New York City vs Philadelphia Union: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

12/04/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Yankee Stadium (New York, NY).

: MLS
Referee: Gonzalez G. Jr. (Usa)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.26	1.27
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
11	16
Shots on target
2	3
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
6	6
Passes
75% (335/444)	77% (318/413)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26	1.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.21	0.42
Total shots
11	16
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
6	5
Blocked Shots
3	8
Shots inside the Box
6	10
Shots outside the Box
5	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
6	6
Touches in opposition box
19	27
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
12	9
Passes
75% (335/444)	77% (318/413)
Long passes
29% (14/49)	31% (17/54)
Passes in final third
65% (69/106)	65% (70/108)
Crosses
20% (3/15)	31% (11/35)
Expected assists (xA)
0.96	0.74
Fouls
9	12
Tackles
67% (4/6)	73% (16/22)
Duels won
35	48
Clearances Total
36	32
Interceptions
16	18
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
3	1
xGOT faced
0.42	1.21
Goals prevented
0.42	0.21

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Makhanya O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, Martinez A. ⚽, Ilenic M. (A),
66', Jean Jacques D. ↓, Uhre M. ↑,
75', Moralez M. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
75', Sullivan Q. ↓, Bedoya A. ↑,
75', Damiani B. ↓, Donovan C. ↑,
86', Wolf H. ↓, Bakrar M. ↑,
86', Ojeda A. ↓, Risa B. ↑,
90+3', Westfield F. 🟨,
90+4', Makhanya O. ↓, Westfield F. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

New York City
43.9%

Draw
26.6%

Philadelphia Union
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

24.9%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

25.9%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

New York City - Philadelphia Union Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.11)	3.59 ↓ (3.84)	3.2 ↓ (3.21)	5.4% (4.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for New York City - Philadelphia Union?

The most likely score is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches NY City won 1.
Two teams are playing changeable.
NY City will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in NY City: Arroyave J. (Knee Injury) Cavallo N. (Injury) Perea A. (Hip Injury)
There will not play in Philadelphia: Wagner K. (Abdominal strain)
Last 20 head-to-head matches NY City won 10 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 31:32 (average 1.6:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams NY City won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18:19 (average 1.8:1.9).

How many head-to-head matches has New York City won against Philadelphia Union?

New York City has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Philadelphia Union won against New York City?

Philadelphia Union has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between New York City - Philadelphia Union were as follows:

18.09.2024 New York City - Philadelphia Union 1:5

15.05.2024 Philadelphia Union - New York City 1:2

15.07.2023 Philadelphia Union - New York City 2:1

27.05.2023 New York City - Philadelphia Union 1:3

30.10.2022 Philadelphia Union - New York City 3:1

Latest results of New York City

06.04.2025 New York City - Minnesota United 1:2 ✺

29.03.2025 Atlanta United - New York City 4:3 ✺

22.03.2025 Columbus Crew - New York City 0:0 ✺

15.03.2025 New York City - New England Revolution 2:1 ✺

08.03.2025 New York City - Orlando City 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Philadelphia Union

05.04.2025 Philadelphia Union - Orlando City 0:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Inter Miami - Philadelphia Union 2:1 ✺

22.03.2025 Philadelphia Union - St. Louis City 1:0 ✺

08.03.2025 New England Revolution - Philadelphia Union 0:2 ✺

01.03.2025 Philadelphia Union - Cincinnati 4:1 ✺

MLS Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	15	9	5	1	27:12	15	32
2	San Diego FC	17	9	3	5	29:18	11	30
3	Minnesota United	17	8	6	3	26:16	10	30
4	Seattle Sounders	17	7	5	5	25:22	3	26
5	Portland Timbers	16	7	5	4	25:22	3	26
6	Los Angeles FC	15	6	5	4	27:22	5	23
7	San Jose Earthquakes	17	6	4	7	34:28	6	22
8	Colorado Rapids	16	6	4	6	18:22	-4	22
9	Houston Dynamo	17	5	5	7	22:25	-3	20
10	Austin FC	17	5	5	7	11:20	-9	20
11	FC Dallas	16	4	6	6	18:26	-8	18
12	Sporting Kansas City	16	4	4	8	25:28	-3	16
13	Real Salt Lake	17	4	3	10	16:25	-9	15
14	St. Louis City	16	3	5	8	13:21	-8	14
15	Los Angeles Galaxy	17	1	4	12	15:36	-21	7

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Philadelphia Union	17	10	4	3	32:18	14	34
2	FC Cincinnati	17	9	3	5	25:24	1	30
3	Inter Miami	16	8	5	3	36:27	9	29
4	Nashville SC	17	8	5	4	30:21	9	29
5	Columbus Crew	17	7	7	3	27:24	3	28
6	New York Red Bulls	17	8	3	6	28:19	9	27
7	Orlando City	17	7	6	4	31:22	9	27
8	Charlotte	17	8	1	8	28:27	1	25
9	New York City	17	7	4	6	20:20	0	25
10	New England Revolution	15	6	5	4	19:14	5	23
11	Chicago Fire	15	6	4	5	28:28	0	22
12	DC United	17	4	6	7	16:29	-13	18
13	Atlanta Utd	17	4	5	8	21:30	-9	17
14	Toronto FC	17	3	4	10	18:24	-6	13
15	CF Montreal	17	1	5	11	12:32	-20	8

Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of New York City - Philadelphia Union?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC