Paris Saint-Germain vs Tottenham Hotspur: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Super Cup
Soccer UEFA Super Cup Paris Saint-Germain - Tottenham Hotspur
Result
3:2 penalties
13/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : UEFA Super Cup - Final
  • Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
Paris Saint-Germain - Tottenham Hotspur - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.171.38
Ball Possession
74%26%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
90% (515/572)70% (137/197)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.171.38
xG on target (xGOT)
1.401.77
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
59
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2223
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1112
Passes
90% (515/572)70% (137/197)
Long passes
60% (24/40)53% (27/51)
Passes in final third
89% (181/203)55% (35/64)
Crosses
16% (4/25)42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.610.33
Throw-ins
2814
Fouls
1212
Tackles
45% (9/20)64% (14/22)
Duels won
4757
Clearances
1520
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
30
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.771.40
Goals prevented
-0.23-0.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 39', 0 - 1, van de Ven M. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 48', 0 - 2, Romero C. ⚽, Porro P. (A),
  • 53', Richarlison 🟨,
  • 55', Barcola B. 🟨,
  • 58', Pacho W. 🟨,
  • 60', Kvaratskhelia K. ↓, Ruiz F. ↑,
  • 62', Danso K. 🟨,
  • 67', Barcola B. ↓, Mbaye I. ↑,
  • 68', Zaire-Emery W. ↓, Lee Kang-In ↑,
  • 72', Richarlison ↓, Solanke D. ↑,
  • 72', Palhinha J. ↓, Gray A. ↑,
  • 77', Doue D. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
  • 79', Kudus M. ↓, Tel M. ↑,
  • 85', 1 - 2, Lee Kang-In ⚽, Vitinha (A),
  • 90', Dembele O. 🟨,
  • 90', Sarr P. M. ↓, Bergvall L. ↑,
  • 90+4', 2 - 2, Ramos G. ⚽, Dembele O. (A),
  • Penalties (4 - 3)
  • 1, Solanke D. (Pen),
  • 1, Vitinha (Pen),
  • 2, Bentancur R. (Pen),
  • 2, Ramos G. (Pen),
  • 3, van de Ven M. (Pen),
  • 3, Dembele O. (Pen),
  • 4, Tel M. (Pen),
  • 4, Lee Kang-In (Pen),
  • 5, Porro P. (Pen),
  • 5, Mendes N. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Paris Saint-Germain
67.3%		Draw
19%		Tottenham Hotspur
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.2% 19.4% 15.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Tottenham Hotspur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
    •

    Paris Saint-Germain - Tottenham Hotspur Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.43 ↓
    (1.46)    		 5.07 ↑
    (4.9)    		 6.99 ↑
    (6.2)    		 4%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain - Tottenham Hotspur?
  • Users Predictions: 110 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 87 - 79.1%). Tottenham will win (votes: 10 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 11.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 71.5% – 86.7%. The data is statistically significant.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • AH -1.25 - PSG (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paris Saint-Germain will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • PSG is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Tottenham has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Tottenham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Tottenham has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, PSG is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in PSG: Donnarumma G. (Coach's decision) Mukiele N. (Muscle Injury) Neves J. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Tottenham: Craig M. (Injury) Dragusin R. (Knee Injury) Gil B. (Knee Injury) Kulusevski D. (Knee Injury) Maddison J. (Knee Injury) Solomon M. (Calf Injury) Takai K. (Foot Injury)
    • We predict that PSG will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, PSG won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.
    • Including home match between the teams, PSG won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    13.07.2025 Chelsea - Paris Saint-Germain 3:0 ✺
    09.07.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Real Madrid 4:0 ✺
    05.07.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich 2:0 ✺
    29.06.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Inter Miami 4:0 ✺
    23.06.2025 Seattle Sounders - Paris Saint-Germain 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Tottenham Hotspur
    07.08.2025 Bayern Munich - Tottenham Hotspur 4:0 ✺
    03.08.2025 Newcastle United - Tottenham Hotspur 1:1 ✺
    31.07.2025 Arsenal - Tottenham Hotspur 0:1 ✺
    26.07.2025 Luton Town - Tottenham Hotspur 0:0
    19.07.2025 Reading - Tottenham Hotspur 0:2
    Draw
    2025

    Final
    1PSGTottenham3 : 2
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