New York City vs Philadelphia Union: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

12/04/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Yankee Stadium (New York, NY).

: MLS
Referee: Gonzalez G. Jr. (Usa)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.26	1.27
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
11	16
Shots on target
2	3
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
6	6
Passes
75% (335/444)	77% (318/413)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26	1.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.21	0.42
Total shots
11	16
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
6	5
Blocked Shots
3	8
Shots inside the Box
6	10
Shots outside the Box
5	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
6	6
Touches in opposition box
19	27
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
12	9
Passes
75% (335/444)	77% (318/413)
Long passes
29% (14/49)	31% (17/54)
Passes in final third
65% (69/106)	65% (70/108)
Crosses
20% (3/15)	31% (11/35)
Expected assists (xA)
0.96	0.74
Fouls
9	12
Tackles
67% (4/6)	73% (16/22)
Duels won
35	48
Clearances Total
36	32
Interceptions
16	18
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
3	1
xGOT faced
0.42	1.21
Goals prevented
0.42	0.21

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Makhanya O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, Martinez A. ⚽, Ilenic M. (A),
66', Jean Jacques D. ↓, Uhre M. ↑,
75', Moralez M. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
75', Sullivan Q. ↓, Bedoya A. ↑,
75', Damiani B. ↓, Donovan C. ↑,
86', Wolf H. ↓, Bakrar M. ↑,
86', Ojeda A. ↓, Risa B. ↑,
90+3', Westfield F. 🟨,
90+4', Makhanya O. ↓, Westfield F. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

New York City
43.9%

Draw
26.6%

Philadelphia Union
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

24.9%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

25.9%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

New York City - Philadelphia Union Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.11)	3.59 ↓ (3.84)	3.2 ↓ (3.21)	5.4% (4.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

Preview Facts

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches NY City won 1.
Two teams are playing changeable.
NY City will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in NY City: Arroyave J. (Knee Injury) Cavallo N. (Injury) Perea A. (Hip Injury)
There will not play in Philadelphia: Wagner K. (Abdominal strain)
Last 20 head-to-head matches NY City won 10 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 31:32 (average 1.6:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams NY City won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18:19 (average 1.8:1.9).

How many head-to-head matches has New York City won against Philadelphia Union?

New York City has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Philadelphia Union won against New York City?

Philadelphia Union has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between New York City - Philadelphia Union were as follows:

18.09.2024 New York City - Philadelphia Union 1:5

15.05.2024 Philadelphia Union - New York City 1:2

15.07.2023 Philadelphia Union - New York City 2:1

27.05.2023 New York City - Philadelphia Union 1:3

30.10.2022 Philadelphia Union - New York City 3:1

Latest results of New York City

06.04.2025 New York City - Minnesota United 1:2 ✺

29.03.2025 Atlanta United - New York City 4:3 ✺

22.03.2025 Columbus Crew - New York City 0:0 ✺

15.03.2025 New York City - New England Revolution 2:1 ✺

08.03.2025 New York City - Orlando City 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Philadelphia Union

05.04.2025 Philadelphia Union - Orlando City 0:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Inter Miami - Philadelphia Union 2:1 ✺

22.03.2025 Philadelphia Union - St. Louis City 1:0 ✺

08.03.2025 New England Revolution - Philadelphia Union 0:2 ✺

01.03.2025 Philadelphia Union - Cincinnati 4:1 ✺

MLS Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	San Diego FC	28	16	5	7	52:33	19	53
2	Minnesota United	28	14	8	6	47:31	16	50
3	Vancouver Whitecaps	27	14	7	6	47:31	16	49
4	Seattle Sounders	27	12	8	7	48:38	10	44
5	Los Angeles FC	25	11	8	6	44:31	13	41
6	Portland Timbers	27	10	8	9	35:37	-2	38
7	Colorado Rapids	28	10	6	12	36:44	-8	36
8	San Jose Earthquakes	28	9	8	11	52:48	4	35
9	Austin FC	26	9	8	9	26:32	-6	35
10	Real Salt Lake	27	9	4	14	28:36	-8	31
11	FC Dallas	27	7	9	11	39:47	-8	30
12	Houston Dynamo	27	7	8	12	34:44	-10	29
13	Sporting Kansas City	27	6	6	15	39:55	-16	24
14	St. Louis City	27	5	6	16	31:47	-16	21
15	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	4	7	16	32:55	-23	19

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Philadelphia Union	28	16	6	6	48:26	22	54
2	FC Cincinnati	28	16	4	8	42:35	7	52
3	Nashville SC	28	15	5	8	49:32	17	50
4	Charlotte	28	15	2	11	46:39	7	47
5	Orlando City	28	13	8	7	54:40	14	47
6	Inter Miami	25	13	7	5	54:40	14	46
7	Columbus Crew	27	12	9	6	43:39	4	45
8	New York City	26	13	5	8	37:30	7	44
9	New York Red Bulls	28	11	6	11	42:38	4	39
10	Chicago Fire	27	11	6	10	50:48	2	39
11	New England Revolution	27	8	7	12	35:38	-3	31
12	Toronto FC	27	5	9	13	27:34	-7	24
13	CF Montreal	28	5	8	15	28:50	-22	23
14	Atlanta Utd	27	4	11	12	31:49	-18	23
15	DC United	28	4	9	15	24:53	-29	21

Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of New York City - Philadelphia Union?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC