Result
3:0
02/03/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A - Round 27
- Referee: Pairetto L. (Ita)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.67 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (237/304) | 87% (489/560) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.72 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (237/304) | 87% (489/560) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (21/44) | 52% (26/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (40/69) | 75% (91/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 39% (7/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.62 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (17/25) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Kabasele C. ⚽, Zaniolo N. (A),
- 28', Pongracic M. 🟨,
- 32', Ehizibue K. 🟨,
- 32', Parisi F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Brescianini M. ↓, Ndour C. ↑,
- 46', Pongracic M. ↓, Comuzzo P. ↑,
- 62', Rugani D. 🟨,
- 64', 2 - 0, Davis K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 68', Davis K. ↓, Buksa A. ↑,
- 71', Mandragora R. ↓, Fabbian G. ↑,
- 71', Kean M. ↓, Piccoli R. ↑,
- 73', Piotrowski J. ↓, Zarraga O. ↑,
- 73', Bertola N. ↓, Mlacic B. ↑,
- 73', Zemura J. ↓, Kamara H. ↑,
- 80', Ranieri L. 🟨,
- 87', Zaniolo N. ↓, Miller L. ↑,
- 87', Fagioli N. ↓, Fazzini J. ↑,
- 90+4', 3 - 0, Buksa A. ⚽, Miller L. (A),
Chances of winning
Udinese
29.5% | Draw
30.6% | Fiorentina
40% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Udinese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Udinese - Fiorentina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.23 ↑
(3.13) |
3.12 ↓
(3.35) |
2.39 ↑
(2.31) |
4.8%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Udinese - Fiorentina?
- Users Predictions:
54 users predict this event. Udinese will win (votes: 16 - 29.6%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 22 - 40.7%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 29.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 27.6% – 53.8%. - Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Udinese (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Fiorentina (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
- Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
- AH +0.5 - Udinese (1.59) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Udinese (1.59) (votes: 2 - 50%) .
- DNB - Udinese (2.23) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.25 - Udinese (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Udinese (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/E Goals - even (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. Udinese (votes: 13 - 52%). Fiorentina (votes: 7 - 28%). Tie (votes: 5 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 1.
- Udinese has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Fiorentina is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Udinese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Udinese: Solet O.
(Muscle Injury)
Zanoli A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Fiorentina: Dodo
(Yellow Cards)
Lamptey T.
(Knee Injury)
Lezzerini L.
(Muscle Injury)
Solomon M.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 19:32. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Udinese won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.7:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Udinese won against Fiorentina?
Udinese has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Udinese?
Fiorentina has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Udinese - Fiorentina were as follows:
21.12.2025
Fiorentina
-
Udinese
5:1
25.05.2025
Udinese
-
Fiorentina
2:3
23.12.2024
Fiorentina
-
Udinese
1:2
14.01.2024
Fiorentina
-
Udinese
2:2
24.09.2023
Udinese
-
Fiorentina
0:2
Latest results of Udinese
Latest results of Fiorentina
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter ✔ | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 86:32 | 54 | 86 |
| 2 | Napoli ✔ | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 57:36 | 21 | 73 |
| 3 | AC Milan | 37 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 52:33 | 19 | 70 |
| 4 | AS Roma | 37 | 22 | 4 | 11 | 57:31 | 26 | 70 |
| 5 | Como | 37 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 61:28 | 33 | 68 |
| 6 | Juventus | 37 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 59:32 | 27 | 68 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 50:35 | 15 | 58 |
| 8 | Bologna | 37 | 16 | 7 | 14 | 46:43 | 3 | 55 |
| 9 | Lazio | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 39:39 | 0 | 51 |
| 10 | Udinese | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 45:47 | -2 | 50 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 37 | 14 | 7 | 16 | 46:49 | -3 | 49 |
| 12 | Torino | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 42:61 | -19 | 44 |
| 13 | Parma | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 27:46 | -19 | 42 |
| 14 | Genoa | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 41:50 | -9 | 41 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 37 | 9 | 14 | 14 | 40:49 | -9 | 41 |
| 16 | Cagliari | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 38:52 | -14 | 40 |
| 17 | Lecce | 37 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 27:50 | -23 | 35 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 31:53 | -22 | 34 |
| 19 | Verona ✔ | 37 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 25:59 | -34 | 21 |
| 20 | Pisa ✔ | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 25:69 | -44 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
Clinched Spots for Teams
Inter is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
Napoli is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Verona is Relegated to Serie B
Pisa is Relegated to Serie B
Which TV channels are streaming of Udinese - Fiorentina?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 3, DStv Now |
 Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, FuboTV |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Sport 1 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Germany | DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 7 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player |
 Indonesia | ANTV, Vidio |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 2 |
 Kuwait | Shasha |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 Malaysia | Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV |
 Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Slovakia | Sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
 South-africa | SuperSport Football |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2 |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Thailand | True ID, True Premier Football 3 |
 Tunisia | Diwan Sport |
 Turkey | S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1 |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Football, TV 360, VTVcab |
 World | Starzplay Sports app |
