.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Fiorentina (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Atalanta (1.88) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atalanta will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Atalanta (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Fiorentina (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
  • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 2.
  • Recent performances by Atalanta have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • Fiorentina's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
  • Atalanta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • Recently, Atalanta has had a series of away games.
  • In this match, Atalanta is a strong favorite.
  • There will not play in Atalanta: Bakker M. (Knee Injury)
  • There will not play in Fiorentina: Kouame C. (Knee Injury) Lamptey T. (Knee Injury)
  • There are questionable in Atalanta: Scalvini G. (Muscle Injury)
  • There are questionable in Fiorentina: Dodo (Injury) Gosens R. (Thigh Injury)
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 35:32. (average 1.8:1.6).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Atalanta won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:15. (average 2.3:1.5).
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atalanta - Fiorentina were as follows:
30.03.2025 Fiorentina - Atalanta 1:0
15.09.2024 Atalanta - Fiorentina 3:2
02.06.2024 Atalanta - Fiorentina 2:3
24.04.2024 Atalanta - Fiorentina 4:1
03.04.2024 Fiorentina - Atalanta 1:0
Latest results of Atalanta
22.11.2025 Napoli - Atalanta 3:1
09.11.2025 Atalanta - Sassuolo 0:3
01.11.2025 Udinese - Atalanta 1:0
Latest results of Fiorentina
27.11.2025 Fiorentina - AEK Athens 0:1
22.11.2025 Fiorentina - Juventus 1:1
09.11.2025 Genoa - Fiorentina 2:2
06.11.2025 Mainz - Fiorentina 2:1
02.11.2025 Fiorentina - Lecce 0:1
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26
PlWDLDiffPts
1Inter22171450:193152
2AC Milan21137134:161846
3Napoli21134431:171443
4AS Roma21140726:121442
5Juventus21116432:171539
6Como21107431:161537
7Atalanta2188526:20632
8Bologna2186730:24630
9Lazio2177721:19228
10Udinese2175922:33-1126
11Sassuolo21651023:28-523
12Cremonese2158820:28-823
13Parma2158814:22-823
14Torino21651021:34-1323
15Cagliari2157922:30-822
16Genoa2148922:29-720
17Fiorentina21381023:32-917
18Lecce21451213:29-1617
19Verona21281117:34-1714
20Pisa221111018:37-1914

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B

Which TV channels are streaming of Atalanta - Fiorentina?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2, Fast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN 2
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceDAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
italyItalyDAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoART Sport 6
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2, Polsat Sport 3
portugalPortugalSport TV4
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 3
tajikistanTajikistanFutbol TV
tanzaniaTanzaniaZBC 2 Tanzania
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 5
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab
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