Philadelphia Union vs New York City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Philadelphia Union - New York City
Result
1:0
04/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Freemon J. (Usa)
Philadelphia Union - New York City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.61
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
157
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
105
Passes
77% (249/322)81% (410/506)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.61
xG on target (xGOT)
1.440.06
Total shots
157
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
105
Touches in opposition box
2621
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
149
Passes
77% (249/322)81% (410/506)
Long passes
40% (16/40)43% (16/37)
Passes in final third
70% (92/132)60% (73/122)
Crosses
15% (3/20)9% (2/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.930.67
Throw-ins
2216
Fouls
914
Tackles
61% (11/18)80% (16/20)
Duels won
5249
Clearances
2923
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.061.44
Goals prevented
0.060.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', Jean Jacques D. 🟨,
  • 34', O'Toole K. 🟨,
  • 36', Glesnes J. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 0, Uhre M. , Lukic J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', O'Toole K. , O'Neill A. ,
  • 55', Damiani B. 🟨,
  • 58', Uhre M. , Baribo T. ,
  • 59', Martinez A. , Ojeda A. ,
  • 59', Gray T. , Ilenic M. ,
  • 73', Damiani B. , Bueno J. ,
  • 78', Wolf H. , Fernandez J. ,
  • 81', Vassilev I. , Bedoya A. ,
  • 81', Iloski M. , Mbaizo O. ,
  • 87', Moralez M. , Carrizo M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Philadelphia Union
50%
Draw
24.7%
New York City
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.5% 23.8% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5% 23.8% 27.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Philadelphia Union - New York City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.93)
    3.82
    (3.93)
    3.74
    (3.38)
    5.3%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union - New York City?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 55.2%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Philadelphia is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • NY City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 3.
    • Recent performances by Philadelphia have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • NY City is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • NY City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Philadelphia is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Philadelphia: Westfield F. (International duty)
    • There will not play in NY City: Cavallo N. (Leg Injury) Jones M. (Broken Leg) Martinez A. (Leg Injury) Parks K. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 30:29. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Union - New York City were as follows:
    12.04.2025 New York City - Philadelphia Union 1:0
    18.09.2024 New York City - Philadelphia Union 1:5
    15.05.2024 Philadelphia Union - New York City 1:2
    15.07.2023 Philadelphia Union - New York City 2:1
    27.05.2023 New York City - Philadelphia Union 1:3
    Latest results of Philadelphia Union
    Latest results of New York City
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 33189665:362963
    2San Diego FC ✔ 33186960:411960
    3Los Angeles FC ✔ 33178863:382559
    4Minnesota United ✔ 331610755:371858
    5Seattle Sounders ✔ 331410956:47952
    6Austin FC331381236:43-747
    7Portland Timbers3311111141:44-344
    8FC Dallas3310111250:54-441
    9Real Salt Lake331241736:47-1140
    10Colorado Rapids331171542:54-1240
    11San Jose Earthquakes331081558:62-438
    12Houston Dynamo33991543:56-1336
    13St. Louis City33871842:56-1431
    14Sporting Kansas City33762046:70-2427
    15Los Angeles Galaxy33691844:65-2127


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 33206757:332466
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 33195949:40962
    3Inter Miami ✔ 33188776:532362
    4Charlotte ✔ 331821353:46756
    5New York City ✔ 331751149:42756
    6Nashville SC331661156:401654
    7Orlando City331411861:471453
    8Chicago Fire331571166:58852
    9Columbus Crew331312852:50251
    10New York Red Bulls331271447:44343
    11New England Revolution33981642:49-735
    12Toronto FC335141433:42-929
    13CF Montreal336101734:57-2328
    14Atlanta Utd335121637:62-2527
    15DC United335101829:65-3625

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Seattle Sounders is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Philadelphia Union - New York City?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
    chinaChinaQQ Sports
    italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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